Thanks, Akan menarik kalau ada opini Pro vs Kontra, bisa jadi wahana untuk mempertajam pertimbangannya. Membangun penggal jalan dalam kota saja perlu diwacanakan, apalagi antarpulau utama. Dalam skala proyek tentu B/C teknis, fianansial, lingkungan sudah ada studi kelayakan atau amdalnya, itupun bisa didiskusikan, apalagi dari segi kajian impact nya pada skala wilayah/nasional, tiap skenario akan menarik di diskusikan, setidaknya sebagai exercise. Salam, Risfan Munir http://samuraisejati.blogspot.com
--- On Tue, 9/29/09, Mr. Tiar <[email protected]> wrote: From: Mr. Tiar <[email protected]> Subject: [referensi] Is it worth connecting Sumatra and Java?, Jakarta POst, Wednesday, September 30, 2009 10:14 AM To: [email protected] Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2009, 10:31 PM Dear Milis, Menarik untuk dibahas mengenai rencana pembangunan jembatan Sumatera Jawa. Tulisan Bp.Prof. Danang Parikesit hari ini di Jakarta.saya pikir, issue ini bukan isu lama, tetapi jika ini dapat dilaksanakan segera akan mengakselerasi pertumbuhan ekonomi yang semakin baik antara Sumatera dan Jawa. yang perlu dikaji lebih lanjut adalah sejauhmana dampak pertumbuhan ekonomi Sumatera dan Jawa dengan dibangunnya jembatan ini. yang pasti jika jembatan ini dibangun akan membawa 'angin segar' dan mereduksi isu-isu ketimpangan ekonomi wilayah. Is it worth connecting Sumatra and Java? Danang Parikesit , Yogyakarta | Tue, 09/29/2009 1:15 PM | Opinion In recent months there have been public and media debates on the possibility of connecting Sumatra and Java islands using either a long-span bridge or an undersea tunnel. The issue has become more appealing because of the involvement of an Indonesian business tycoon acting as a possible investor on the project; a prominent and respected national engineering consulting company; and the provinces of Banten and Lampung. Both provincial governments have signed an agreement to pursue the proposed connecting bridge, spanning 29 km, making it one of the longest suspension bridges in the world. The bridge will cost US$10 billion and require 15 years to construct using public-private partnership scheme. But the biggest question has remained unanswered: What will it cost the government to build such a megastructure? Drawn from the 2001 national origin destination survey data from the Transportation Ministry, around 100 - 125 million people are estimated to travel between Sumatra and Java, and potentially 20 - 30 percent cross the Sunda Strait each year in each direction, creating a serious threat to the efficiency of the national transport system. The effort to increase the capacity of the existing system between the two islands has been hampered by the fact that the current ports and ferry crossings cannot provide adequate services. So far, the bottle neck in the Merak-Bakaheuni ferry crossing has not been addressed properly, creating frustration among travelers and the trucking industry. While debates on technical issues are mostly surround the possibility of connecting the islands by bridge or tunnel, the proponents of a more conservative and prudent system are in favor of modernizing the ferry services by increasing the capacity and improving the quality of existing ferry crossings. The latter argues that the costs of improving the ferry services would be far less than constructing a bridge or tunnel, and mobility between both islands could be improved greatly and the sea transport industry could be revived. As a maritime country, the policy should, as far as possible, promote the use of existing ferry services, which will send a strong message for an affirmative policy on sea transport services. However, with the current and future ferry crossing technology, in 20 years time the need to cater for double the amount of today's passengers and goods annually and in a much higher speed than we currently enjoy is the main challenge for the ferry crossings. Can it meet such demand? The use of a bridge and a promise to reduce the travel time to 30 minutes between the two islands is obviously an appealing proposal despite the disaster and security risks that need to be assessed and addressed. The presence of an active Mt. Krakatau has positions the bridge in a prevailing and constant danger of earthquake and tsunami. In the opposite side of the coin, however, a huge travel time reduction means that the cost of Indonesian commodities and services could stay competitive in the global market. Who are the losers and gainers? Looking at the current economic structure of Banten and Lampung as the proponents of the Sumatra-Java Bridge, both provinces are actually confronted by serious threats not opportunities. The biggest threat comes from the fact that there is a little economic interdependency between the two provinces and thus connecting the two provinces will have a low impact on strengthening their economic condition. The number of travellers and flow of commodities between them are so small, which will mean that they both rely on their economic development with Jakarta or West Java. The reality is that it will be Jakarta, South Sumatra and also West Java that enjoy the largest benefits from the Sumatra-Java link, more than Banten and Lampung, although not without significant economic and business risks. The danger of losing a robust local economic development in Lampung for instance, will also be a significant issue that needs to be dealt with. With easy access and investment-hungry capital from Jakarta, South Sumatra and West Java, local farmers and producers in Lampung might be out of sight, leaving local governments to deal with rural-to-urban migration and the problem of urban poverty. Connecting Sumatra and Java is a top priority in the development agenda of the Indonesian government. The message is very clear. This project should be developed by the central government, not only because it involves a huge government financial and political support, and a meticulous process in drafting the concession agreement, but the public perspectives of such a project are too important to be left in the hands of the private sector and two provincial governments. The public costs will certainly be far beyond the construction costs and if we take a wrong approach, we put our future economy at risk. The project should be seen as a means to consolidating and strengthening the economic base between southern Sumatra and western Java which will hopefully created a competitive economy in the regional or global market. In order to have a strong legal basis for the project, the need to incorporate the project plan in the Indonesian mid-term national plan is urgent and inevitable. However, the policy process and formulation should be prudent and inclusive, involving various parties and stakeholders. Prof. Dr. Danang Parikesit is a professor of transportation at Gadjah Mada University, and is the secretary-general of the Indonesia Transportation Society. Tiar Pandapotan Purba, Ir Urban Regional Planner & GIS Bebonuk, Comoro, Dili, Timor Leste +6707568265 Kemang Barat 7G, Jakarta Selatan. +6281310418551
