Kalau US bangkrut (artinya US treasury securitiesnya default = gak bisa bayar hutang) maka yang nyangkut adalah:
http://www.ustreas.gov/tic/mfh.txt Negara yang devisanya dalam USD bisa matek. Welcome World War III. hehe.. MAJOR FOREIGN HOLDERS OF TREASURY SECURITIES (in billions of dollars) HOLDINGS 1/ AT END OF PERIOD Aug Jul Jun May Apr Mar Feb Jan Dec Nov Oct Sep Aug Country 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ Japan 585.9 593.4 583.8 578.7 592.2 600.7 586.6 586.9 581.2 590.9 601.7 591.9 595.8 China, Mainland 541.0 518.7 503.8 506.8 502.0 490.6 486.9 492.6 477.6 458.9 459.1 467.7 471.2 United Kingdom 2/ 307.4 291.5 280.4 272.5 247.8 201.1 181.1 161.9 158.2 174.3 155.0 120.3 99.8 Oil Exporters 3/ 179.8 173.9 170.4 164.3 153.9 150.8 146.1 140.9 137.9 138.7 141.6 137.1 134.7 Carib Bnkng Ctrs 4/ 147.7 133.7 122.4 104.7 115.4 107.1 103.0 108.1 116.7 107.4 105.6 99.1 103.8 Brazil 146.2 148.4 151.6 151.4 149.5 149.1 146.6 141.7 129.9 121.7 113.9 110.5 107.7 Luxembourg 77.5 75.8 88.6 80.4 84.8 92.7 83.1 68.4 69.7 68.3 63.3 58.4 57.1 Russia 74.4 74.1 65.3 63.7 60.2 42.4 38.4 35.2 32.7 33.5 33.6 31.8 31.9 Hong Kong 61.2 60.6 61.2 61.4 63.2 60.6 57.5 54.4 51.2 51.7 51.3 52.6 53.2 Switzerland 45.3 45.1 44.4 42.1 42.5 41.2 39.4 39.3 38.9 38.1 37.8 37.0 37.4 Germany 41.5 41.1 40.9 45.0 43.7 42.2 42.2 42.7 41.7 39.1 41.8 41.8 42.3 Norway 41.3 41.8 43.3 47.1 45.3 44.5 34.0 33.6 26.2 27.6 25.5 22.9 6.4 Taiwan 40.6 42.3 40.9 40.1 42.6 41.2 38.8 38.9 38.2 37.1 40.7 39.9 39.5 Korea 37.9 35.3 36.5 38.5 40.5 40.7 41.4 42.1 39.2 37.8 37.0 39.4 42.6 Turkey 34.0 32.4 30.3 28.9 31.1 28.7 28.5 28.2 25.6 25.6 28.1 28.3 29.2 Mexico 33.5 36.0 42.5 40.4 38.0 38.8 36.5 35.6 34.5 32.0 30.5 30.0 30.2 Thailand 31.7 31.8 32.4 32.8 27.9 25.7 30.5 28.9 27.4 27.5 22.8 24.7 22.9 Singapore 31.0 31.4 30.4 30.6 33.5 33.3 33.5 38.6 39.8 40.2 38.8 36.6 37.8 Canada 27.7 26.9 28.4 30.3 25.9 22.0 22.7 24.4 18.7 24.1 15.9 17.3 18.8 India 14.2 13.0 11.7 10.3 10.5 11.8 14.4 14.6 14.9 14.8 14.9 10.8 12.1 Netherlands 14.1 15.1 15.1 15.7 15.5 15.1 14.1 15.9 15.2 14.2 14.8 15.1 16.6 Poland 13.7 13.9 13.3 12.4 12.5 11.6 10.2 10.3 12.9 11.1 9.8 10.6 10.5 Egypt 12.8 13.4 12.3 12.8 12.7 12.7 12.0 11.6 10.4 10.6 9.9 9.9 10.1 Sweden 12.7 12.4 12.4 13.2 13.1 13.2 13.6 13.4 13.7 14.1 14.5 14.8 15.7 Chile 12.4 13.1 11.7 11.1 10.1 9.7 8.6 9.0 8.7 8.5 7.5 6.8 7.6 Italy 12.1 10.2 10.6 11.7 10.6 11.3 11.3 12.7 14.6 15.5 14.1 13.4 13.2 Belgium 11.8 12.0 12.4 12.4 12.5 12.8 13.2 13.1 13.2 14.2 14.6 14.6 14.6 Ireland 11.6 11.2 14.2 15.8 18.5 17.8 15.6 15.6 18.7 17.5 17.0 16.3 16.8 All Other 139.2 136.4 135.4 136.0 138.0 144.1 144.3 145.1 146.0 142.2 138.0 136.0 137.9 Grand Total 2740.3 2684.9 2646.6 2611.2 2594.1 2513.8 2434.1 2403.8 2353.7 2337.1 2299.2 2235.3 2217.5 Regards, DE Pada 14 November 2008 17:48, jsx_consultant <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>menulis: > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "Kidod25" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > apabila USD menguat dibanding EUR paling tidak ke 1:1 maka minyak > > dipastikan ke 45 dan Rupiah kita 14.000, jadi saya baru tidak heran > > bila ada yg bilang jika minyak ke 40/barel maka IHSG ke 700. > > > > apalagi dolar : EUR = 1:0,9 , dulu pernah kejadian tahun 1990-an . > > > > salam > > > > Dimata emiten commodity: > - Minyak $45 dan USDIDR=14000 = Rp 630.000/barel > - Ini sama dengan minyak $70 dengan USDIDR = 9000,- > > Jadi Revenue emiten commodity dalam rupiah, kurang lebih sama > dengan minyak $70 sebelum dollar baik. > > Yang lebih menakutkan, ialah USDIDR jatuh ke 5000 karena > Amerika bangkrut. Kenaikan USDIDR saat ini bersifat sementara > karena REPATRIASI USD kenegara asalnya, sehingga terjadi SCARCITY > USD di Asia, tapi akhirnya nasib USD akan seperti commodity juga > YAITU HANCUR LEBUR karena ekonomi amerika merosot sedangkan > jumlah peredaran USD malah bertambah. > > Bingung, bingung dah sekalian... hehehe.... > > > > > > > > > > > > > ------------------------------------ > > + + > + + + + + > Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus > kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. > + + + + + > + +Yahoo! Groups Links > > > >
