right. and the theory is that by having people try to be hermits, we
can lower the peak numbers and spread the hopital load out over a longer
time. Sounds good on paper. We are old enough to remember when we
DID have a lot more hospital beds. Hospitals were closed and torn down
or converted to other use "Because we don't need so many beds" in the
80s and 90s. Many towns lost their only hospital. Like everything
else, need for hospital beds is cyclical. The regular flu is
cyclical. the death numbers go up over 100% and the next year may be
only 50% of the peak year.
But lying with statistics is still lying. We need to cut funding to UN
and its offspring WHO. The USA can stand on out own.
Peter Frederick via Mercedes wrote on 3/18/20 9:55 PM:
More to the point, how many people will need hospitalization to survive, and
for how long. Doctors in Italy are being forced to decide who gets life saving
care already, and the case load is still climbing.
At the current rate of increase in caseload in the US we will hit 1.5 million
infections in about four weeks. 3.5% of that is 51,000 deaths and 200,000 or
so people in the hospital for more than a week, possibly as many as 700,000.
We don't have that many hospital beds.
Death rate in Italy appears to be 4-5% as well....
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