Telecom Stocks Outlook for the week – 02.12.2013 - 06.12. 2013
www.rupeedesk.in

Telecom stocks next week will eye the meeting of the Empowered Group of 
Ministers on spectrum, which is scheduled to meet Tuesday to discuss the 
proposed merger and acquisition norms and the sector regulator's proposal 
on spectrum usage charges. The ministerial panel, which met last Friday, 
had decided it would meet again to mull the Telecom Commission's proposal, 
which had recommended that merged entities be allowed to have up to 50% 
market share in a circle, after having paid the market-determined price for 
the acquired spectrum as a result of the merger. The panel will also have 
to take a call on whether spectrum usage charges paid by the telecom 
service providers to the government should be kept at a uniform 3% of their 
annual adjusted gross revenue as per the recommendations of the Telecom 
Regulatory Authority of India. Currently, telecom service providers pay 
spectrum usage charges in the range of 2-8% depending on the amount of 
spectrum held by them.

We believe the regulatory environment continues to improve and so we have 
retained our positive stance on Bharti Airtel and Idea Cellular. In terms 
of the performance of telecom stocks next week on the indices, the trend is 
seen mixed. Bharti Airtel is expected to trade negatively next week with 
the stock expected to decline to 318 rupees. Persistent selling pressure on 
the stock may lead to the stock to decline to as low as 309 rupees, adding 
that the upside for the stock is seen limited to 335 rupees. We recommended 
that investors should adopt a 'sell on rise' strategy for Idea Cellular as 
reversal in the stock's recent uptrend is seen in the coming sessions.

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