Greg et al See inserts below.
----- Original Message ----- From: "RAU greg" <gh...@sbcglobal.net> To: rongretlar...@comcast.net, "bhaskarmv 64" <bhaskarmv...@gmail.com> Cc: joshic...@gmail.com, geoengineering@googlegroups.com, "Doug Karlen" <doug.kar...@ars.usda.gov> Sent: Sunday, December 16, 2012 11:56:22 AM Subject: Re: [geo] Re: New Research on OIF Thanks Ron. As for Karlen et al's grand solution: "If the CROPS concept is not acceptable to soil and water scientists, what alternatives are offered to address rising CO 2 concentrations? Energy efficiency and conservation (29) are certainly a top priority, which is consistent with the North Central Region Sustainable Agriculture Research and Education (NCR-SARE) Administrative Council recommendations for sustainable bioenergy production (30)." Anyone care to diagram how energy efficiency and conservation are going to save the planet from excess CO2 when we need essentially zero fossil fuel emissions to stabilize air CO2? [RWL1: The Karlen etal Reference 29 is to the Pacala-Socolow discussion of wedges (sometimes also used for CDR). I think this was intended as a throw-away sentence. I am pretty sure that Karlen has more sophistication on the problem than suggested by this single sentence - since the entire rest of the paper is on a CDR approach. Reference 30 leads one to this site: http://www.northcentralsare.org which has a huge number of cites. I found 80 cites related to "biochar", but only one related to "geoenegineering". I conclude that geoengineering is not doing a very good job talking to soil scientists.] Also if CROPS is a bad idea, shall we also try to halt the 0.5 Gt/yr of terrestrial org C (1.8 Gt/yr CO2 equivalent) that is currently washing into the ocean and being stored, thus risk its terrestrial decomposition and return to the atmosphere? [RWL2: I catch your point, but I still would have to say "yes" - we should try to halt that "washing". I guess there is a lot of char in that total (being light weight) - that would do more long term good staying in the soil and amy do no good in the ocean. But two other things are washing away with the organic C: a) lots of fertilizer (causing dead zones around the world) and b) lots of soil. Immediately following the paragraph you cite, is this caption for their Figure 1: "FIGURE 1. Silt-laden rivers in China, where for over 40 centuries people lived in harmony with their land, now lose 18 kg of farmable soil via erosion for every 1 kg of food eaten." It wouldn't surprise me that there is a similar statistic for Iowa. Biochar isn't the whole solution, but is regularly listed as being helpful in soil conservation (as rainfall can better enter the soil).] For what it's worth, my own philosophy is: for environmental and societal reasons, never send in biology to do a job that geochemistry does more effectively and safely (but not more quickly without our help). Yet under the circumstances, would welcome being proven wrong. [RWL3: Since biochar and pyrolysis may fall into the category of "geochemistry" (or is that biogeochemistry?), and since I know so little of either geochemistry or biogeochemistry, I don't think I want to argue with you. But I don't think much of CDR is devoted to "biology" - except in the case of biochar. With biochar, we certainly are in need of biologists to figure out a lot more on how to make modern biochar as effective as the millennia-old "terra preta" in the Amazon. Biology is one very complicated branch of science - and it is important to the biochar-world that so many of Karlen's co-authors are in that area - many with the Agricultural Research Service (ARS). The ARS could do a good bit more if they had some funding labeled "biochar". Another CDR place we need biologists is in increasing NPP - for help on the afforestation side of CDR. Almost lastly, a good part of this thread is devoted to ocean biomass - and therefore presumably to biology. Lastly, I see a great future role for coupling biochar with those geochemistry approaches using rock dust. Greg - Sorry to not agree with much you have said this time. Ron] -Greg From: "rongretlar...@comcast.net" <rongretlar...@comcast.net> To: bhaskarmv 64 <bhaskarmv...@gmail.com> Cc: joshic...