Chuck,

I can't help with any useful input, just some general comments.  

When it's blowing 25 knots, I adhere to the paraphrase of the old pilot's
comment, which goes:

"It's better to be on the ground, wishing you were in the air, than be in
the air wishing you were on the ground."

The sailor's version is:  "It's better to be on the dock, wishing you
were out sailing; than to be out sailing, wishing you were at the dock."

Under those conditions, my thoughts would be a deep reef in the main,
plus possibly a reef in the jib as well.  But without being out in an M15
under those conditions to see how the boat reacts, it's difficult to make
any meaningful comments.  If you have to hang on to the tiller with both
hands, you are over-canvased.  By reducing sail, you also lighten your
steering loads, which reduces the physical effort needed to sail the
boat.  This is goodness!  i.e., the load on the tiller tells you when it
is time to reef.

>From lots of past experience I can only say, reef early and deep.  Keep
the boat sailing on it's feet:  this lee rail under jazz is for people
that insist on spilling their beer, or are looking for a spectacular
photo of their boat.  The boat doesn't like being sailed that way, and if
you are honest - neither do you.

Remember, it is always easier to shake out a reef, than it is to put in a
reef. If conditions aren't as bad as NOA
predicted, you can alway shake out one reef and carry on from there.

Connie

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