You've always got to decide for yourself and pick your own weather windows.  If 
you have access to the internet, buoyweather.com ($10 a month) is an excellent 
resource that I've found to be reliable throughout the Bahamas and the 
Caribbean. Chris Parker is excellent, but you also need to realize that his 
recommendations are often based on his prejudices instead of reality.  You also 
need to realize that you cannot always communicate with him or receive his 
broadcast via SSB.  As in navigation, the prudent mariner does not rely on just 
one source of information.

Peter
P323 Now or Never!




________________________________
From: "[email protected]" <[email protected]>
To: jim sims <[email protected]>
Cc: [email protected]
Sent: Tue, February 23, 2010 10:40:57 AM
Subject: Re: [Liveaboard] heading to southern caribbean? Looking for flotilla?

Jim,

Ben's advice is right on target.
We left the US mainland in December 2008.
Our path was the VanSant suggested route.

My wife Sue and I went solo without other 
vessels, though we met many folks in anchorages
along the way and got good advice.  We chose to
sail single as there is little another boat can do 
for you and it only complicates the trip with a lot
of planning and if something goes wrong there is
not much that can be done to help each other)
so you both go as slow as the slowest boat and
get slowed down too much for various concerns.

We stayed in Bahamas a while (to get some of 
our money's worth.  It costs $300 check in for 
our sized boat.  We went solo, however and 
moved whenever the weather permitted. I would
recommend a $200 (or $300 with email weather
daily as well) sponsoring subscription with the Caribbean
Weather Center run by Chris Parker. Its run completely
on HF radio.  Currently 8131 at 7am, then 4045 at 7:30
and then 8104 at 8:30 (all times are ATLANTIC Standard
TIMES). 

We found Chris Parker's weather and routing reassuring 
and you can get advice on weather and
routing throughout the caribbean and not get
surprised by bad weather. Well Worth it.
Chris Parker <[email protected]>

Our path and a few notes:
NO NAME HARBOR at Key Biscayne
BIMINI (north Bimini Island)

NASSAU (across banks leaving in good weather
with wx routing... and full moon arriving in good light 
at morning)

EXUMA ISLAND CHAIN from top to Georgetown at bottom
(we made 5 stops enroute including the water park)
GEORGETOWN

MAYAGUANNA (Abrahams Bay - waited 5 days for wx)

WEST CAICOS in TURKS AND CAICOS (departed by
way of south to French Cay and stayed off the 
banks overnight to shore of DR and stopped for 
fuel and a $110 entry fee at Puerta Plata during
a one hour stop so we could keep moving )
PUERTO PLATA, DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

BOQUERON, PUERTO RICO (check in at
Mayaguez, PR via Taxi)

PONCE, PR

CHARLOTTE AMALIE, ST THOMAS, USVI
(we went south of Vieques, but suggest that 
going around the north side - with care at
the reef on the NW corner of Vieques)

LEINSTER BAY, ST JOHN, USVI

ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA,  BVI (3 day check in and out in one
stop for $22) then proceeded to
MARINA CAY, BVIs
LEVERICK BAY, VIRGIN GORDA, BVIs
(left early morning for an early evening arrival 
at next stop after Annegada Passage after waiting
for weather)

MARIGOT BAY, SAINT MARTIN (French West Indies)
(you can wait in the bay for the 8:15 am bridge opening - 
they only open 3 times daily and then anchor in the French
side inside the lagoon under the Witches Tit - with a 
Check in fee of only $8)(while in French side you can 
visit both Dutch side and French side without further
costs - leaving your boat anchored in French side)

ST KITTS

GUADELOUPE (Fr W.I.)

MARTINIQUE (Fr W.I.)

ST LUCIA

BEQUIA

CARRIACOU (Grenadines)

GRENADA

BELOW IS A SAMPLE OF THE GENERAL FORECAST FROM
CHRIS PARKER.  HE ALSO GIVES DIRECT ADVISE AND DAILY
UPDATES FOR YOUR SPECIFIC LOCATION AS TO YOUR WINDS
AND SEAS IF YOU ARE A SPONSOR.