@gmail.com; geoengineering@googlegroups.com Sent: Sat, December 15, 2012 12:57:43 PM Subject: Re: [geo] Re: New Research on OIF Bhaskar and list: 1. a. The original Strand and Benford paper that you are asking about today (and cited by Joshua Jacobs yesterday) is available without fee at: http://pubs.acs.org/doi/full/10.1021/es8015556 b. Shortly thereafter (in 2009, same journal, no fee) there was a pretty strong negative reaction against their C.R.O.P.S. approach. This objection was based mostly on the need to retain all crop residues for the benefit of the soil. See http://pubs.acs.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1021/es9011004 This paper's lead author was Douglas Karlen, with nine co-authors. The cite is Environ. Sci. Technol. 2009, 43, 8011–8015 c. Their final four sentences (emphasis added) were: " We conclude that although ocean sequestration may have a role in mitigating atmospheric CO2 concentrations, humankind should not risk the future productivity of our soils by drowning crop residues. Perhaps the CROPS concept could be coupled with the use of a thermochemical platform for production of biofuel where the biochar coproduct could be used not only for CCS but also to remove phosphorus and other aqueous contaminants moving through the soil. The crucial question is whether this can be done without creating unintended environmental consequences. All in all, minimizing environmental changes will require careful study, a balanced approach, and full accounting for all intended and nonintended consequences. d. I emphasized the "biochar" part above because I had not seen this article until today and because biochar was also not being compared in the original paper by Professors Strand and Benford. Neither paper mentioned BECCS, but I think Karlen etal would have similarly been concerned about a failure to address soil improvement. Soil improvement is a (the?) big part of biochar, as shown in bold above. It is this last aspect that I have been anxious to talk further with you about as I wondered whether biochar could be made from fertilized ocean based resources. e. I hope that Professors Strand and Benford can take this opportunity to reply to both you and Karlen, etal. I also hope they can compare CROPS with the biomass options they did not originally consider: biochar, BECCS ,and local burial of biomass. 2. a. Since you are really asking about CDR costs - presumably to compare with your approach for sequestering in oceans, I have to extend this response to include the citation in the Thursday message below from Wil Burns. He gave a PR release to a still-forthcoming paper by Australian Daniel Harrison, whose abstract I found at this site: http://interceder.net/latest_news/Daniel-Harrison b. The Paper abstract: A method for estimating the cost to sequester carbon dioxide by delivering iron to the ocean Order a copy of this article by Daniel Harrison Abstract : If society wishes to limit the contribution of anthropogenic carbon dioxide to global warming then the need to find economical methods of CO2 sequestration is now urgent. Ocean iron fertilisation has been suggested as a low cost mitigation option to capture and store carbon. However previous methods of estimating the cost fail to account for many of the losses and offsets occurring over the storage period. A method for calculating the net carbon stored from iron fertilisation of high nutrient low chlorophyll (HNLC) regions is provided here. The method involves first calculating the direct cost to create phytoplankton biomass in the surface ocean. The net amount of carbon stored is then calculated by considering the fraction of this carbon exported as deep as the permanent thermocline and subtracting losses due to: ventilation, nutrient stealing, greenhouse gas production, and CO2 emitted by the sequestration operation for a given storage period. Commonly available iron fertiliser delivered by ship to the Southern Ocean is considered as a case study using parameters derived from previous fertilisation experiments and modelling studies. On average, a single fertilisation is found to result in a net sequestration of 0.01 t C km-2 sequestered for 100 years or more at a cost of US$457 per tonne CO2. Iron fertilisation experiments show high variability in the amount of biomass created and the fraction exported to depth, the range of uncertainty provides a risk of more carbon released to the atmosphere than sequestered for 100 years, or alternatively, reduced cost if optimistic parameters are assumed. Previous estimates of cost fail to