AI-GEOSTATS: Samples in a block

2001-08-28 Thread Mark Burnett Deelkraal

Hi all

I have a number of questions to all out there..any help/ pointers would be
appreciated.

1. What is the optimum number of samples in a block of any particular size?

What I have been able to track down so far has not really been helpful, this
includes comments like:

Samples should be spaced at half the first range...of the semivariogram

samples should be spaced in such a way as to reduce the Krige variance

etc.

All of these appear to pre-suppose that you already have sampling.

Is there any way that I can work out the theoretical number of samples in an
e.g. 30x30m block assuming some a priori information (gold deposit, high
nugget of e.g. 1.2 e6, pop.var having the same type of magnitude etc) ?

2. Does anyone know of a good idiots guide to GSLIB? I have bought the
manual, however I have not found it particularly helpful for a first time
user of the software (I want to start simulations of the ore body that I
work on, prior to us commencing a capital intensive exploration programme).

3. Is there a good declustering programme out there? (This gets back to
question 1), when developing the ore body the sample spacing is approx.
2.5m, when production commences the sample spacing changes to a 5x5 grid
(ideally, this never really happens in actuality). What I want to do is to
try and overcome the change of support issue, declustering is the only way
that I can think of at the moment.

4. Does anyone know where I can get hold of a good ( preferably
introductory) text on Probability Kriging? and is there any software that
has been designed to run this? 


Thanks to all

Yours 

Mark Burnett

Ore Reserve Manager 

Deelkraal Gold Mine


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Re: AI-GEOSTATS: Samples in a block

2001-08-28 Thread Isobel Clark

 1. What is the optimum number of samples in a block
 of any particular size?
 
 Is there any way that I can work out the theoretical
 number of samples in an
 e.g. 30x30m block assuming some a priori information
 (gold deposit, high
 nugget of e.g. 1.2 e6, pop.var having the same type
 of magnitude etc) ?
This part I can answer on the general mailing list (I
think).

Use the free unlimited use downloadable Kriging Game
to be found on my pages at
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/briefcase.html

This package reads Geostokos type files, Geo-EAS type
files, CSVs dumped from spreadsheets or you can type
in data from the keyboard.

Comments and queries to me please.
Isobel Clark


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AI-GEOSTATS: PhD-position

2001-08-28 Thread Gerard Heuvelink

Do you like (or know someone who likes):

AMSTERDAM
GEOSTATISTICS
KALMAN FILTERING
SOIL HYDROLOGY
A POSITION AS A PHD-RESEARCHER

then please read on.

At the Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of
Amsterdam, we currently have a vacancy for a PhD-researcher on the project
“Incorporating process-knowledge in spatio-temporal kriging of soil
variables”. The aim of this project is to build and apply statistical models
that can satisfactorily describe and predict the behaviour of soil variables
over space and time. And that do so in a way that observations and physical
process knowledge are both exploited. We believe that the direction to go
forward is that of space-time Kalman filtering. Much more information on
this project (such as the full project proposal) can be obtained from Gerard
Heuvelink ([EMAIL PROTECTED], telephone (+)31 20 5257448,
http://www.frw.uva.nl/soil/Welcome.html).

We are seeking candidates that have finished a Masters in the (natural)
sciences, preferably in the Earth Sciences, (Applied) Mathematics,
Statistics or Econometrics. The person we seek loves to work with equations
and loves to put them into computer code, but must at the same time find
much motivation and inspiration from applying mathematical models to real
world problems. Of course the project should lead to a PhD-thesis.

The project lasts for four years, and must commence before the end of this
year. Part of the project is a three months working visit to partners in the
USA and/or Australia in the second year of the project. The monthly salary
starts at about € 1450 (currently 1 € equals about  0.91 US$) in the first
year to about € 2050 in the fourth.

Applications (letter and curriculum vitae) must arrive BEFORE 1 OCTOBER
2001. Please send your application to:

Dr. Gerard B.M. Heuvelink
IBED-Physical Geography
Universiteit van Amsterdam
Nieuwe Achtergracht 166
1018 WV Amsterdam
THE NETHERLANDS

Application through E-mail or FAX is also accepted:

[EMAIL PROTECTED] / (+)31 20 5257431


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AI-GEOSTATS: Samples in a block

2001-08-28 Thread Jan-Willem van Groenigen

Hi Mark,

it seems you have already realized the paradox of sampling in 
geostatistics: the more you know about the variable in question, the better 
you can optimize a sampling scheme for it. It isn't easy to break out of 
this paradox, and that's probably the reason that sampling has received 
relatively little attention in the geostatistical literature. You will not 
find much about it in most textbooks.

