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Recent messages from French/Arabic activist websites indicate that Gaddafi has selectively released Islamist Salafists from prison and even "sent them along" to Eastern Libya. Since Gadaffi claimed yesterday that Eastern Libya had become an "Al-Quaeda inspired Islamic Emirate", no doubt that he is intent on achieving a self-prophetized development. By freeing the most reactionary Islaimist prisoners from jail and possibly arming them, Gaddafi is determined to cause civil war, taking his queue from Saddam Hussein's moves, but in a more grotesque fashion (as always with Gadaffi). He is deliberately utilising the few remaining days he has in power to create the conditions for a Libyan civil war, rallyinh his cousins and his tribe around him, frantically spending every dollar he has left (before his acounts ins Switzerland are frozen) to employ mercenaries, using Al Afrikiyya aircrafts to shuttle said mercenaries, using the secret police to infiltrate extremist pro-Al Quaeda elements and use them to destabilize Eastern Libya, and, over the past hours, having lists of pro-Gadaffi loyalist officers appear on state TV and threatening to murder the families of any officers who defect. He and his sons and cousins can probably hold out in Sabah and the Sahara for some time and wage "Bedouin" warfare including indescriminate attacks on civilians. Gadaffi prophetized an apocalypse, and he is going to do his utmost to make sure it happens, dragging Libya into civil war with the help of billions of dollars from oil revenue. However, he will not succeed ultimately. The coastal cities of Libya will take over, a new government will be ushered in. But Gadaffi has probably decided that his best bet lies in continual harassment from Guerrillas and former security personnel. ________________________________________________ Send list submissions to: Marxism@greenhouse.economics.utah.edu Set your options at: http://greenhouse.economics.utah.edu/mailman/options/marxism/archive%40mail-archive.com
