As Micheal M. notes, the Chinese leadership supports peaceful reunification 
with Taiwan along the same lines as Hong Kong but refuses to rule out military 
intervention if a Taiwanese government unilaterally declares independence.

Taiwan's ruling Democratic Progressive Party appears unwilling to provoke China 
by going beyond what is effectively de facto independence. The opposition 
Kuomintang also supports the status quo but favours closer ties with the 
mainland and its vast internal market as being in the island’s best interest.

Each party is responding to Taiwanese public opinion which overwhelmingly 
opposes both a unilateral declaration of independence and unification.  The PRC 
leadership seems more content to wait for Taiwanese support for unification to 
steadily increase in line with the expansion of China’s economic growth and 
allure as a tourist, education, investment and employment destination than it 
is willing to risk war with the US and its allies.

I support the right of the Taiwanese people to reject forcible integration with 
the mainland and to freely choose unification or independence.  I'm equally 
opposed to how the principle of self-determination has been typically exploited 
by US imperialism to turn Taiwan into another forward base far from is shores.  
I view the PRC's military m aneuvering around Taiwan within this context rather 
than as a prelude to a full-scale invasion though I don't discount the 
possibility that signals of disengagement from the Trump administration might 
tempt it to alter course.


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