[AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-01 Thread That One Guy /sarcasm
so, we hit a wall this week with lopsided providers. we hit an approximate
20:1 and choked. with some policy routing we took it to about a 14:1 ratio
and got things buffered. this is upstream, i still am comfortable with
12-15:1 on the ap/cpe side.

At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? rule of thumb,
because we are all different. With our size, we could probably still afford
a 1:1 on the upstream, but we would be wasting a shit ton of cash.

Powercode sucks ass for reporting, so its a manual process to see what your
ratio is, even though they could pop out report very easily, and I assume
query guys already are because Powercode makes it too hard.


I am concerned with my personal accountability on this however. Im normally
pretty anal about monitoring for points of failure, and I completely
dropped the ball on this, relegating some customer complaints to the "quit
whining you little bitch" bin, assuming it wa a customer end issue when I
should have realized we had sold too much and put it out the small pipe.
Any advice (aside from maintaining a 1:1) for metrics to monitor that
indicate you oversubscribe?



-- 
If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your team as
part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team.


Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-01 Thread Seth Mattinen


Even if you just graph simple 5 minutes averages with Cacti you should 
consider upgrading if you see utilization approach 80%.


~Seth


Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-01 Thread That One Guy /sarcasm
In auditing, I have found ownership to have oversold themselves a
considerable percentage of bandwidth, both above our aggregate, as well as
substantially above our sustainable, spread out amongst multiple locations.
>From a sysadmin, perspective, or whatever moniker that applies to a person
who does as they are told like good little nazis, I chose, as a network
preservation techniquue, to alter ownerships bandwidth plans, which on
their own allocated a 12:1 network oversubscription.

pretty confident this will result in a termination.

anybody hiring?


On Sat, Oct 1, 2016 at 11:43 PM, Seth Mattinen  wrote:

>
> Even if you just graph simple 5 minutes averages with Cacti you should
> consider upgrading if you see utilization approach 80%.
>
> ~Seth
>



-- 
If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your team as
part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team.


Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread Adam Moffett
If you are fired for taking appropriate action based on verifiable facts 
then maybe it wasn't meant to be.


I heard once that TW Telecom was using 3:1.  That's at Tier2, so the 
customer is expecting 100meg to be 100meg at any given time.


IMO, an oversubscription rate is necessary for capacity planning, but 
demand only trends upwards over time so whatever you plan for now might 
not match expectations at a later date.




-- Original Message --
From: "That One Guy /sarcasm" 
To: "af@afmug.com" 
Sent: 10/2/2016 1:41:09 AM
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

In auditing, I have found ownership to have oversold themselves a 
considerable percentage of bandwidth, both above our aggregate, as well 
as substantially above our sustainable, spread out amongst multiple 
locations.
From a sysadmin, perspective, or whatever moniker that applies to a 
person who does as they are told like good little nazis, I chose, as a 
network preservation techniquue, to alter ownerships bandwidth plans, 
which on their own allocated a 12:1 network oversubscription.


pretty confident this will result in a termination.

anybody hiring?


On Sat, Oct 1, 2016 at 11:43 PM, Seth Mattinen  
wrote:


Even if you just graph simple 5 minutes averages with Cacti you should 
consider upgrading if you see utilization approach 80%.


~Seth




--
If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your 
team as part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team.

Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread Mike Hammett
I haven't really paid much attention to monitoring those things. Define some 
threshold pipe utilization and keep it below that. Web hosting companies keep 
their pipes between 1/3 and 2/3 utilization to be non-customer-impacting. 




- 
Mike Hammett 
Intelligent Computing Solutions 

Midwest Internet Exchange 

The Brothers WISP 




- Original Message -

From: "That One Guy /sarcasm"  
To: af@afmug.com 
Sent: Saturday, October 1, 2016 11:38:04 PM 
Subject: [AFMUG] oversubscription again 


so, we hit a wall this week with lopsided providers. we hit an approximate 20:1 
and choked. with some policy routing we took it to about a 14:1 ratio and got 
things buffered. this is upstream, i still am comfortable with 12-15:1 on the 
ap/cpe side. 


