Thomas Beale wrote:
> I'm wondering if there is a meta-algorithm of some sort lurking behind
> the scenes, which takes account of uncertainty in a note, and also
> severity of non-discounted possibilities, as a way of deciding what to
> do next. There is undoubtedly published work on this...

This is a very brief but reasonable introduction to Bayesian probability
(which includes calculation of utility), which is what I think you are
grasping at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_probability

Tim C
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