Peter,

But wasn't Ken's plea for complex stochastic models??   The problem is that
the physical system has emergent processes and is not either a linear,
non-linear or stochastic projection of the past, either simple or complex.
It's not a projection of the past at all.   It's a divergence from and
construction upon the past, by emergent systems never seen before.    You
can't directly model that.  You can only study that as something that
diverges from your models.    It seems to me, *that's* what Rosen is talking
about when naming divergent sequences as what prevents science from studying
life.

 

Phil

 

From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf
Of peter
Sent: Wednesday, October 01, 2008 1:16 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] This Economy Does Not Compute

 

Right on Ken

Thats the major issue --- we inside of the industry understand that the non
dynamic non world related models are SIMULATIONS but to most people these
are wizard visions of actuality and bluntly our marketing to them fudges
this whenever a contract or money comes up.

For example:  At a recent seminar for the city of santa fe economic vision
each department ( Some 8 in all ) had created there own silo viewpoint on a
pdf and associated power point with very little consideration of
interaction.and absolutely no multi dimensional viewable interaction, forget
about the real world it was not invited.. In my usual smooth understated way
I pointed that the last three visions were now gathering dust on someones
shelf as a result of the word pdf workflow used and unless they could bring
this alive connect it to the real world in a constant way that adapted
dynamically to reality it was DOA. Now what looks like to be occurring is a
non dynamic political correct sim city YUCK but what they need is dynamic
SysBIM on steroids but god love them I guess fiction is more comfortable and
no one on our side of the table is telling them the REAL truth

As a similar metaphor its worth noticing that the success of the abacus had
nothing to do with technology or ease of use it was so that anyone could
watch EXACTLY what the bean counters did, as no one trusted them.

I submit we have a similar problem and need an equivalent example hence the
thought on do no evil etc and for that we need to come out of our specialist
academic ( It ain't my problem OH is that what you wanted ) silos

( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

IDEAS

 <http://www.ideapete.com/> www.ideapete.com

 

 

 



Kenneth Lloyd wrote: 

Excellent article!
 
As complexity wonks, most of us understand that static models are woefully
incomplete, and that dynamical systems modeling is one of the precursors to
understanding complexity.  This implies the study of systems at some
distance from equilibrium. 
 
Hopefully, we can encourage people to join us in the 21st century and adopt
these methodologies.
 
Just got a FRIAM post: "This economy does not compute."  Perhaps a move from
the deterministic to the stochastic is in order.  Our economy computes, but
in non-analytical ways.  It's complex ... Doh!
 
Ken
 
  

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Matthew Francisco
Sent: Wednesday, October 01, 2008 9:43 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] This Economy Does Not Compute
 
from Rob Axtell:
http://krasnow.blogspot.com/2008/09/goldilocks-on-wall-street.
html#links
 
On Wed, Oct 1, 2008 at 8:29 AM, glen e. p. ropella 
 <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
    

 
      

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/01/opinion/01buchanan.html?_r=3
<http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/01/opinion/01buchanan.html?_r=3&ref=opi>
&ref=opi
    

nion&oref=slogin&oref=slogin&oref=slogin
 
--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com
 
 
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