Simple keep one mag

On Fri, Jul 8, 2022 at 10:57 AM Dr. Feng Hsu via KRnet <krnet@list.krnet.org>
wrote:

> Good morning all,
>
> I enjoyed reading all the excellent stories, failure event descriptions,
> arguments of pros & cons and thoughts (from John, Chris and Luis etc.)
> pertaining the debate of safety on dual mags, dual E-ignition or one meg
> plus one E-ignition redundant aircraft engine systems.... Well, I am glad
> to see this discussion actually got us into a classical technical debate on
> pros & cons in safety between conventional engineering vs digital
> engineering, which has been going on for several decades across all the so
> called "high integrity and high reliability" industries, such as nuclear,
> aerospace, chemical and medical ....A famous topic debate on this issue in
> the aerospace or aviation industry for example is the debate on "flying by
> wire"!! Frankly, I am on the camp of opposing the concept of "flying by
> wire" within the safety/reliability & risk assessment academic community,
> and this is simply because the folks who have been advocating the concept
> of "flying by wire" are the "extremist" in engineering design... For the
> same reason, I am a none believer of a truly autonomous and safe unmanned
> cars & trucks or ground-based transportation system based on AI technology
> due to theoretically obstacles or limitations in coding highly reliable and
> safe software packages based on human brains. The chilling fact is that
> over 75% catastrophic accidents from all high-integrity industries were
> contributed by software and human errors combined! Guess what, the single
> most "unreliable component"  in our man-machine systems (such as aviation)
> is the human brain itself!
>
> Obviously, my views on this topic is taking a balance between the two
> approaches and avoid going for both extreme ends of the argument! In
> other words, I believe an one mag (mechanical) plus one E-ignition
> redundancy makes a lot of sense in risk reduction based on theorems &
> reliability engineering principles. I understand what's in the mind of Luis
> on dual "independent e-ignition" component and DC power channels... The
> issue here is that the two e-ignition channels are not truly independent as
> you would believed! Yes, it looks independent in a physical sense but it is
> inherently connected or identical due to the design and manufacturing
> processes! Although I have not done a model based risk assessment myself to
> compare the trade-offs in risk & reliability of these two ignition
> configurations, but I am confident (based on expert judgement) that a meg
> plus e-ignition configuration would highly likely to be the winner in terms
> of safety risk concerns... I am sure other people in the aviation industry
> have done a rigorous model based risk assignment comparison on this matter.
>
> Just to offer some food for thoughts for folks here who might be
> interested in this topic debate...!
>
> Best of luck!
>
> Dr. Hsu
>
> On Fri, Jul 8, 2022, 8:07 AM Luis Claudio via KRnet <krnet@list.krnet.org>
> wrote:
>
>> I think these discussions are healthy and welcoming. I read them and go
>> "hmmm" then I make my own decisions. I have been flying since 1966 when I
>> took my first ride as a civil air patrol cadet in High School in a PA-22
>> 108HP. As a student at Embry-Riddle, I was an understudy of Dr. Richie
>> (RIP) a true pioneer in failure analysis (FMEA) of everything
>> aviation-related. I understand failure modes, and most importantly how
>> to mitigate the risk for each independent system or collectively (through
>> risk priority number= severity x occurrence x detection...) I am also
>> very familiar with E-Mags and other electronic ignitions which is why after
>> careful consideration I chose a dual SDS ignition system.  It wasn't by
>> "gosh or by golly" that I arrived at my conclusion.  Considering that my
>> initial choice of ignition system was a Dual Bendix D3000 mag with a single
>> failure mode (the main coupling), I asked what else is out there... and
>> here is what I considered
>>
>> 1. A dual mag setup such as the aforementioned dual mag - Four points,
>> four capacitors, one coupling = Total 5 points of failure minimum
>> 2. An independent mag with an electronic ignition driven by the timing
>> gears - Minimum of four points of failure (points, capacitor, two couplings)
>> 3. An "E-Mag like" with an electronic ignition driven by the timing gears
>> - Engine couplings = two points of failure (minimum)
>> 4. Two independent electronic ignitions with no mechanical moving parts -
>> dual independent battery backups - Component failure
>> 5. Just screw it and go sailing...
>>
>> My most predictable component failure is the spark plugs. So moving
>> forward I then wrote a proactive maintenance schedule in my POH and
>> annotated it in my conditional inspection form to reduce the risk of
>> component failure. Additionally,  during my selection process, I
>> prioritized the failure modes of each system, mechanical and electronic...
>> from highest RPN to lowest RPN noting that it’s worth emphasizing that it’s
>> nearly impossible to address every potential failure. Instead, I focused on
>> addressing the potential failures that would most jeopardize the safe
>> outcome of my flights and I chose from analysis and not from bells and
>> whistles... just my rambling thoughts here trying to justify that $50K I
>> spent on getting educated at Embry-Riddle back in the day... keep building
>>
>> Luis R Claudio,  KR2S  N8981S
>> On Friday, July 8, 2022 at 06:23:13 AM CDT, victor taylor via KRnet <
>> krnet@list.krnet.org> wrote:
>>
>>
>> To answer Chris yes I do have a flying KR2 with a single electronic
>> ignition though I was actually talking to Dan Diehl yesterday about adding
>> a magneto for a backup.