recognise the economic challenge of distributing low concentrations of iron over large areas of the ocean surface and the subsequent loss processes that result in only a small net storage of carbon per km2 fertilised. The cost could be lowered by the use of more energy efficient means to distribute the small amounts of iron required over large regions of remote ocean surface, by improving the performance of the iron fertiliser, or potentially by conducting fertilisation activities only under ideal oceanographic conditions. Keywords : Ocean Iron Fertilisation; Cost; Ship Delivery; Carbon Storage; Carbon Sequestration; Ocean Fertilisation; Nutrient Stealing; Nitrous Oxide Production; Biological Carbon Pump. Acceptance Date: 03 Dec 2012 c. I found this $457/tonne CO2 estimate to be amazingly high - clearly one may be growing more biomass because of IOF, but not getting much sequestration. This figure would translate to more than $1300/tonne of biochar and approaching $1700/tonne carbon. Farmers the world over would do most anything for such prices. 3. I hope we can have discussion on what these two papers are telling us for the world of CDR. I have just also read the latest draft 2 IPCC comparisons we learned about yesterday (saving that for another message). I find the same failure there to compare CDR techniques based on all their attributes. Here mainly I am talking of continuing out-year CDR benefits, but also we/they should be talking about carbon neutral energy benefits. All CDR/geoengineering analyses should be based on more than sequestration and its cost. Ron ----- Original Message ----- From: "M V Bhaskar" <bhaskarmv...@gmail.com> To: geoengineering@googlegroups.com Cc: joshic...@gmail.com Sent: Saturday, December 15, 2012 4:08:15 AM Subject: [geo] Re: New Research on OIF Joshua How is Ocean Sequestration of Crop Residue related to OIF - Ocean Iron Fertilization. I wonder how Ocean Sequestration of crop residue is regarded as economical. Farm land is generally deep inland - US Midwest, etc., the cost of transporting the crop residue to deep ocean for sequestration would be very high. How would you put it into the depths of the ocean? regards Bhaskar On Friday, 14 December 2012 23:30:30 UTC+5:30, Joshua Jacobs wrote: Despite its shortcomings, OIF may have a role. I don't know if the following research has been followed up on: Ocean Sequestration of Crop Residue Carbon: Recycling Fossil Fuel Carbon Back to Deep Sediments Stuard E. Strand, Gregory Benford For significant impact any method to remove CO 2 from the atmosphere must process large amounts of carbon efficiently, be repeatable, sequester carbon for thousands of years, be practical, economical and be implemented soon. The only method that meets these criteria is removal of crop residues and burial in the deep ocean. We show here that this method is 92% efficient in sequestration of crop residue carbon while cellulosic ethanol production is only 32% and soil sequestration is about 14% efficient. Deep ocean sequestration can potentially capture 15% of the current global CO 2 annual increase, returning that carbon back to deep sediments, confining the carbon for millennia, while using existing capital infrastructure and technology. Because of these clear advantages, we recommend enhanced research into permanent sequestration of crop residues in the deep ocean. http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es8015556 On Thursday, December 13, 2012 2:35:53 PM UTC-8, Wil Burns wrote: <blockquote> FYI. Wil http://sydney.edu.au/news/84.html?newscategoryid=2&newsstoryid=10740&utm_source=console&utm_medium=news&utm_campaign=cws -- Dr. Wil Burns, Associate Director Master of Science - Energy Policy & Climate Program Johns Hopkins University 1717 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Room 104J Washington, DC 20036 202.663.5976 (Office phone) 650.281.9126 (Mobile) wbu...@jhu.edu http://advanced.jhu.edu/academic/environmental/master-of-science-in-energy-policy-and-climate/index.html SSRN site (selected publications): http://ssrn.com/author=240348 Skype ID: Wil.Burns Teaching Climate/Energy Law & Policy Blog: http://www.teachingclimatelaw.org </blockquote> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msg/geoengineering/-/vQTjOyxGAd8J . To post to this group, send email to geoengineering@googlegroups.com. 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