A lot of vague assumptions written by a dreamer. Where are they going to get all that electricity and what will it cost?Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A -------- Original message --------From: archer75--- via Mercedes <mercedes@okiebenz.com> Date: 2018-11-25 2:37 AM (GMT-06:00) To: Mercedes Discussion List <mercedes@okiebenz.com> Cc: arche...@embarqmail.com Subject: [MBZ] Quote without comment > Food for Thought > *Auto repair shops will go away.*> *A gasoline engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has 20.> Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are only repaired by> dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor.> Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the dealership but are sent to a> regional repair shop that repairs them with robots. Your electric motor> malfunction light goes on, so you drive up to what looks like a Jiffy-auto> wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee and out> comes your car with a new electric motor!* > *Gas stations will go away. Parking meters will be replaced by meters that> dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical recharging> stations; in fact, they’ve already started. You can find them at select> Dunkin Donuts locations.*> *Most (the smart) major auto manufacturers have already designated money to> start building new plants that only build electric cars.* > *Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away.> Drilling for oil will stop. So, say goodbye to OPEC!* > *Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day and> then they use and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it and> dispenses it to industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody> seen the Tesla roof?* > *A baby of today will only see personal cars in museums.* > *The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.* > *In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper> worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared, and> they went bankrupt. Who would have thought of that ever happening?*> *What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10> years and, most people don't see it coming.* > *Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later, you would never take pictures> on film again? With today’s smart phones, who even has a camera these days?* > *Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000> pixels but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies,> it was a disappointment for a time, before it became way superior and> became mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen again (but> much faster) with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric> cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.* > *Forget the book, “Future Shock”, welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.*> *Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional> industries in the next 5-10 years.*> *UBER is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the> biggest taxi company in the world!*> > *Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming.* > *Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't> own any properties.*> > *Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.* > *Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in> understanding the world.*> > *This year, a computer beat the best Go-player in the world, 10 years> earlier than expected.* > *In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM’s Watson,> you can get legal advice (so far for right now, the basic stuff) within> seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.> So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in> the future, (what a thought!) only omniscient specialists will remain.* > *Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, its 4 times more accurate> than human nurses.* > *Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces> better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than> humans.* > *Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are already here. In> the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be disrupted. You won't> want to own a car anymore as you will call a car with your phone, it will> show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not> need to park it you will only pay for the driven distance and you can be> productive while driving. The very young children of today will never get a> driver's license and will never own a car.*> *This will change our cities, because we will need 90-95% fewer cars. We> can transform former parking spaces into parks.* > *1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide including> distracted or drunk driving. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles;> with autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles.> That will save a million lives plus worldwide each year.*> *Most traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt. Traditional> car companies will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better> car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary> approach and build a computer on wheels.*> *Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal combustions> engines in their vehicles starting this year with the 2019 models, using> all electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out hybrid models.* > *Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla> and so they should be. Look at all the companies offering all electric> vehicles. That was unheard of, only a few years ago.*> *Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents,> the costs will become cheaper. Their car insurance business model will> disappear.*> *Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people> will move farther away to live in a more beautiful or affordable> neighborhood.* > *Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will be less noisy> because all new cars will run on electricity.*> > *Cities will have much cleaner air as well. (Can we start in Los Angeles,> please?)* > *Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.* > *Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you> can now see the burgeoning impact.*> > *And it’s just getting ramped up.* > *Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid> to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply> cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.* > *Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are> companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star> Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood> sample and your breath into it. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will> identify nearly any Disease. There are dozens of phone apps out there right> now for health purposes.* > *WELCOME TO TOMORROW – it arrived a few years ago.*---This email has been checked for viruses by AVG.https://www.avg.com_______________________________________http://www.okiebenz.comTo search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com _______________________________________ http://www.okiebenz.com
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