>> I do contract work for Velocity Aircraft as a pilot. We love electronic
>> ignitions and put them on every airplane. They are the way to go and in the
>> past have gone 100% electronic ignition but over time have had enough
>> failures that we went back to having one mag. I also test fly new airplanes
>> for M-Square who builds the Zenith CH-750 SLSA. I actually have had two
>> electronic ignition failures with brand new aircraft there in the last
>> couple of years. M-Square is still committed to 100% electronic at this
>> point. Just to be clear I’m not knocking electronic ignitions nor their
>> reliability. If you have dual electronic ignitions though you likely are
>> relying on the same electrical system to run both systems. Up until four
>> months ago I had never had a magneto failure in my 40 years of flying but
>> recently I lost a magneto while ferrying a Grumman AA1A. Fortunately the
>> other one got me to the nearest airport where a safe landing was made.
>> There is a reason why aircraft manufacturers such as Velocity have reversed
>> their positions on going 100% electronic. And that reason is failures in
>> the past and accidents such as the one in Kissimmee.
>> When Teladyne Continental first built their full FADEC engine system it
>> kept experiencing total ignition failures in flight. After over a year of
>> flight testing with multiple in flight failures yet not a single one in the
>> test cell they finally got to the bottom of it. The problems was found to
>> be the frequency that the US government uses to communicate with submarines
>> was interfering with the FADAC system. The fix was simple by shielding the
>> system.
>> One of the functions of this group is to make the KR’s safer. That’s done
>> by discussions and experience. Mostly bad experiences and I’ve personally
>> had those bad experiences as a professional test pilot. All of us in this
>> group look at canopy latches a little closer today than we did a year ago.
>> Controls have gotten balanced, fifth bearings have been added to engines,
>> fuel tanks are being moved to the wings etc. You would think that over the
>> years we’ve fixed every possible failure point. Have we?
>> It’s our duty in this group to be devils advocate at times and to point
>> out past failures of similar systems.
>>
>> Victor
>>
>> > On Jul 8, 2022, at 00:24, John Gotschall via KRnet <
>> krnet@list.krnet.org> wrote:
>> >
>> > 
>> > Hi all,
>> >
>> > Quite a bit of commentary about risk, system failure etc.
>> >
>> > So I am convinced everything will fail sooner than later.  I make my
>> living on failing machines, so I may appear a pessimist about machines, or
>> an optimist about future employment fixing them. On the upside there is so
>> much failed stuff I get paid more than just several times every day since
>> 1988 to set those broken machines straight.
>> >
>> > I find it particularly interesting to see the failures that come in
>> groups or waves.  I experienced such an odd failure scenerio in aviation
>> recently.
>> >
>> > I bought an experimental flying boat, a volmer home built, OMG, what a
>> pretty unit!  And a blast to fly!  A cub can't touch a volmer for fun.
>> Sadly I broke that and am still working to fix it.
>> >
>> > Anyway there is an annual seaplane fly in at NW Idaho, and I and a
>> friend went in the volmer.  What a blast!  the mountain crossing, middle of
>> nowhere overnight camping, etc.  However the alternator quit near Idaho and
>> we made our way there and home by never turning on the battery switch the
>> whole time, except to run the starter motor, and then to cross under the
>> Seattle class B.  Needed adsb working for that.
>> >
>> > I found the High current alternator output wire had failed by vibration
>> fatigue and had simply broken off that big alternator output post.  Simple
>> to fix, and I replaced the entire wire with welding cable,  better for
>> vibration.  No big deal.
>> >
>> > Then I broke the Volmer (another story), and needed another flying boat
>> so bought a lake LA-4.  We found it in Arkansas and flew it home to the
>> Seattle area.
>> >
>> > The same seaplane fly in came up in Idaho this year, and we went again
>> this time in the lake.  A complete blast for all the same reasons, but on
>> the way home the alternator quit outputting current!  This time the plane
>> has heavy electrical laods that quickly consumed and flattened the battery
>> in short order (less than 40 minutes) on the final leg home.  instead of
>> panic we just turned west to get out from under the class B, shut all the
>> electrical off and used the hand hydraulic backup pump to operate the gear
>> and flaps.  Made the uneventful landing at home in the backyard and went
>> digging for the fault.
>> >
>> > Dang if it wasn't the SAME DAMN WIRE that broke in the Volmer!  On the
>> second occurrence of the same trip. Except this time the wire pulled out of
>> a bad crimp rather than broke off.  Pulled out of a bad crimp on a
>> certified factory built plane. hmmm.
>> >
>> > Well, both the Volmer and the Lake are dual mag lycomings. An o290 and
>> o360.
>> >
>> > So I will say mags are a great choice, from experience. In both cases
>> mags brought us all the way home.  My kr has one mag and one electric
>> ignition.  It'll probably make it home without an electrical system.
>> >
>> > cheers!
>> >
>> >
>> > jg
>> >
>> >
>> >
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