http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/22/new-light-shed-on-north-pole-ice-trends/
The bottom line, expressed here before, is that no one should expect to find much broad meaning in short-term variability in Arctic sea ice — in one direction or the other. If there is a death spiral, expect a lot of loop the loops<http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/06/spread-of-thicker-arctic-ice-seen-last-summer/>along the way. Those most passionately pushing for and against action on greenhouse gases have a tendency to jump to the National Snow and Ice Data Center Web site to chart each wiggle. On Mon, Jul 18, 2011 at 8:41 AM, Ken Caldeira <kcalde...@dge.stanford.edu>wrote: > Folks, > > There has been a fair amount of discussion on this group that talks about > imminent September sea ice loss in the Arctic. > > The attached paper indicates that around half of the normal September > sea-ice should still be around in the 2020-2040 time frame. > > Boe, J., Hall, A., Qu, Z. Nature Geosci 2, 341-343 (2009). > > I am not saying that the situation in the Arctic is not dire, however, are > the suggestions that September sea-ice in the Arctic is soon to be a thing > of the past a bit overblown and without foundation? > > Best, > > Ken > > > ___________________________________________________ > Ken Caldeira > > Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology > 260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA > +1 650 704 7212 kcalde...@carnegie.stanford.edu > http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab @kencaldeira > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "geoengineering" group. > To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en. > -- *Please excuse typos; as you may be aware, I had a stroke 1 July<http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/07/01/time-for-a-checkup/> .* ANDREW C. REVKIN Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/dotearth Senior Fellow, Pace Acad. for Applied Env. Studies Cell: 914-441-5556 Fax/voicemail: 509-357-0965 Twitter: @revkin Skype: Andrew.Revkin -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en.