Steve writes:

"In the thread I bent/hijacked here, I would cynically claim that Marcus was 
trying to find relief in some of these paradoxes by gerrymandering 
"selfness"...  and Glen holding the line on a more holistic view of systems."


I do gerrymander my definition of worthwhile ideas around the universe of ideas 
that I know about.   I don't see why that is a cynical interpretation.   For 
example, I always vote, as far as seems winnable, to the left.   I don't really 
have any selfish motive for that.   I have various sorts of insurance and the 
kind of redistribution of wealth I would get behind mostly would never benefit 
me in any material way.  It might even put me at a disadvantage.   Of course, 
like anyone, my situation could change and I suppose one could argue I'm 
advocating collective funding for a vague sort of government insurance policy 
-- just for me!    Well, if you must see things this way, guilty-as-charged!


As far as out driving our headlights, yes please.  That's all there is, in the 
end:  Figuring stuff out.   Everything else is just marking time.


Marcus

________________________________
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> on behalf of Steven A Smith 
<sasm...@swcp.com>
Sent: Sunday, September 10, 2017 1:28:41 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: [FRIAM] Enlightened Self Interest: was Help for texas


Glen/Marcus/et alia -

I have of late, been trying to understand a little more deeply the concept of 
"Enlightened Self Interest", mostly as it applies to me personally, but by 
extension how it applies to my identity groups (family, neighbors, region, 
culture, nation, species, sapients-at-large, life-that-plays, life in all it's 
forms, pan-conscious matter, et/ad, cet/naus).

In Out of My Life and Thought Schweitzer wrote:

The most immediate fact of man’s consciousness is the assertion "I am life that 
wills to live in the midst of life that wills to live"

— Albert Schweitzer
I find this particular observation/assertion by Schweitzer nicely poetic in 
it's self-referentiality, but also quite apt toward my apprehension of "what is 
life?" and just how far must/might I extend my "self-interest" to be properly 
enlightened.

Since the beginning of the Holocene (by definition), we humans have been 
adapting our environment to our (presumed) liking at a monotonically increasing 
(and concave up if not precisely geometric nor exponential?) rate.   I'm not 
needing to invoke Singularian concepts to suggest that we are (and have been 
for some time) out-driving our headlights.   For all of our abilities in 
predictive science and constructive engineering, there are always "unintended 
consequences".   Even in a clockwork universe, we must live with "the halting 
problem" whence the only way to know for sure how things are going to turn out 
is to watch them evolve into their fullness over time.

It is not surprising (to me) that at every turn our "best ideas" turn out to 
have "hidden gotchas".... that building a global civilization predicated on a 
constant expansion of resource exploitation (first forests and prairies, then 
clean water sources, then coal, oil, and gas deposits) eventually hits a limit. 
  Hubbert's "Peak Oil"<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil> didn't even 
consider (or was aware of?) the consequences of greenhouse gas buildup and 
climate change.   Hubbert's predictions seem to have borne out pretty well in 
the US until we figured out "hydraulic fracturing" (see upturn in green line)
[https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f2/Hubbert_Upper-Bound_Peak_1956.png/220px-Hubbert_Upper-Bound_Peak_1956.png]<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil>

It is also not surprising (to me) that Free Markets and Capitalism and even 
Representative Democracy are loaded with unintended consequences and that we 
are very naturally faced with the possibility that they are fundamentally 
flawed in ways we might only be starting to understand.   I'm not advocating a 
return to *earlier* flawed systems (e.g. autocratic/fuedal/fascist/???) but 
rather a *continued* reflection and refinement on WHAT MEANS "enlightened"?  
And what are the boundaries of "self".

In the thread I bent/hijacked here, I would cynically claim that Marcus was 
trying to find relief in some of these paradoxes by gerrymandering 
"selfness"...  and Glen holding the line on a more holistic view of systems.

