On Fri, 2008-07-11 at 16:31 +0900, Timothy Sipples wrote: > Hal Merritt writes: > >The OP asked how to evaluate and quantify the risks of being > >unsupported. The consensus seems to be that the risks are minimal. > > If that's the consensus, I'll dissent at least somewhat.
My read is that the *probability* of failure is low. This is different from the risk, which could be high even in a low-probability situation. The OP has a tough job; multiplying a small probability of failure (which estimate is shaky at best) times a dollar amount arbitrarily assigned to loss-of-service to the business -- an equally dubious figure. <little probabilities> X <big losses> is likely yielding a net expected gain, which is why they're moving to peecees. But they shouldn't be looking *only* at expected gain, 'cause sometimes you get a bad beat. -- David Andrews A. Duda and Sons, Inc. [EMAIL PROTECTED] ---------------------------------------------------------------------- For IBM-MAIN subscribe / signoff / archive access instructions, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] with the message: GET IBM-MAIN INFO Search the archives at http://bama.ua.edu/archives/ibm-main.html
