On Wed, Apr 21, 2010 at 10:42 PM, Bayard Bell
<buffer.g.overf...@googlemail.com> wrote:
> Martin,
>
> This is a fundamental misstatement of Oracle's position as a software vendor
> prior to acquiring Sun. Oracle faces considerable competition from sources
> such as MS SQL Server and DB2. It has nothing like a monopoly over the RDBMS
> market. To the extent that it does have a position as a leader, it attracts
> a great deal of attention from competition and anti-trust authorities in
> both the US and EU, where you likely are aware that it had to make numerous
> representations that it would not use MySQL via the Sun acquisitions to
> engage in anti-competitive behaviour and that it was committed to supporting
> further development of MySQL under GPL. Their competitive position is not at
> all recognisable from your description.
>
> Moreover, Oracle is a company run by people with backgrounds in finance, a
> lot of concern for how they are viewed by the capital markets, and a lot of
> experience in acquiring companies (just look at the list on their Wikipedia
> entry). These folks aren't making leveraged buyouts in the private equity
> style of a few years ago, buying companies, saddling them with debt, and
> gutting their assets. There's no evidence to support the notion that they
> would spend 7.4bn USD on Sun just to dump assets that they had identified as
> "crown jewels" in selling the due diligence they did on the deal,
> particularly when this was a 47% premium on Sun's stock price at the time
> the offer was tendered and a bit more than IBM was said to table. Nor would
> it make any sense for them to do so after having their most senior
> executives show up to talk up the closing of the acquisition by naming SPARC
> and Solaris as growth areas for the acquired business that were expected to
> enjoy considerable expansions in headcount. If they said this after
> completing the deal but by that time fundamentally didn't understand what
> they acquired or misrepresented their plans for it, they would be pilloried
> by precisely those constituencies they most closely court in running in
> their company. They might even end up with a shareholder lawsuit for
> material misrepresentations about the merger or failure to conduct due
> diligence. Which is to say: it is deeply naive for you to talk about "how
> deciders decide" when jumping over very substantial financial and legal
> considerations and contradicting statements on public record. To the extent
> that Oracle is precisely the kind of calculating corporation you say they
> are, they are extremely unlikely to arrive at the conclusions or use the
> reasoning you suggest, unless you mean to say that they are either
> substantively incompetent and/or malfeasant.
>
> Whatever your concerns, introducing these kinds of accusatory remarks into
> the discussion is fundamentally counterproductive and leads people to worry
> about problems they don't have rather than those that they do. By any
> reasonable lights, the fundamental problem here isn't that Oracle corporate
> management harbour some nefarious agenda for their new acquisition, which
> they are carrying forward with utter duplicity, but that they fail to
> realise that both the community and more so segments of the customer base
> need further and firmer assurances than those already on record. Why not
> rather put on a wider view while we're waiting and show balanced, strategic
> rather than panicked thinking going into those exchanges?
>
> The rumours of Solaris's death have been repeatedly greatly exaggerated. I
> don't see why the current bout with OpenSolaris would be any different. If
> it does end tragically, the scene currently being dressed bears an
> unfortunate resemblance to the end of Romeo and Juliet, wherein the first of
> two suicides is prematurely occasioned by mistaking the artificially
> comatose beloved for dead.
>
> Cheers,
> Bayard





I *hope* with all my belief, that you are just right.
TIME will show.




%mab
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