Michael Tobis wrote:
> 
> That's great! Now how about if you explain it a little more
> didactically so the rest of us can get it?

It's probably a bit long and tedious to post here in all its tedium, but I've 
expanded my jihad (:-), see the comment) into an as-yet-incomplete series of 
blog posts starting with:

<http://julesandjames.blogspot.com/2006/07/more-on-detection-attribution-and.html>

I'm about to issue the full fatwa :-)

If that is too stodgy, IMO the most immediately compelling illustration is 
simply to note that when measuring a non-negative value (like mass, or speed, 
or energy) then a confidence interval which does not exclude zero - which may 
arise very naturally if measurements are inaccurate - does not in any way imply 
a belief that the value is actually negative with non-zero probability!

James


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