At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? rule of thumb, 
because we are all different. With our size, we could probably still afford a 
1:1 on the upstream, but we would be wasting a shit ton of cash. 


Powercode sucks ass for reporting, so its a manual process to see what your 
ratio is, even though they could pop out report very easily, and I assume query 
guys already are because Powercode makes it too hard. 




I am concerned with my personal accountability on this however. Im normally 
pretty anal about monitoring for points of failure, and I completely dropped 
the ball on this, relegating some customer complaints to the "quit whining you 
little bitch" bin, assuming it wa a customer end issue when I should have 
realized we had sold too much and put it out the small pipe. Any advice (aside 
from maintaining a 1:1) for metrics to monitor that indicate you oversubscribe? 





-- 




If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your team as 
part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team. 


Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread Chris Fabien
For upstream circuits, we dont upgrade based on a ratio of mbps sold. We
upgrade based on utilizaton. we never want to hit over 80%.

On Oct 2, 2016 12:38 AM, "That One Guy /sarcasm" 
wrote:

> so, we hit a wall this week with lopsided providers. we hit an approximate
> 20:1 and choked. with some policy routing we took it to about a 14:1 ratio
> and got things buffered. this is upstream, i still am comfortable with
> 12-15:1 on the ap/cpe side.
>
> At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? rule of thumb,
> because we are all different. With our size, we could probably still afford
> a 1:1 on the upstream, but we would be wasting a shit ton of cash.
>
> Powercode sucks ass for reporting, so its a manual process to see what
> your ratio is, even though they could pop out report very easily, and I
> assume query guys already are because Powercode makes it too hard.
>
>
> I am concerned with my personal accountability on this however. Im
> normally pretty anal about monitoring for points of failure, and I
> completely dropped the ball on this, relegating some customer complaints to
> the "quit whining you little bitch" bin, assuming it wa a customer end
> issue when I should have realized we had sold too much and put it out the
> small pipe. Any advice (aside from maintaining a 1:1) for metrics to
> monitor that indicate you oversubscribe?
>
>
>
> --
> If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your team
> as part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team.
>


Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread Josh Reynolds
Over sub ratio can vary greatly from one ISP to the next. I would take note
of what it is, but I wouldn't base anything on it.

On Oct 2, 2016 8:23 AM, "Chris Fabien"  wrote:

> For upstream circuits, we dont upgrade based on a ratio of mbps sold. We
> upgrade based on utilizaton. we never want to hit over 80%.
>
> On Oct 2, 2016 12:38 AM, "That One Guy /sarcasm" <
> thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> so, we hit a wall this week with lopsided providers. we hit an
>> approximate 20:1 and choked. with some policy routing we took it to about a
>> 14:1 ratio and got things buffered. this is upstream, i still am
>> comfortable with 12-15:1 on the ap/cpe side.
>>
>> At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? rule of
>> thumb, because we are all different. With our size, we could probably still
>> afford a 1:1 on the upstream, but we would be wasting a shit ton of cash.
>>
>> Powercode sucks ass for reporting, so its a manual process to see what
>> your ratio is, even though they could pop out report very easily, and I
>> assume query guys already are because Powercode makes it too hard.
>>
>>
>> I am concerned with my personal accountability on this however. Im
>> normally pretty anal about monitoring for points of failure, and I
>> completely dropped the ball on this, relegating some customer complaints to
>> the "quit whining you little bitch" bin, assuming it wa a customer end
>> issue when I should have realized we had sold too much and put it out the
>> small pipe. Any advice (aside from maintaining a 1:1) for metrics to
>> monitor that indicate you oversubscribe?
>>
>>
>>
>> --
>> If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your team
>> as part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team.
>>
>


Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread CBB - Jay Fuller

um, graph the entire upstream and see when it gets congested? :)

  - Original Message - 
  From: That One Guy /sarcasm 
  To: af@afmug.com 
  Sent: Saturday, October 01, 2016 11:38 PM
  Subject: [AFMUG] oversubscription again


  so, we hit a wall this week with lopsided providers. we hit an approximate 
20:1 and choked. with some policy routing we took it to about a 14:1 ratio and 
got things buffered. this is upstream, i still am comfortable with 12-15:1 on 
the ap/cpe side.