Chris Parker <[email protected]>
Wx Update, E Caribbean, Mon22, 9a
10p last eve ASCAT: Venezuela W of Margarita en...@12-18, lightest 
Margarita-Tortuga / ABCs e...@16-19 / PuertoRico mostly n...@10-17, but 
n-...@15-20 MonaPassage & W PuertoRico / DomRep en...@13-17.
BUOYs: 60mi SW of Nevis: 1...@10-14, 3-4'.  21N/65W: 0...@7-12, 6'/11sec NNW-N 
swell.
IMAGERY:
Isolated showers NW Leewards...just S of StCroix...DomRep's S Coast to 16N, all 
along remnants of old FrontalTROF, with much less activity NW of FrontalTROF 
from Virgins thru PuertoRico & DomRep, and little activity elsewhere.
SYNOPSIS:
FrontalTROF continues dissipating...allowing sub-Tropical Atlantic RIDGE to 
gain influence, with building E-SE wind most areas late today or tonight into 
tomorrow.
LO developing over GA today strengthens E of Hatteras tomorrow...trailing 
ColdFRONT thru Bahamas...thus suppressing RIDGE...and allowing E-SE Trades to 
decrease most of E Caribbean tomorrow & Wed24.
That FRONT stalls along DomRep with little significant weather, but allows some 
rebuilding of E-SSE winds Thu25 into Fri26 morning.
Yet another significant FRONT presses thru Bahamas & W Atlantic 
Thu25...penetrating to DomRep - maybe MonaPassage or PuertoRico - 
Fri26...allowing E Caribbean ESE-SSE Trades to decrease again, except areas 
along and N&W of FRONT which see increasing N-component wind & squalls & seas.
Some rebuilding of E-SE Trades weekend, but with much-higher N-component swell.
F'cst:
Precip:
Trinidad thru SE Leewards: only a few isolated showers & mild squalls with 
5-10k enhanced wind, mostly mornings.
NW Leewards: similar, but a bit more coverage today & again late Fri26.
Virgins & PuertoRico: only a few isolated showers & mild squalls with 5-10k 
enhanced wind today, then just slight risk of activity mornings; but more 
coverage beginning mid-day Fri26.
DomRep: periods of isolated showers & mild squalls with 5-10k enhanced wind 
anytime, but very little activity Wed24 thru Thu25 morning...increasing from 
W-to-E Thu25, but not extending into MonaPassage till late Thu25 night.
Venezuela & ABCs: mostly dry.
WIND (for wind in squalls see Precip):
Windwards (waters toward Trinidad subtract 2k): 070-090-deg building to 16-17k 
today, 090-deg tonight; 1...@17 tomorrow morning, 14k most of tomorrow; 1...@12 
Wed24; 1...@9-12 Thu25; 090-...@13 Fri26...NIGHTs add 2-3k.
StLucia-Martinique area: 080-090-deg building to 16k today, 18k tonight; 
1...@18 tomorrow morning; 1...@13 afternoon, 12k Wed24; 1...@8-11 Thu25, 10-13k 
Fri26...NIGHTs add 2-3k.
SE Leewards: 1...@10 today, 14k overnight; 120-...@15 tomorrow morning, 12k 
afternoon, 8-10k late; 1...@11 Wed24, 5-8k late Wed24 thru Fri26...NIGHTs add 
2-3k.
NW Leewards & Virgins & E PuertoRico: varying ne...@7-12 today, becoming 
en...@15 tonight; 120-...@14 tomorrow, 10k late; s...@13 Wed24; variable near 
5k late; s...@10-12 Thu25 into Fri26; variable under 10k later Fri26.
MonaPassage & vicinity: mostly ene-...@10-15 today, 15k tonight; ese-...@15 
tomorrow morning; s...@5-10 late & Wed24, 10-13k Thu25; clocking s-w-n...@10-14 
Fri26.
W DomRep: mostly e-...@15-18 today; clocking se-...@10-15 tomorrow; variable 
under 10k Wed24; rebuilding se-s-w...@10-18 Wed24 night & Thu25; n-...@10-15 
Fri26.
Venezuela: 060-...@17 today & tomorrow; 0...@12-15 Wed24; n...@10 building to 
16k Thu25; ene-...@15-17 Fri26...NIGHTs add 3-5k / S of 11N subtract up-to-5k.
ABCs: 080-...@18 today; 090-...@18 tomorrow morning, 16k afternoon; 
ene-...@10-12 late tomorrrow night & Wed24, 7-11k Thu25, 6-10k Fri26, 10-13k 
late.
SEAS:
SE Caribbean: NNW-NNE swell to 5'/11sec today, 4' tomorrow, 2-4' thereafter.  
Swell from E-ESE 5-6'/7-8sec thru tomorrow, 5' Wed24, 4-5' thereafter.  
Wind-chop to 5' thru tomorrow morning, 4' tomorrow, 3' Wed24 onward.
NE Caribbean: N-component swell to 6'/11sec from NNW-N today, 5' from N 
tomorrow into Wed24, 4' later; 3-4'/14sec from N-NNE Thu25, 6' from NNE-NE 
Fri26.  Wind-chop 2-6' today, 4' tonight, 3-4' tomorrow, 2' late, 3' Wed24, 1' 
late, 2' Fri25 onward.
DomRep: to 6' from N with 10sec interval & from E with 6sec interval into 
tomorow morning, 4-5' later tomorrow, 3-4' Wed24 into Thu25; 4-5'/5-14sec from 
NE Thu25 afternoon, 5-6' building to 7-8' Fri26.
Venezuela: 5'/5-6sec from E thru tomorrow, 4-5' Wed24 onward...NIGHTs add 1' / 
S of 11N subtract 1'/
ABCs: 6'/5-6sec from E thru tomorrow, 5' tomorrow night, 4' Wed24, 3' late 
onward.


