On Mon, Sep 08, 2008 at 12:12:33PM -0500, Chris Caldwell wrote:
> A common mistake is to use the mean of the Poisson distribution as if it
> were a separator between occurrences, rather than just a mean
> difference.  So they try to add something to the last occurrence,
> forgetting all of the other data points.  Also this mean is not a mean
> from a normal distribution: long and short gaps are not symmetrically
> distributed.  

Hm, I thought that the negative exponential distribution (which governs the
waiting time between events in a Poisson process -- the Poisson distribution
represents the counts in a given interval) was "without memory" and so the
distinction was unimportant? Ie. you come to the bus stop and the bus is 15
minutes away on average; you wait for five minutes with no bus, and it's
_still_ 15 minutes away on average :-)

/* Steinar */
-- 
Homepage: http://www.sesse.net/
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