On 2013-06-09, at 8:40 PM, Raven Jiang CX <j...@stanford.edu> wrote:

> He did work in the intelligence community so maybe he has a better idea than 
> us. My guess is that asylum in Iceland is ideal if everything worked out, but 
> he doesn't think it is strong enough to resist U.S. pressure.
> 
> Hong Kong is stable and modern, so he is less likely to be killed or 
> kidnapped by local criminals on CIA payroll, and at the same time the Chinese 
> government is less likely to cooperate with the U.S. than most other stable 
> governments around the world.
> 
> It's definitely a risky choice, but it's not like there is really any safe 
> ones. I think the gamble boils down to whether China sees more value in 
> trading him off for some other diplomatic concession or keep him safe as a 
> constant reminder of U.S. hypocrisy.

Very intelligent analysis there as to why he picked Hong Kong.

NK

> 
> 
> 
> 
> On 9 June 2013 17:17, Matt Johnson <railm...@gmail.com> wrote:
> Snowden says he wants asylum in Iceland. Why not go there directly?
> 
> Going to Hong Kong makes him vulnerable to accusations of working for the PRC.
> 
> None of that makes sense to me, but what do I know. I will watch, and learn.
> 
> --
> Matt
> 
> On Sun, Jun 9, 2013 at 3:52 PM, Raven Jiang CX <j...@stanford.edu> wrote:
> > There is a strong resistance against Chinese strong-arming in Hong Kong,
> > plus I am not sure that it is actually in the interest of the Chinese
> > government to help the US do anything about this. I think you can make a
> > case for why it's a better choice, though it is definitely debatable.
> >
> >
> > On 9 June 2013 15:10, Sheila Parks <sheilaruthpa...@comcast.net> wrote:
> >>
> >> I agree with what you say about Hong Kong
> >>
> >> He does say he would like to end up in Iceland
> >>
> >> Wonder why he did not go there in the first place
> >>
> >> Such an immensely brave and honest person
> >>
> >> Sheila
> >>
> >>
> >> At 06:04 PM 6/9/2013, you wrote:
> >>>
> >>> On 06/09/2013 04:43 PM, Matt Johnson wrote:
> >>> > I have to say going to Hong Kong for free speech and safety seems like
> >>> > a very odd choice to me. What was he thinking?
> >>>
> >>> Actually, and I think this is pointed out in either the video or an
> >>> article somewhere, Hong Kong doesn't generally suffer the speech
> >>> restrictions mainland China does. Sure, they aren't completely free but
> >>> protests and unpopular political speech happen quite frequently and are
> >>> generally well tolerated by the government.
> >>>
> >>> Still, I have to wonder why he didn't go somewhere like Iceland. To me,
> >>> that would have been a no-brainer.
> >>>
> >>> Anthony
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>> --
> >>> Anthony Papillion
> >>> Phone:   1.918.533.9699
> >>> SIP:     sip:cajuntec...@iptel.org
> >>> iNum:    +883510008360912
> >>> XMPP:    cypherpun...@jit.si
> >>>
> >>> www.cajuntechie.org
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> >>
> >>
> >> Sheila Parks, Ed.D.
> >> Founder
> >> Center for Hand-Counted Paper Ballots
> >> Watertown, MA  02472
> >> 617 744 6020
> >> DEMOCRACY IN OUR HANDS
> >> www.handcountedpaperballots.org
> >> she...@handcountedpaperballots.org
> >>
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