What an interesting list!  Note that the same Challenge may occur  
multiple times due to a different Opportunity (solution).  
Communicable Diseases occurs 3 times and Malnutrition and Hunger 4  
times, for example.  That's good, makes the list specific solution  
oriented, thus clearer on cost of individual solutions, not broad  
problems.

One way to look at potential effectiveness of a given Opportunity is  
whether or not it is sustainable solely by local resources, the old  
"teach to fish, don't give fish" realization.  In other words, giving  
away $$ is best done in such a way that the initial effort is locally  
sustainable afterwards.

The list doesn't fair well, IMHO, in this regard.  Look at number one:
     Communicable Diseases    Scaled-up basic health services
I'm not sure that paying for scaled up health services produces  
better health services down the line.  It might if education were  
built-in.

But then, if sustainability were built into the solutions, it might  
all work.  Great list!

     -- Owen


On Aug 12, 2007, at 8:05 AM, Robert Holmes wrote:

> The Copenhagen Consensus is a Danish think-tank that gets  
> economists and politicians to address the question "in a world of  
> limited resources, if we cannot do everything at once what should  
> we do first?". The top-4 ratings from their 2006 meeting are:
> communicable diseases
> sanitation and water
> education
> malnutrition and hunger
> Climate change slips from #10 (its position at the first CC meeting  
> in 2004) to #27. (Full list at: http://tinyurl.com/39udey)
>
> What's your take on this people? Part of me wants to reject this as  
> the ravings of right-wing Kyoto-protocol-hating ideologues. But  
> then the rational part of me recognizes that you probably do get  
> far more bang for your buck (in social welfare terms) with these  
> problems: they are (relatively) well understood and interventions  
> have a rapid effect on a huge number of people. In contrast,  
> climate control is poorly understood and it takes decades to  
> measure the effect. Where would you put your limited $$?
>
> Robert
>
>
>
>
>
> ============================================================
> FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
> Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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