Yes but it has to be darned good (sensitive and specific) for the positive predictive value to be good in a low prevalence population. We are really not sure how to interpret the results of these tests yet. I have heard some tests are 99% sensitive and specific which is what would be required.
On Mon, May 18, 2020, 10:15 AM Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes < mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > Highly reliable antibody testing is readily available now. > > Greg > > -----Original Message----- > From: Mercedes [mailto:mercedes-boun...@okiebenz.com] On Behalf Of Dan > Penoff via Mercedes > Sent: Monday, May 18, 2020 6:55 AM > To: Okie Benz > Cc: Dan Penoff > Subject: Re: [MBZ] OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out > > I’ve mentioned this previously. Both the wife and I had mild flu-like > stuff back in mid to late February, too. We both wondered if we already had > a mild case of beer virus. > > -D > > > On May 18, 2020, at 9:42 AM, Floyd Thursby via Mercedes < > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote: > > > > I wonder how they will be skewed from a reduction in MVAs, bangers > shooting each other, other deaths associated with activities that have been > diminished. I guess those can be statistically excluded but it will be > interesting to see what the overall death rates are for the months of say > March and April in the various categories. > > > > Some friends (late 60s, he is a retired doc) believe they had the covids > back in February -- some sort of flu-like thing but not the flu, not a > cold, they felt not real bad for 3-4 days then recovered fairly rapidly. > Their gated luxury resort lifestyle community (lot of nooyawkas have 2nd or > 3rd or 4th homes there and relocated) is having free testing this week for > the 1%ers so they will see if they got da bug. > > > > On 5/18/20 1:49 AM, Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes wrote: > >> Looking at excess deaths for this time of year compared to other years > is > >> likely to be the best way to tell how many people covid 19 ended up > >> killing. It takes time for those numbers to roll in, though. > > > > -- > > --FT > > > > > > _______________________________________ > > http://www.okiebenz.com > > > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > > > > _______________________________________ > http://www.okiebenz.com > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > > > _______________________________________ > http://www.okiebenz.com > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com > > _______________________________________ http://www.okiebenz.com To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/ To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to: http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
