Well said. My son was just told to go home from his Michigan state college until further notice. All classes will be online. My take is they are trying to slow the process down so the hospitals are not overrun. Michael E. Esh
> On Mar 12, 2020, at 10:13 PM, Peter Frederick via Mercedes > <mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > > This is actually real. Very contagious, more so that flu (3.5 persons > infected on average by every contagious person) and a death rate from 2 to > 5%, heavily skewed to older (60 +) individuals. > > Serious disease rate is around 20% -- that, requiring hospitalization. > > China managed to stop it by putting the entire population of some fairly > large cities essentially on house arrest > > My personal estimation is that a very large number of people are already > infected in the US, this particular disease is at the exponential increase > stage since we are doing essentially nothing to control it yet, with the > potential to infect a million or so people, put 200,000 extra people in the > hospital in the next few weeks, and end up with 30,000 extra deaths IF we get > moving and stop the spread. > > If we don't figure millions infected, tens of thousands of extra deaths, > hospitals unable to treat patients for anything, extra deaths from flu and > all sorts of other things, and a MAJOR economic recession. > > Gonna be a rough one -- in fact, the major outbreak of novel disease many > epidemiologists have been losing sleep over for th last couple decades. > _______________________________________ > http://www.okiebenz.com > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > _______________________________________ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
