I am not discounting the potential severity of the wuhan flu. At
the same time there is considerable evidence that the media has over
hyped the danger. The article below is an illustration of how to
lie with statistics. You don't even need to buy Mr. Huff's little
book.
The controversial Ethiopian politician and Director General of the
World Health Organization (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, claimed
in a press conference in early March that the fatality rate for the
coronavirus was many multiples that of the fatality rate of the
common flu.
This egregiously false premise has led to the greatest panic in
world history.
The Director General of the WHO spoke on March 3, 2020 and shared
this related to the coronavirus:
While many people globally have built up immunity to seasonal flu
strains, COVID-19 is a new virus to which no one has immunity. That
means more people are susceptible to infection, and some will suffer
severe disease.
Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By
comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those
infected.
This statement led to the greatest panic in world history as the
media all over the world shared and repeated that the coronavirus
was many, many times more deadly than the common flu.
The problem is his statement is false. It was not accurate!
The Gateway Pundit reported yesterday, that the coronavirus fatality
rate reported by the media was completely inaccurate and the actual
rate is less than the current seasonal flu – the media was lying
again. The false reporting of the coronavirus fatality rate of 3.4%
in the media started with the statements made by the WHO in early March.
Take a look at this recent summary that actually proves the Director
General’s statement was materially false, though you’ll not hear
mainstream media talking about this at all:
*1. The fatality rate of the coronavirus was based on current data
available of known positive cases and known deaths.*
Oftentimes estimates have to be made because data is just not yet
available. The Director General of the World Health Organization
(WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, used the fatality rate of
coronavirus with known numbers and used this as his prediction of
eventual mortality rate. This was a faulty assumption. Estimates
usually involve obtaining information that is available and making
estimates on what is not. We cannot tell the future but we can make
educated guesses based on information available. This is what has
been done with the coronavirus because this type of virus has
apparently never been seen before.
*2. Sometimes estimates are reasonable and sometimes they are wrong,
and even way off.*
The point is that whenever estimates are made of large unknown
values they are always wrong because no one can tell the future.
Sometimes estimates end up close and sometimes they are not and
sometimes they are way off.
This is a factor that simply cannot be overstated. There was a massive
lack of information available at the time when this whole situation
kicked off. People seem to take every single thing reported by the WHO
as the absolute, accurate truth without taking other factors into
consideration.
*3. The current “estimate” for the coronavirus fatality rate
according to the WHO is about 3.4%.*
The estimate used most often is from the WHO based on the Director
General’s comments. The WHO estimates the mortality rate of the
coronavirus to be around 3.4%:
The World Health Organization (WHO) has estimated the mortality
rate from Covid-19 is about 3.4%. That is higher than seasonal
flu and is cause for concern – but even if it is correct, more
than 96% of people who become infected with the coronavirus will
recover.
*4. The same rate for this year’s seasonal flu is 10% if you use
known cases and known deaths (but the media tells you it’s .1%).*
As The Gateway Pundit reported earlier, according to CDC numbers, in
the US in the 2019-2020 flu season, there were 222,552 confirmed
cases of the flu from testing and an estimated 36 million flu cases
in the United States. There were 22,000 estimated deaths from the
flu (via the CDC).
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