That's only in you model, and leaves out the rest of the world. My "hunch" is it's good to watch the rest of the world for diverging continuities too...
Phil Henshaw NY NY www.synapse9.com > -----Original Message----- > From: friam-boun...@redfish.com [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On > Behalf Of Marcus G. Daniels > Sent: Friday, January 09, 2009 12:25 PM > To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group > Subject: Re: [FRIAM] models that bite back > > Phil Henshaw wrote: > > > > All well and good, unless something in the environment develops a > > continuity of divergence > > > A model can be built around whatever hunch and evaluated in a Bayesian > framework. At some point, if the divergence really exists, the model > will reflect that in its likelihood. It's all well and good. > > Marcus > > ============================================================ > FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv > Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College > lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org ============================================================ FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
