Awesome. Are there any samples or documentation on those applications? On Fri, Dec 5, 2014 at 1:26 AM, Fergal Byrne <[email protected]> wrote:
> Hi Daniel, > > Joking aside, you are asking a serious question. HTM is a theory of how > the neocortex forms a model of the world by extracting and learning the > structure contained in data coming in from that world. In order to be > useful to the neocortex, the model must be structured enough and stable > enough to enable predictions which match reality closely enough. This > requires that both reality and its mapping to the data be well-behaved > enough for a system to build a model. > > Its an unproven conjecture that the stock market is not such a system. One > main reason is that the agents in the system act introspectively and use > both internal and partially external feedback loops to "control" their > interactions. Each trader's goals are a mixture of internal and externally > emergent phenomena, and traders engage in co-operative and competitive > behaviours with race conditions. Actions have potentially cascading > consequences, and the quality and timing of information flows are > asymmetric and non-linear. > > All these factors conspire to make stock markets inherently unstable. One > of my favourite books - Why Stock Markets Crash - formulates a lot of this > in a quite frightening but impressive manner. > > While it appears futile to use NuPIC to trade the market, you can do many > useful things with HTM technology, several of them directly translatable > into financial instruments. Trading volume, volatility indexes, rogue > positions, crash probability and many more metrics can be modelled and > predicted using HTM and other techniques, and potentially used to save or > make money. > > Regards, > > Fergal Byrne > > > On Wed, Dec 3, 2014 at 11:55 PM, Daniel Bell < > [email protected]> wrote: > >> Haha. Honestly, guys! It's not about the money! :) >> >> On Thu, Dec 4, 2014 at 12:33 PM, cogmission1 . < >> [email protected]> wrote: >> >>> I think you should create a github issue for this :P >>> >>> On Wed, Dec 3, 2014 at 5:09 PM, Matthew Taylor <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> If we ever create a system that can achieve that... meet your new god. >>>> --------- >>>> Matt Taylor >>>> OS Community Flag-Bearer >>>> Numenta >>>> >>>> >>>> On Wed, Dec 3, 2014 at 2:20 PM, Hernán Erasmo <[email protected]> >>>> wrote: >>>> > This rings a bell... >>>> > >>>> > 2014-12-02 23:43 GMT-03:00 Daniel Bell < >>>> [email protected]>: >>>> >> [...] >>>> >> Could nupic do this if we theoretically did have all the features >>>> that >>>> >> represent the state of the system? >>>> >> [...] >>>> > >>>> > "We may regard the present state of the universe as the effect of its >>>> past >>>> > and the cause of its future. An intellect which at a certain moment >>>> would >>>> > know all forces that set nature in motion, and all positions of all >>>> items of >>>> > which nature is composed, if this intellect were also vast enough to >>>> submit >>>> > these data to analysis, it would embrace in a single formula the >>>> movements >>>> > of the greatest bodies of the universe and those of the tiniest atom; >>>> for >>>> > such an intellect nothing would be uncertain and the future just like >>>> the >>>> > past would be present before its eyes." >>>> > >>>> > -Pierre Simon Laplace, A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities >>>> >>>> >>> >>> >>> -- >>> *We find it hard to hear what another is saying because of how loudly >>> "who one is", speaks...* >>> >> >> > > > -- > > Fergal Byrne, Brenter IT > > http://inbits.com - Better Living through Thoughtful Technology > http://ie.linkedin.com/in/fergbyrne/ - https://github.com/fergalbyrne > > Founder of Clortex: HTM in Clojure - > https://github.com/nupic-community/clortex > > Author, Real Machine Intelligence with Clortex and NuPIC > Read for free or buy the book at https://leanpub.com/realsmartmachines > > Speaking on Clortex and HTM/CLA at euroClojure Krakow, June 2014: > http://euroclojure.com/2014/ > and at LambdaJam Chicago, July 2014: http://www.lambdajam.com > > e:[email protected] t:+353 83 4214179 > Join the quest for Machine Intelligence at http://numenta.org > Formerly of Adnet [email protected] http://www.adnet.ie >
