Karla, Andy and those so inclined - and still interested -
Has anyone made an attempt to look at increased capacity/demand of COA,
LEAP and Parks and Rec due to the proposed Town Rezoning?
The Rezoning Deck posted earlier this AM includes a chart on LPS School
Enrollment - demonstrating what could be absorbed within current # of class
sections and within the space limitation of (1) additional section per
grade. A majority of the allowable increase can be absorbed within the
current number of class sections - 187 of a 267 total.
Beyond debate and disagreement about numbers, perhaps a larger lesson to be
gleaned is that the school project smartly has been right-sized for
additional future capacity. Given the proposed zoning changes - that
additional demand should be at least a point of discussion if not be
outright factored into the Community Center programming.
Michael Dembowski
Conant Road

On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 11:13 AM Karla Gravis <karlagra...@gmail.com> wrote:

> While I understand that Hanscom could bring a level of complexity, that
> distinction is not relevant in this particular discussion because the CCBC
> is not calculating the non-Hanscom population. The benchmarking used the
> TOTAL Lincoln population.
>
>
> The issue at hand is that the town census shows 600 (~40%) more seniors
> than the US census for all of Lincoln. Hanscom does not affect that.
>
>
> More importantly, the Hanscom discussion does not change the fact that the
> CCBC is not being forthcoming about sources. The CCBC said, in writing,
> and I quote: “The CCBC has used the Town Census numbers for every town,
> to ensure full comparability”. That is simply not true. Regardless of
> Hanscom or not, the CCBC benchmarking is using different sources for other
> towns and not for Lincoln. They used the *lower* numbers for other towns
> from one source and the *higher* numbers for Lincoln from a different
> source. At the very least, there should have been a caveat explaining this.
>
>
> I would also note that, given the upward bias of a town census, due to the
> methodological issues I describe in my previous post, there is little
> reason to believe the ACS is a less accurate population measure.
>
>
> By using the higher numbers for Lincoln but lower numbers for other towns,
> it seems like we’re trying to justify a center bigger than our needs. If we
> add this to the fact that the COA refuses to provide attendance data, we
> dramatically increase the probability that the town will be building
> another building that is way too big for our real needs.
>
>
> Karla Gravis
>
> Weston Road
>
>
> On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 9:05 AM Andrew Payne <a...@payne.org> wrote:
>
>>
>> Karla G. wrote:
>>
>> Below are two examples for Concord and Harvard, as proof that the CCBC
>>> used the ACS numbers and not the town census numbers in their benchmarking.
>>>
>> The issue that is very unique to Lincoln when trying to use that US
>> Census ACS data:  figuring out the *non-Hanscom population.  *
>>
>> Anyone making cross-town comparisons should keep that in mind.
>>
>> One
>> let's-complicate-things-by-putting-Hanscom-AFB-base-housing-within-our-small-town's-town-limits
>> resident's view,
>>
>> -andy
>> https://payne.org/lt-disclaimer/
>>
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