History lesson ...

In the documentary "Revolution OS," I distinctly remember Eric S Raymond 
commenting how he couldn't believe Linux got the database vendors.  For me, 
among others who saw it happen, it wasn't lack of belief.  There was a discrete 
reason reason why _all_ major vendors starting supporting Linux overnight 
(within 6 months of that discrete event).

The point-of-inflection for the PC was its peak CPU and I/O performance was the 
late '90s, not just price-performance.  The last bastion of RISC/UNIX had been 
broken, and commodity PCs started meeting or exceeding even the mid-level 
RISC/UNIX platforms in peak CPU and I/O (short of going to a costly, high-end 
RISC/UNIX platform with very exotic system interconnects), while commanding up 
to a 10:1 price/performance.  It was true for the database world and I/O as 
much as engineering and scientific fields.

It started with the "bundling+rebate" approaches of Microsoft consumer products 
via PC OEMs in the '90s.  MS Germany's Kempin proved it with Vobis.  The 
strategy was then used to leverage the 90%+ control to increase Windows 
adoption, then Microsoft application marketshare, where the Microsoft product's 
marketshare was a minority.  It worked because it was bundled with a Microsoft 
product that was the defacto standard option in over 90% of sales.

So by 1998, Microsoft decided to adopt product bundling at the PC OEM into the 
Server relam as well.  After all, the PC Server was taking over the SMBs and 
even enterprise departments, and considered viable against even many mid-level 
RISC/UNIX platforms.  And if there was going to be a database on the PC Server, 
it might as well be MS SQL Server, right?  So the agreements (of which only the 
PC OEMs can testify what those terms were) caused many PC OEMs to only ship MS 
SQL Server with Windows NT 4.0 Server.

Within six (6) months of that happening, you saw Oracle, Sybase and other 
products on the PC Server ... on Linux ... from PC OEMs.  Virtually every PC 
OEM -- from Dell to Gateway, not just HP and IBM -- was sporting Linux with 
these database products at every tradeshow.  It caught Microsoft completely 
off-guard at the floors of these tradeshows.  Microsoft literally help give 
Linux an unexpected jolt of enterprise adoption.  And the rest is history.



The case-in-point here is that if you cause enough pain for your customers, the 
customers will eventually find another solution via another product and/or 
distribution channel to ease their pain.  And that option will very likely not 
include your solution at all, let alone may undermine your existing product 
marketshare.  It may not happen overnight, and even MS Windows Server didn't 
initially suffer server sales losses or inhibited growth at the expense of 
Linux.  Most early 21st century Linux adoption was often at the expense of 
RISC/UNIX sales.
But that has no longer been the case for the last few years.  ;)




----- Original Message -----
From: Brian Long (brilong) <bril...@cisco.com>
Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2012 3:12 PM

Feels like Oracle is becoming what Microsoft used to be (or still is).  "You 
must buy our OS if you want to run our database in a supported fashion." ...

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