At last some sanity.
From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Andrew Revkin Sent: Monday, July 18, 2011 1:05 PM To: kcalde...@gmail.com Cc: geoengineering Subject: Re: [geo] September sea-ice gone by end of century? (or much sooner) http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/22/new-light-shed-on-north-pole-ic e-trends/ The bottom line, expressed here before, is that no one should expect to find much broad meaning in short-term variability in Arctic sea ice - in one direction or the other. If there is a death spiral, expect <http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/06/spread-of-thicker-arctic-ice-s een-last-summer/> a lot of loop the loopsalong the way. Those most passionately pushing for and against action on greenhouse gases have a tendency to jump to the National Snow and Ice Data Center Web site to chart each wiggle. On Mon, Jul 18, 2011 at 8:41 AM, Ken Caldeira <kcalde...@dge.stanford.edu> wrote: Folks, There has been a fair amount of discussion on this group that talks about imminent September sea ice loss in the Arctic. The attached paper indicates that around half of the normal September sea-ice should still be around in the 2020-2040 time frame. Boe, J., Hall, A., Qu, Z. Nature Geosci 2, 341-343 (2009). I am not saying that the situation in the Arctic is not dire, however, are the suggestions that September sea-ice in the Arctic is soon to be a thing of the past a bit overblown and without foundation? Best, Ken ___________________________________________________ Ken Caldeira Carnegie Institution Dept of Global Ecology 260 Panama Street, Stanford, CA 94305 USA +1 650 704 7212 <tel:%2B1%20650%20704%207212> kcalde...@carnegie.stanford.edu http://dge.stanford.edu/labs/caldeiralab @kencaldeira -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com <mailto:geoengineering%2bunsubscr...@googlegroups.com> . For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en. -- Please excuse typos; as you may be aware, I had a stroke 1 July <http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/07/01/time-for-a-checkup/> . ANDREW C. REVKIN Dot Earth blogger, The New York Times http://www.nytimes.com/dotearth Senior Fellow, Pace Acad. for Applied Env. Studies Cell: 914-441-5556 Fax/voicemail: 509-357-0965 Twitter: @revkin Skype: Andrew.Revkin -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en. -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to geoengineering+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/geoengineering?hl=en.