from SLATE:
Niall Ferguson in 1995: Keynes' Homosexuality Caused His Views on the
Treaty of Versailles

By Matthew Yglesias

Posted Tuesday, May 7, 2013, at 10:44 AM

Niall Ferguson has already apologized for saying over the weekend that
John Maynard Keynes' homosexuality was at the root of his views on
fiscal policy, but Brad DeLong has recovered a remarkable 1995
Spectator article in which Ferguson alleges that Keynes' views on the
Treaty of Versailles were also caused by his homosexuality. In this
case, Ferguson's view is less that Keynes had a distinctive gay
outlook on the issue, and more that a gay crush on a German
representative to the conference led him to adopt pro-German and
pro-inflation opinions.

The article's conclusion:

>> From 1919 onwards, for reasons which owed as much to emotion as economic 
>> logic, he had repeatedly encouraged the Germans in their resistance to 
>> Allied demands. He had heard and echoed their arguments at Versailles, 
>> predicting currency depreciation, the dumping of German exports and the 
>> westward march of Bolshevism as consequences of the treaty. He had shared 
>> their dismay at the reparations total set in 1921, and predicted German 
>> default from the outset. Even when he began to suspect that his friends were 
>> exaggerating their fiscal difficulties, this only inclined him to egg them 
>> on to a more confrontational strategy. Only when this ended in the complete 
>> collapse of the currency did Keynes distance himself.

>> All this sheds revealing light on Keynes's later views on inflation. Those 
>> who see Keynesianism as, at root, an inflationary doctrine will not perhaps 
>> be surprised; just as those familiar with Bloomsbury will appreciate why 
>> Keynes fell so hard for the representative of an enemy power. Only 
>> those—like Robert Skidelsky—who seek to rescue his reputation as a monetary 
>> theorist may find Keynes's conduct less easy to account for. <<

I have not read The Economic Consequences of the Peace, but am
somewhat familiar with the general debates at the time. My view of the
situation is that the whole question of an "enemy power" is actually
the crux of the dispute here. Keynes, in keeping with general liberal
sentiments at the time and vindicated by history, took the view that
it was foolish for France and Britain to try to treat Germany as an
enemy-to-be-crushed rather than a partner-to-be-rehabilitated. The
only possible consequence of crushing the German economy would be to
compel the Germans to overthrow the treaty and thus start a new war.
This is roughly what eventually happened, and obviously in the
late-1940s the Western allies took a different approach, which paid
off. I don't know if any key Truman administration advisors were
seduced by sexy German conference representatives. Perhaps someday
we'll learn that was the real story of the Marshall Plan, in which
case I think we'd have to be thankful for the emergence of a sentiment
that could transcend petty nationalism.

-- 
Jim Devine /  "Segui il tuo corso, e lascia dir le genti." (Go your
own way and let people talk.) -- Karl, paraphrasing Dante.
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