Dave Salt wrote:
So if HP alone is converting more than 250 mainframe shops every 2 years, then at least 1,000 mainframe shops will be gone over the next 8 years? Ouch! Someone please tell me this isn't true?

Let me state up front that I do not trust the Register. Never have...

The article quotes statements from HP and not from an independent source. Most analysts trust the IDC trackers http://www.idc.com/prodserv/trackers.jsp to monitor market movement.

Over the past several years, IBM has been citing the IDC Quarterly Tracker to show that System z has been consistently and significantly gaining market share in the >$250K server marketplace. That's not a measure of MIPS shipped or anything like that. It's a measure of actual percentage of total market ownership.

HPs statement seem to contradict IDC's trackers. But, it's possible both are correct. HP might be "bottom feeding" in the <$250K marketplace. Another possibility is that Sun and other competitors might be in wholesale collapse in the >$250K server marketplace, making IBM's overall market penetration higher. (The only problem with that theory is that IDC trackers also show HP shrinking in that space.) Last, but not least, HP could be flat out lying.

We report. You decide...

--
Edward E Jaffe
Phoenix Software International, Inc
5200 W Century Blvd, Suite 800
Los Angeles, CA 90045
310-338-0400 x318
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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