Karl, I wonder - what is the percentage of COVID 19 deaths above the pre-pandemic "average" death totals in NYC?
On Sat, Mar 28, 2020 at 4:50 PM Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > Yeah. Flu is no joke either. But its rate of hospitalizing people does not > compare. The main difference is that many people are already immune to > h1n1, so they dont all show up to the ER at the same time, also because > h1n1 is less contagious. And covid 19 hospitalizes 20% of the people it > infects, roughly, which flu does not do. So it is spreading fast into to a > population with no herd immunity, and making a bunch of them pretty sick. > > See my reply to Dan for a link to the estimated ICU bed shortage state by > state, estimated deaths etc. They project 81k deaths for the country as a > whole IIRC for this epidemic over a few months. But NY is short thousands > of ICU beds and hospital beds, because it hits faster there, whereas > CLifonia put distancing in place earlier, so it peaks more slowly and we > remain within our bed capacity mostly. It will still be ugly here and we > still dont have n95 masks for ourselves or our residents dealing with these > patients. (The critical care people doing all the intubations get first > dibs on the n95s). But NYC is in for a truly terrible couple of weeks > coming up. Just terrible. Models are just estimates but it looks like they > are already piling up bodies in refrigerated containers outside the > hospital. > > On Sat, Mar 28, 2020, 9:43 AM Meade Dillon via Mercedes < > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > > > Time for another update. > > > > Then and now: > > > > H1N1: From 12 April 2009 to 10 April 2010, a study estimated that > > approximately 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 > > hospitalizations (195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (8868-18,306) > > occurred in the United States due to pH1N1. > > > > COVID-19 As of today, 28 March: ~106,000 cases, ~1700 deaths. > > > > Plain Old Flu as killed ~22,000 Americans this season, estimated to top > out > > around 30,000. > > > > Try to keep perspective folks! > > > > ------------- > > Max > > Charleston SC > > > > > > On Thu, Mar 19, 2020 at 8:32 AM Meade Dillon <dillonm...@gmail.com> > wrote: > > > > > Then and now: > > > > > > H1N1: From 12 April 2009 to 10 April 2010, a study estimated that > > > approximately 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274,304 > > > hospitalizations (195,086-402,719), and 12,469 deaths (8868-18,306) > > > occurred in the United States due to pH1N1. > > > > > > COVID-19 As of today: ~9400 cases, ~150 deaths. > > > > > > Plain Old Flu as killed ~20,000 Americans this season, estimated to top > > > out around 30,000. > > > > > > Draw your own conclusions. > > > ------------- > > > Max > > > Charleston SC > > > > > > > > > > > > > > _______________________________________ > > http://www.okiebenz.com > > > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > > > > _______________________________________ > http://www.okiebenz.com > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > _______________________________________ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
