Glen thinks that atheists and theists are delusional.  My claim is that
agnostics are non-existent.   From which it follows, I guess that all humans
are delusional.  

I am ok with that.  

N

Nicholas S. Thompson
Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology
Clark University
http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Marcus G.
Daniels
Sent: Friday, December 26, 2014 4:57 PM
To: 'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group'
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] clinical diagnosis of [a]theism?

Glen writes:

``Well, my specific problem is that I think atheists and theists are
delusional.  They think they know things they cannot know.  So, if Nick's
point is that the concept of "theist" (or "atheist") is too muddy to define
validatable[*] tests for, then, as an agnostic, I would completely agree.''

Let's say I have a program and it does something that I don't expect.
Someone says it is the witchcraft from a particular gal that works on the
HVAC system.
I ask "Is it because the computer got too hot?   Did she fail to keep the
air conditioning running properly?"   They respond, "No, it's not the
temperature, it's the witchcraft."   I look in the index of the instruction
set under W and under remote access protocols, interrupt mechanisms, etc.
Nothing.   I keep removing degrees of freedom from the code and environment
and all of my suggestions are rejected by my peer as "Not an instance of
witchcraft."   I ask for suggestions on how to prove that witchcraft is at
work and they just show me pictures of their witch suspects and give me a
pamphlet on building big fires.   Meanwhile, I discover a simple,
mechanical, explanation for why the program isn't doing what I expect, fix
it, and tell the growing mob of witch burners about what I discovered.   (Of
course, their explanation is that they were successful in intimidating the
witch and she was forced to release me from her spell.)

It should be possible to associate with any proposition a probability
function that takes as arguments other routines that describe how to perform
an experiment and the result of that experiment.   The details of the
experiment routines should be provided and should not include "call a
friend" or reference anything that is already known or obvious.    All
functions and routines should be written down before doing the experiment.
It should be possible that by sweeping over the space of unknowns (potential
inputs) in the experiment routines to get some probabilities near zero and
some near one.   

The refusal or inability to write these functions and routines is an
indicator that the speaker is full of it and would rather talk about
witches.
When cornered on a question, can the believer justify or change their
belief?

Marcus


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