"Manfred A. Reiter" <ma.rei...@gmail.com> wrote on 06/08/2011 10:17:02 AM:
> > 2011/6/7 <robert_w...@us.ibm.com>: > > [...] > > > We should be able to check the math from another direction. Microsoft > > claims something like 400 million Office users. Studies looking at OOo > > install share show approximately 10%. Pick some random number between 6 > > and 12 months. Call it "mean time to upgrade to a new OOo release". In > > my case the random number came out to be 10 months, fortunate for me for > > doing the math in my head. That gives 4 million users downloading/month. > > That gives 130,000 downloads/day. I know that is not the same number > > quoted, but it is in the ball park. > > > > Since this is a large download, I wonder whether the quoted numbers are > > impacted at all by timeouts, abandoned downloads attempts, etc. In other > > words, is it counting the HTTP GET's? Or the successful downloads? That > > may influence the load by quite a bit. It may even make it worse. > > > > And let's not even get started on the burst traffic when a major new > > release is announced. > > > > Of course, this is not necessarily a problem for Apache. Think of it this > > way. It would be perfectly possible, and actually quite easy for someone > > to host the files with a scalable cloud storage provider, e.g., Amazon, > > and charge $0.99 for the download, the cost of an iPhone app. That is > > over $30 million/year. Heck, I might just do that myself and retire! > > > > I only would like to know, > > whether this posting was really for the apache communtiy mailinglist > or an IBM internal mailinglist to evolve a businessplan? > This was just a back of the envelope calculation, based on public information, intended for the list. The 300,000 downloads/day listed on the OOo did not sound plausible to me initially, so I wanted to see if I could confirm or contradict this number independently. -Rob --------------------------------------------------------------------- To unsubscribe, e-mail: general-unsubscr...@incubator.apache.org For additional commands, e-mail: general-h...@incubator.apache.org