  At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? rule of thumb, 
because we are all different. With our size, we could probably still afford a 
1:1 on the upstream, but we would be wasting a shit ton of cash.


  Powercode sucks ass for reporting, so its a manual process to see what your 
ratio is, even though they could pop out report very easily, and I assume query 
guys already are because Powercode makes it too hard. 




  I am concerned with my personal accountability on this however. Im normally 
pretty anal about monitoring for points of failure, and I completely dropped 
the ball on this, relegating some customer complaints to the "quit whining you 
little bitch" bin, assuming it wa a customer end issue when I should have 
realized we had sold too much and put it out the small pipe. Any advice (aside 
from maintaining a 1:1) for metrics to monitor that indicate you oversubscribe?






  -- 

  If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your team as 
part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team.

Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread chuck
When you run out of headroom  Any flat-topping is reason for concern.  

From: That One Guy /sarcasm 
Sent: Saturday, October 1, 2016 10:38 PM
To: af@afmug.com 
Subject: [AFMUG] oversubscription again


At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? 

Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread Ken Hohhof
Yep, need some headroom for usage variation, also things like mitigating DDoS 
attacks.  You don’t want to be flatlining every time Apple puts out an iOS or 
OSX update, or every Microsoft Patch Tuesday.  Or on a 4 day weekend in winter 
when all the kids are on Netflix/Youtube/Facetime.  Or when some new game is 
released.

 

 

From: Af [mailto:af-boun...@afmug.com] On Behalf Of ch...@wbmfg.com
Sent: Sunday, October 2, 2016 11:48 AM
To: af@afmug.com
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

 

When you run out of headroom  Any flat-topping is reason for concern.  

 

From: That One Guy /sarcasm 

Sent: Saturday, October 1, 2016 10:38 PM

To: af@afmug.com <mailto:af@afmug.com>  

Subject: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

 

 

At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? 



Re: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

2016-10-02 Thread Andreas Wiatowski
We buy burstable 10GE Internet transit and commit on the 95th percentile. We 
have 2 Geographically separated Network Cores with a 10GE private pipe in 
between for edge failover scenarios.  We have had fibre cuts which with this 
arrangement we have the capacity we need… no worries…Just a bigger bill in 
which the provider that failed will pick up the excess in the event of a longer 
than 4 hour outage as per our agreement.
Cheers,

Andreas Wiatowski, CEO
Silo Wireless Inc.
519-449-5656 x-600


From: That One Guy /sarcasm
Reply-To: "af@afmug.com<mailto:af@afmug.com>"
Date: Sunday, October 2, 2016 at 12:38 AM
To: "af@afmug.com<mailto:af@afmug.com>"
Subject: [AFMUG] oversubscription again

so, we hit a wall this week with lopsided providers. we hit an approximate 20:1 
and choked. with some policy routing we took it to about a 14:1 ratio and got 
things buffered. this is upstream, i still am comfortable with 12-15:1 on the 
ap/cpe side.

At what ratio do you decide to buy more provider bandwidth? rule of thumb, 
because we are all different. With our size, we could probably still afford a 
1:1 on the upstream, but we would be wasting a shit ton of cash.

Powercode sucks ass for reporting, so its a manual process to see what your 
ratio is, even though they could pop out report very easily, and I assume query 
guys already are because Powercode makes it too hard.


I am concerned with my personal accountability on this however. Im normally 
pretty anal about monitoring for points of failure, and I completely dropped 
the ball on this, relegating some customer complaints to the "quit whining you 
little bitch" bin, assuming it wa a customer end issue when I should have 
realized we had sold too much and put it out the small pipe. Any advice (aside 
from maintaining a 1:1) for metrics to monitor that indicate you oversubscribe?



--
If you only see yourself as part of the team but you don't see your team as 
part of yourself you have already failed as part of the team.