Umphs .. la proposta e' stata immediatamente sconfessata dai vertici politici e ritirata dal darpa.
> > > WASHINGTON, July 28 — The Pentagon office that proposed spying > electronically on Americans to monitor potential terrorists has a new > experiment. It is an online futures trading market, disclosed today by > critics, in which anonymous speculators would bet on forecasting terrorist > attacks, assassinations and coups. [...] > http://www.nytimes.com/2003/07/29/politics/29TERR.html?hp > > - > The contracts traded on PAM (Poltical Analysis Market) will be based on > objective data and observable events. These contracts will be valuable > because traders who are registered with PAM will use their money to > acquire contracts. A PAM trader who believes that the price of a specific > futures contract under-predicts the future status of the issue on which it > is based can attempt to profit from his belief by buying the contract. The > converse holds for a trader who believes the price is an over-prediction – > she can be a seller of the contract. This price discovery process, with > the prospect of profit and at pain of loss, is at the core of a market’s > predictive power. > http://www.policyanalysismarket.org/pam_concept.htm > > - > The DARPA FutureMAP program will identify the types of market-based > mechanisms that are most suitable to aggregate information in the defense > context, will develop information systems to manage the markets, and will > measure the effectiveness of markets for several tasks. Open issues that > will drive the types of market include information security and > participant incentives. A market that addresses defense-related events > may potentially aggregate information from both classified and > unclassified sources. This poses the problem of extracting useful data > from markets without compromising national security. Markets must also > offer compensation that is ethically and legally satisfactory to all > sectors involved, while remaining attractive enough to ensure full and > continuous participation of individual parties. The markets must also be > sufficiently robust to withstand manipulation. FutureMAP will bring > together commercial, academic, and government performers to meet these > challenges. > http://www.darpa.mil/iao/FutureMap.htm > > > L'idea insomma e' la seguente. Usare la capacita' di predizione dei > mercati in materia di politica estera. Di piu' non capisco anche se > intuisco che si tratta di un salto di paradigma in questioni di sicurezza. > Basti leggere il mission statement del DARPA IAO (Information Awarness > Office). > > - > The DARPA Information Awareness Office (IAO) will imagine, develop, apply, > integrate, demonstrate, and transition information technologies, > components, and prototype closed-loop information systems that will > counter asymmetric threats by achieving total information awareness that > is useful for preemption, national security warning, and national security > decision making. > http://www.darpa.mil/iao/index.htm > > > Mi piacerebbe sentire l'opinione di chi e' piu' versato di me in materia > economica e politica. Qualcuno ? > > > ___________________________________________ > > http://rekombinant.org > http://rekombinant.org/media-activism > -- Vittorio Marchi Art Science Research Laboratory email: [EMAIL PROTECTED] voice: 212 925 8812 ___________________________________________ http://rekombinant.org http://rekombinant.org/media-activism