A great deal of our problems in the world seem to arise out of shifting 
definitions of "self".  The populism in the first world that recently exhibits 
as xenophobia, whitelash, etc.  is precisely that.     I think it is built into 
us as humans/mammals/vertebrates/life-itself to be self-centered, to look after 
our own personal well-being before we look to that of others.   Our tribal/clan 
dunbar-number-scale affinities may cause us to be locally altruistic at times 
and look after family/friends/neighbors/tribe before ourselves, but beyond that 
our instincts are xenophobic.   It takes more careful thought to extend one's 
enlightenment very far I suspect.

In this globally connected world we have built (it has always been a single 
whole, but with transportation and communication, we have short-circuited a lot 
of the existing feedback loops in "nature" with our own) it is likely that our 
instincts aren't even close to being on-mark.   At best, we need to be very 
careful (IMO) at how we define "self" as we pursue "enlightened self-interest". 
   We have collectively shown a great amount of disregard for the subjects of 
our exploitation and colonization over the centuries, and in some cases, that 
is coming back to bite us hard with terrorism, but maybe more significantly in 
the form of mass refugee movements.    In a yet-larger scope, our 
abuses/exploitation of other species and even the very geology of the planet 
have lead to unintended consequences (local diversification and ecological 
collapses, and now global climate change),  yet one common response is to just 
"push harder".

Perhaps that is all we are geared to do...   if something isn't working... push 
harder?    History suggests that this (almost) works for (a subset of) the 
population which survives today.   Maybe there will be a Muskian civilization 
on Mars or in the Asteroid Belt or even the Moon or LEO space habitats.  Maybe 
there will be bubbled cities on the ocean floor or underground or even on the 
surface, where the ultimate in "gated communities" survive.   And some vestigal 
collapsed ecosystem which, if our lucky bubble-people can leave it alone will 
return to some kind of robust and diverse equilibrium over some (long by human 
attention standards) time.

Looking more closely for the first time at Carbon Footprints and per-Capita 
budgets... I'm appalled to realize that the USA and the first world in general 
are at 10-20x what is considered sustainable for the planet and that even the 
least developed (China/India) are over the limit and heading toward our 
standard as fast as possible.

Here is a very accessible (and I hope not too naive or inaccurate) resource 
that provides an interesting summary:
    http://shrinkthatfootprint.com/carbon-targets-for-your-footprint

with a 4 ton footprint (1/4 our average but 4x what might be needed) we see 
estimates like:


Housing: 1.04 t = 1500 kWh of US grid electricity

Travel: 0.94 t = 2000 miles driving at 20 MPG

Food: 1.1 t = a mostly vegan diet with limited food waste

Products: 0.51 t = $1000 worth of products

Services: 0.4 t = $2000 worth of services

Which only a truly homeless person today can beat by much?   Maybe the 
demi-wealthy (read most of us here, even if you think you aren't) can game this 
a little by installing PV on our homes, replace our ICE vehicles with EVs 
(hybrids in the interim) that double or quadruple our vehicular travel range, 
grow some of our own food (I think most of the 1.1 t is commercial farming 
techniques and transportation) and pick and choose the products and services we 
feel we need to match our ethical ideals.


I've rambled enough here...

Carry on,
 - Steve




On 9/10/17 12:05 PM, ┣glen┫ wrote:

On 09/10/2017 10:12 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:


It is not necessarily the case that `we' are a whole and must look after one 
another.  The population can be partitioned into compartmentalized subsets.



You're conflating willing payment with unforeseen consequences.  When we don't 
look after one another purposefully, we end up "looking after one another" in 
the form of systemic damage to the whole system.  So, while you're right that 
we don't have to pay attention, purposefully, to risk pools, the costs will 
always be present.  By paying attention to it, the argument goes, we lessen the 
overall damage, at the cost of the "redistribution wealth" the right wingers 
are so afraid of.

So, you're wrong in the naive assertion.  It is not merely necessary, it is THE 
CASE that we are a whole and always "look after one another", in the end.  The 
question is about when to do the looking ... before or after bad things happen.



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