Bapak bisa tanya ke Care centre mandiri sekuritas  ( 
[email protected] )
 
Regards,
H4
"Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan"


>________________________________
> From: sindarku <[email protected]>
>To: [email protected] 
>Sent: Friday, December 14, 2012 5:10 AM
>Subject: Re: Bls: [saham] Saham UNVR
> 
>
>  
>thank's for share,
>btw apakah semua nasabah mendapatkan berita ini? kalau iya kok
      saya tidak dapat ya (saya nasabah mansek solo)
>
>thanks,
>rajim
>
>On 12/12/2012 10:24 PM, H4 wrote:
>
>  
>>Berikut analis dari Mansek
>> 
>>Regards,
>>H4
>>"Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan"
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>Squeeze out the juice
>> 
>>Unilever Indonesia made a shocking announcement yesterday, raising the 
>>royalty charges it pays its parent firm from 3.5% of revenue currently to a 
>>maximum of 8%. This is significantly higher than the 3% median charged by 
>>other foreign subsidiaries listed in Indonesia, and we cut our 2013-15F EPS 
>>forecasts by 6.3%, 13.0% and 19.5% respectively. We downgrade to SELL with 
>>reduced T/P of Rp19,000/share, implying 28x 2013F PER
>> 
>>New royalty charges higher than the market. In our discussion with the 
>>company, it mentioned the change in royalty structure is to strengten UNVR’s 
>>position as the exclusive Indonesian arm of its parent company. But we are 
>>doubtful. We may see this as another way to maximize return of its Indonesia 
>>investment. The 8% new royalty charges is significantly higher than the 3% 
>>median charged by other foreign subsidiaries listed in Indonesia. Market 
>>perception may change and questioning UNVR legit premium of reputation. 
>>Interestingly, Unilever Global CEO made comment on the other occasion on its 
>>bearish european business outlook.
>> 
>>A value dragger transaction. As we put the revision down in our calculation, 
>>we cut UNVR EPS for 13F, 14F and 15F by 6.3%, 13.0% and 19.5%, respectively. 
>>It suggests reduced dividend potential which has been the main attraction for 
>>the company. This is even assuming the same payout ratio, the EPS will be 
>>drastically reduced, so will the DPS.
>> 
>>Uprising competition set backs price power. We are not optimistic on UNVR 
>>pricing power that will likely limit its ability to fully pass the higher 
>>charge to customers. Intensifying market competition backs our view, 
>>especially noting recent aggressive moves by major competitors such as P&G 
>>and Wings. P&G will have a new factory next year, while Wings has just made a 
>>big comeback with a new ad blast for its new So Klin detergent, the close 
>>competitor of UNVR’s main product Rinso..
>> 
>>SELL at TP Rp19,000/sh. With added concern above, higher equity risk is 
>>applied in UNVR and given single digit EPS growth over the next three years, 
>>a valuation de-rating is likely. We capped our PE 2013 at 28x to derive our 
>>new TP for UNVR of Rp19,000/share. SELL.
>> 
>> 
>>Octavius Oky Prakarsa
>>+6221 5296 9547
>>[email protected]
>>Plaza Mandiri 28th floor
>>Phone: +62 21 526 3445
>>Fax: +62 21 527 5711
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>>________________________________
>>> From: "[email protected]" <[email protected]>
>>>To: "[email protected]" <[email protected]> 
>>>Sent: Thursday, December 13, 2012 1:20 PM
>>>Subject: Re: Bls: [saham] Saham UNVR
>>> 
>>>
>>>  
>>>Hwahhh saya sudah ambil unvr pada penurunan kemarin, ternyata skrng turun 
>>>lg. :-( semoga lekas techreborn-nya.
>>>________________________________
>>> 
>>>From:  evita lusiani <[email protected]> 
>>>Sender:  [email protected] 
>>>Date: Thu, 13 Dec 2012 13:00:00 +0800 (SGT)
>>>To: <[email protected]>
>>>ReplyTo:  [email protected] 
>>>Subject: Bls: [saham] Saham UNVR
>>>
>>>  
>>>UNVR stock fell  in the morning after Unilever Indonesia announced change in 
>>>rate of royalty to be paid to Unilever NV (parent company). The changes will 
>>>be    
>>>done in stages from current
                                      royalty rate of ~3.5% sales
                                      to      
>>>estimated 5% sales in 2013, 6.5%
                                      sales in 2014, and 5% sales +  
>>>actual recovery cost up to 3%
                                      sales in 2015
>>>
>>>--- Pada Kam, 13/12/12, Rio Suki <[email protected]> menulis:
>>>
>>>
>>>>Dari: Rio Suki <[email protected]>
>>>>Judul: Bls: [saham] Saham UNVR
>>>>Kepada: [email protected]
>>>>Tanggal: Kamis, 13 Desember,
                                        2012, 6:08 AM
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>  
>>>>Unvr setiap 6 bulan bikin candle yg panjang banget. Misal jan12, june 12, 
>>>>and sekarang. Memang gayanya
>>>>
>>>>Salam 
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>________________________________
>>>> From:  [email protected] <[email protected]>; 
>>>>To:  [email protected] <[email protected]>; 
>>>>Subject:  [saham] Saham UNVR 
>>>>Sent:  Wed, Dec 12, 2012 4:22:12 PM 
>>>> 
>>>>
>>>>  
>>>>Dear sahabat-sahabat kira-kira ada apa yah dengan saham UNVR hari ini? 
>>>>Mohon info dan ulasannya. Dilihat dari chartnya jarang sekali UNVR turun 
>>>>segitu dalam.
>>>>
>>>>  
>>>
>>>
>
> 
>
>

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