Thats about all I can say on this limited forum.  Feel free to send 
an email or call us at our SKYPE phone - or we can call you back if
you have any specific questions. 

Ed Kelly on Angel Louise
[email protected] (spam protected so you have to verify you are not a junk 
mail source)
41 foot overloaded and slow Catamaran!  We sometimes think
of her as a 'squashed trawler' but love her a lot!
202-657-6357 is our phone on Skype with answering machine -
we will gladly get back to you.

Good luck,

Ed

On Feb 23, 2010 9:35am, jim sims <[email protected]> wrote:
> Already got it - that's what convinced me to seriously consider the
> 
> island hopping rather that straight blue water route :-)
> 
> 
> 
> thanks!
> 
> jim
> 
> 
> 
> On Mon, Feb 22, 2010 at 2:37 PM, Ben Okopnik [email protected]> wrote:
> 
> > Hi, Jim -
> 
> >
> 
> > On Mon, Feb 22, 2010 at 01:33:03PM -0500, jim sims wrote:
> 
> >> Nekkid Joy III is lying Chalreston, Sc and I'm wanting to move her to
> 
> >> the southern, windward caribbean prior to June/July. Looking for other
> 
> >> folks headed that way, advice on whether to island hop or do a
> 
> >> blue-water route (no blue-water experience here), or any other useful
> 
> >> info you have.
> 
> >
> 
> > I strongly recommend Bruce van Sant's "The Gentleman's Guide to Passages
> 
> > South" (and I don't often say this about books related to cruising;
> 
> > there's a lot of nonsense out there, and some of it will kill you if you
> 
> > follow it.) Everything I've learned in my years of passagemaking and
> 
> > island-hopping just serves to confirm what I learned from his book when
> 
> > I first read it; Bruce may not be the most pleasant guy in the world in
> 
> > person, but his writing is funny, his advice in general is right on the
> 
> > dot, and his chapter on weather is pure gold. In my opinion, no
> 
> > first-timer going down to the islands should be without it.
> 
> >
> 
> >
> 
> > --
> 
> >                       OKOPNIK CONSULTING
> 
> >        Custom Computing Solutions For Your Business
> 
> > Expert-led Training | Dynamic, vital websites | Custom programming
> 
> >               443-250-7895    http://okopnik.com
> 
> > _______________________________________________
> 
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> 
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