begin  quoting [EMAIL PROTECTED] as of Mon, May 05, 2008 at 04:30:30PM -0700:
> On Sun, May 04, 2008 at 11:49:19PM -0700, SJS wrote:
> > > I have also heard a salesman say that every "no" is one step closer to a
> > > "yes".
> >
> > Gambler's fallacy.
> 
> It depends how literally you take the comment.  It would be fallacy to think
> that if tails comes up on the last 4 coin flips, that somehow there is some
> magical force increasing the chances of the next flip being heads.
> 
> The meta-point here is that if Tracy and salespeople press on and don't quit
> that eventually they'll come up heads.

Thus demonstrating that fallacies can actually be useful.

-- 
In for a penny, in for a pound.
Stewart Stremler


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