Anecdotally i'm not to surprised.  The people I know don't like either
Hillary or Trump all that much.
Hillarly they don't seem thrilled by because of oh great doing things that
haven't worked well.
Trump they don't like because he's seen as a giant dick.Among other
problems.


On Fri, Nov 4, 2016 at 4:39 PM, Gillian Densmore <gil.densm...@gmail.com>
wrote:

> Their's lies, damned lies, and statistics
> (Attributed to Mark Twain)
>
> On Fri, Nov 4, 2016 at 4:23 PM, Marcus Daniels <mar...@snoutfarm.com>
> wrote:
>
>> http://www.ncsbe.gov/absentee-data
>>
>>
>>
>> I grabbed the CSV file from North Carolina, and tabulated some aggregate
>> counts.
>>
>>
>>
>> The registered voter counts are available here:
>>
>>  http://enr.ncsbe.gov/voter_stats/results.aspx?date=10-29-2016
>>
>>
>>
>> Democrats:2,715,039
>>
>> Republications: 2,067,392
>>
>>
>>
>> See Amy Schumer’s remarks on the utility of these records.    J
>>
>>
>>
>> http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/amy-schumer-has-a-last-d
>> itch-appeal-that-might-actually-get-you-to-vote_us_581c7bc9e
>> 4b0aac624839004
>>
>>
>>
>>    party                             race      count
>>
>> 1    DEM                            ASIAN  10738
>>
>> 2    LIB                            ASIAN    134
>>
>> 3    REP                            ASIAN   4172
>>
>> 4    UNA                            ASIAN  14689
>>
>> 5    DEM        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN 506320
>>
>> 6    LIB        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN    571
>>
>> 7    REP        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN   8166
>>
>> 8    UNA        BLACK or AFRICAN AMERICAN  64221
>>
>> 9    DEM INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE   6139
>>
>> 10   LIB INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE     42
>>
>> 11   REP INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE   2291
>>
>> 12   UNA INDIAN AMERICAN or ALASKA NATIVE   2815
>>
>> 13   DEM                            OTHER  20288
>>
>> 14   LIB                            OTHER    272
>>
>> 15   REP                            OTHER   7636
>>
>> 16   UNA                            OTHER  16924
>>
>> 17   DEM                TWO or MORE RACES   6845
>>
>> 18   LIB                TWO or MORE RACES    131
>>
>> 19   REP                TWO or MORE RACES   1723
>>
>> 20   UNA                TWO or MORE RACES   5296
>>
>> 21   DEM                     UNDESIGNATED  26117
>>
>> 22   LIB                     UNDESIGNATED    391
>>
>> 23   REP                     UNDESIGNATED  13778
>>
>> 24   UNA                     UNDESIGNATED  39862
>>
>> 25   REP                    'UNDESIGNATED      1
>>
>> 26   UNA                    'UNDESIGNATED      1
>>
>> 27   DEM                            WHITE 548643
>>
>> 28   LIB                            WHITE   6407
>>
>> 29   REP                            WHITE 823573
>>
>> 30   UNA                            WHITE 546961
>>
>>
>>
>>   party       count
>>
>> 1   DEM 1125090
>>
>> 2   LIB    7948
>>
>> 3   REP  861340
>>
>> 4   UNA  690769
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] *On Behalf Of *Marcus
>> Daniels
>> *Sent:* Friday, November 04, 2016 3:52 PM
>> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
>> friam@redfish.com>
>> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind
>> Clinton | FiveThirtyEight
>>
>>
>>
>> The Republicans in Florida still have teensy bit more returned.    It
>> depends on the defection rates.
>>
>>
>>
>> https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCounty
>> BallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com
>> <friam-boun...@redfish.com>] *On Behalf Of *Owen Densmore
>> *Sent:* Friday, November 04, 2016 3:41 PM
>> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <
>> friam@redfish.com>
>> *Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind
>> Clinton | FiveThirtyEight
>>
>>
>>
>> Be wary of early voting statistics: they are biased towards demographics
>> that are traditional liberal, thus biased towards Hillary.
>>
>>
>>
>>    -- Owen
>>
>> ============================================================
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>>
>
>
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