My local weather guru advises that 1) it's premature to evacuate folks before there is even a posted "watch", and in that regard: 2) Matthew has recently veered sharply to the east, and may head out to sea instead of barreling up the coast toward Floyd/Rich and his TP-hoarding ilk.
On Wed, Oct 5, 2016 at 1:29 PM, Dan--- via Mercedes <mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > I have an observation in this regard: > > While one might think hurricanes are the better of say, a winter storm, > having experienced both I would disagree. Here's why: > > A winter storm usually comes up quickly and with minimal warning. When you > know it's coming you might have all of a day or two to prepare at worse. > > A hurricane is known for some time, as with Matthew, we've been watching > it churn for almost a week - all without knowing whether or not we will be > at risk. So the stress starts in early - do I prepare or do I sit back and > wait units it's nearly on top of me? The last 2-3 days have been a real > roller coaster here, as we don't know if we're going to feel the effects of > it or not - every 3-5 hours when a new NHC forecast comes out we have to > look, and even that isn't a given. When one of the hurricanes hit the west > coast of Florida in the early 2000s, the course changed enough two hours > before it made landfall to almost completely miss us, where up until that > point we were square it its line of travel. > > So with a winter storm you have less warning, but it's more likely to > affect you in many cases. With a hurricane there's all this time of > anticipation leading up to it, but even in the final hours you may end up > not being affected. > > Dan > > Sent from my iPad > > > On Oct 5, 2016, at 11:46 AM, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes < > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > > > > There is an inverse proportion between the degree of panic and the > eventual > > track of the storm. In other words, more panic means less effects. > > > > On Wed, Oct 5, 2016 at 11:34 AM, archer75--- via Mercedes < > > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > > > >> On Wed, 05 Oct 2016 09:28:22 -0500 > >> Curley McLain via Mercedes <mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > >> > >>> Dunno. I never could figger that out. When there is a big blizzard > >>> predicted, people go out and buy vanloads of TP. It must be built into > >>> the female psyche somehow. If there is a weather threat, buy all the > TP > >>> you can. > >>> > >>> One possible explanation might be related to the 70s. After the oel > >>> companies successfully created a "oel shortage" and managed to almost > >>> double the price of Benzin, the paper companies decided to create a TP > >>> shortage. Like trained lemmings, as soon as they announced that TP > >>> might be in short supply, people went out and cleared the shelves of > >>> TP. That was the first time I remember hoarding TP. Before that, > the > >>> snears catalog or a corn cob worked. > >>> > >>> Ever since that time, the lemmings will go out and buy 5-10 years worth > >>> of TP at any major storm prediction. I have no idea what they do with > >>> all of it. > >>>> Mitch Haley via Mercedes <mailto:mercedes@okiebenz.com> > >>>> October 5, 2016 at 8:45 AM > >>>> > >>>> What's with the TP? > >>>> I buy twelve packs of "mega rolls" (supposedly equal to 48 normal > >> rolls). > >>>> When I'm down to half a pack I start looking for a sale. If I'm afraid > >>>> the roads > >>>> will be closed for a week, I make sure I've got a week's worth of food > >> and > >>>> generator gas for the furnace/refrigerator/well pump. > >>>> > >>>> Mitch. > >> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > >> Women want toilet paper more than men. It has to do with their anatomy. > >> Men make do no matter what the situation: > >> > >> "Here I sit in punguent vapor. > >> "Just now looked and there is no paper. > >> "I'm late, late, late and I cannot linger. > >> "Look out below, here comes my finger. > >> > >> --- > >> This email has been checked for viruses by Avast antivirus software. > >> https://www.avast.com/antivirus > >> > >> > >> _______________________________________ > >> http://www.okiebenz.com > >> > >> To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > >> > >> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > >> http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > _______________________________________ > > http://www.okiebenz.com > > > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > > > > > > _______________________________________ > http://www.okiebenz.com > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > _______________________________________ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
