Interesting (and thanks for the link) - but in principle not majorily 
different to the Pomodoro technique - except that rather than splitting the 
tasks down into standard sized tasks, you allocate a number of 'task units' 
(= Pomodoro's = 30 min blocks) to each task and then count how many Task 
Units you are planning to do in the day.   Note:  the tasks are always less 
than a day
 
And have some mechanism with MLO which shows you this more clearly (ie: 
number of Task Units or Tasks that you have allocated to each day) would be 
invaluable from my point view.
 
R
 

On Tuesday, 18 December 2012 23:22:46 UTC, Mark Levison wrote:

> My experience and my knowledge of behavioral psychologists suggests that 
> you can't accurately predict the amount of time most tasks will take. In 
> addition experience and feedback don't really help you improve your 
> estimates.
>
> To get a rough idea try looking at: 
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planning_fallacy which does a good job of 
> explaining the problem in layman's terms.
>
> Want to better job of predicting the future:
> - focus on slicing all tasks to roughly equal size +/- 50% will do
> - ensure no task is larger than a half day
> - count the number of tasks you achieve daily
> - use a trailing average over the past week (or similar time span) as a 
> rough predictor of the number of tasks you will achieve today.
>
> Learn to do this well and you will spend less time guesstimating and more 
> time executing.
>
> FYI Yes this adapted from what I do with teams, on a larger scale.
>
> Cheers
> Mark
>
> m...@grantsmiths.org <javascript:> wrote: 
>
> I understand the need to predict what will get done and what will not, in 
> a constrained time period, when there are commitments being made to bosses 
> or clients. Otherwise I would rather use the tools of MLO to get the right 
> stuff, and as much of it as possible, done in the time I have. I don’t 
> think you can achieve that if you are pouring energy into knowing in 
> advance when each task will finish and which tasks will remain unaddressed.
>
> -Dwight
>
>  
>
> *From:* mylifeo...@googlegroups.com <javascript:> [
> mailto:myli...@googlegroups.com <javascript:>] *On Behalf Of *Lisa Stroyan
> *Sent:* Monday, December 17, 2012 12:32 PM
> *To:* Groups, Email
> *Subject:* Re: [MLO] Re: time we spent on tasks + 
> daily/weekly/monthly/annual reports.
>
>  
>
> That's a scary thing to do, in my world...to come to grips with how much 
> I'm not actually going to accomplish. I think that's why I always resist it!
>
>  
>
>  
>
> On Sun, Dec 16, 2012 at 1:28 PM, Richard Collings 
> <r...@rcollings.co.uk<javascript:>> 
> wrote:
>
> That’s my I like the ideas in the Pomodoro technique (which I don’t 
> properly apply) where you establish (on average) the number of Pomodoros 
> (half hour focussed sessions) that you can get done in a day (by monitoring 
> what you do get done) and estimate the number of Pomodoro’s in each of your 
> tasks;  and then use these two bits of information to establish what you 
> are likely to get done in a day.    
>
>
>
>  
>
> -- 
> Lisa
> ------------------------------
>
> Lisa Stroyan, mailto: ...@gmail.com <javascript:> 
>
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> Mark Levison
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