--- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, off_world_beings <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com > <mailto:FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com> , "shempmcgurk" <shempmcgurk@> > wrote: > > > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com > <mailto:FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com> , "Rick Archer" <rick@> wrote: > > > > > > From: FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com > <mailto:FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com> > > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > On Behalf Of shempmcgurk > > > Sent: Friday, September 12, 2008 11:40 PM > > > To: FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com > <mailto:FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com> > > > Subject: [FairfieldLife] Matt Damon, bullshit artist > > > > > > > > > > > > --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com > <mailto:FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com> > > > <mailto:FairfieldLife%40yahoogroups.com > <mailto:FairfieldLife%40yahoogroups.com> > , "Rick Archer" <rick@> > > wrote: > > > > > > > > > > > http://www.searchme.com/#/0/ <http://www.searchme.com/#/0/> > > > > > <http://www.searchme.com/#/0/&pi=11/&stack=19fee/&ci=all/&session=0448 > <http://www.searchme.com/#/0/&pi=11/&stack=19fee/&ci=all/&session=0448 > > > F> > > > &pi=11/&stack=19fee/&ci=all/&session=0448F > > > C61D4D > > > > 3B2FF77E257D06F3A27CF2284EB59/&vs=stacksState/ > > > > > > > > > > In the video, Matt Damon says if you look up the actuarial tables > > > there is a one in three chance that McCain will die within the next > > > four years. > > > > > > Damon then boldly challenges us to "do the actuarial tables". > > > > > > Well, I did...and Damon is off...WAY off. > > > > > > The actuarial tables supplied by the U.S. government indicate a one > > > in seven chance, NOT a one in three chance, as Damon claims. > > > > > > Take a look at http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4c6.html > <http://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4c6.html> > > > > > > If you add up the four years for males from ages 72 to 75 you get > > > 0.151985 which translates to about 1/7th or one in 7. > > > > > > Did you factor in his several bouts with serious skin cancer? He > > had a > > > growth removed just a month or so ago. > > > > > > > No, I didn't. > > > > There are, literally, dozens of variables aside from age and gender > > (the only two variables in the actuarial charts I linked to above) > > that are factored into an individual's actuarial rating and, yes, > > cancer history is an important one. > > > > Another one is the lifespan of one's parents; for example McCain's 96 > > year old mother, who is still alive.> > > > But what about McCain's real father, who died at the time of conception? > > OffWorld >
I had never heard of that but if true then, yes, this is a factor that must be included along with all the other several dozen factors in coming up with an actuarial profile for John McCain.
