----- Original Message -----
From: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: February 14, 2001 12:52 AM
Subject: Re: Pentax MZ-S makes sense


> In a message dated 2/13/01 11:57:05 PM Eastern Standard Time,
> [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
>
> <<
>  "They" will. But we have had this discussion before.
>
>  William Robb >>
>
> I'd wager a little of my filthy lucre on this observation;
> in five years, digital will have broken into two sales
markets:
> 1) "pro"; for the medium format-4 x 5 crowds and PJs and
> 2) Amateur: sub $100 (3 MPX or less) point and shoots.
> There is no room for any other price ranges. And once the PJ
market had gone
> into the replacement/upgrade cycle rather than new market
penetration,
> overall digital will suffer severe reverses.
> I'll also wage that the new PENTAX digital "twin" to the MZ-S
will tank in
> two years, three tops.

You make a pretty safe bet. The film market breaks down pretty
much the same way right now. The place we don't agree is the
"sub $100" price range. I would put the upper end closer to
Can$350.00, which is where the uper end P&S such as the Espio
140 is situated. I hope the MZ-Sd does better than you predict,
but I really don't see Pentax having or getting market
penetration in a market that they gave up for lent, and never
went back to. I give it two years, myself.
William Robb
>
> Mafud


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