You have probably already found a number of papers by Webster and McBratney 
from the beginning of the 80's (mainly in the Journal of Soil Science, I 
think). They described an algorithm for calculating the optimum grid 
spacing for a sampling scheme, given the maximum allowed kriging variance 
and a variogram. These papers, although relatively old, are still often 
quoted. Another paper from those days dealing with the optimal type of grid 
is Yfantis, E.A., Flatman, G.T. and Behar, J.V., 1987. Efficiency of 
kriging estimation for square, triangular and hexagonal grids. Mathematical 
Geology, 19(3): 183-205.

I normally don't like to advertize my own work this much, but hey this 
was my Ph.D. thesis. I developed a simulated annealing - based algorithm 
that (among other things) optimizes for the same criterion as the 
Webster/McBratney papers, but that optimizes the optimal location of 
individual points, rather than optimal grid spacing.  Although this might 
not be very useful in large, contiguous sampling areas, it considerably 
improves your sampling efficiency when you already have preliminary samples 
and/or many sampling constraints. Again, you need (to assume) a variogram.

A couple of references to my work:

-Van Groenigen, J.W. and Stein, A., 1998. Constrained optimization of 
spatial sampling using continuous simulated annealing. Journal of 
Environmental Quality, 27(5): 1078-1086.
-Van Groenigen, J.W., Siderius, W. and Stein, A., 1999. Constrained 
optimisation of soil sampling for minimisation of the kriging variance. 
Geoderma, 87: 239-259.
-Van Groenigen, J.W., Pieters, G. and Stein, A., 2000. Optimizing spatial 
sampling for multivariate contamination in urban areas. Environmetrics, 11: 
227-244.

Also, you can download a preliminary software implementation of this 
algorithm from my website (see below).

Of course, there is a lot a controversy in the geostatistical community 
about the use of kriging variance as a measure for interpolation error, 
since it does not take into account the actual values of the measured 
variable, which can give you problems when the intrinsic hypothesis doesn't 
hold (and it often doesn't). Although this has some truth to it, my 
philosophy is that that is exactly what makes it interesting for sampling 
optimization, since you don't have those values before sampling anyway 
However, the last of my references used an optimization criterion that 
doesn't involve kriging variance.

Cheers,

Jan Willem.



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Jan Willem van Groenigen
University of California - Davis
Dept. of Agronomy and Range Science
1 Shield Avenue
Davis, CA 95616 - 8515, U.S.A.
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http://agronomy.ucdavis.edu/groenigen
tel. (530) 752-3457
fax. (530) 752-4361
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AI-GEOSTATS: re:samples in a block

2001-08-28 Thread Donald E. Myers

Unfortunately as Mark has noted, if nothing is known then one will have
to design a sampling plan using other criteriia, i.e., essentially
meaning non-statistical criteria.

Even if there were no spatial correlation and one only wanted to
estimate the average value for the block one would need the variance. In
such a case one might iterate, i.e., randomly select sample locations
(the number being determined perhaps by budget and difficulty of
sampling). After sampling at those locations, compute the sample
variance and use this to predict a sample size (which will almost
certainly be larger than the original size). One can of course use the
data obtained at this stage to estimate the mean and also obtain a
confidence interval, the new sample size will be related to the desired
confidence interval width and desired confidence level. Having
determined a new sample size, repeat the process (combining the
original sample with the new data would not correspond to random
sampling), if after several iterations it appears that the predicted
sample size stablizes then you are through. Note that this process only
focuses on the number of sample locations, the actual locations being
selected randomly.

This process can be improved on by using the theory of sequential
sampling.

With respect to geostatistics, we need to remember that the data (in
common practice) is used for two different purposes.The first being the
estimation/modeling of the variogram or covariance function, the second
being the kriging (of whatever form or type). An optimal sampling plan
for the one will generally not be an optimal plan for the other.

There is an old issue of GEOSTATISTICS, the NACOG newsletter, that has
a long list of papers on sampling design. A number of papers have been
written since then as well. There is no definitive answer to the
question since it depends on the question, i.e., what is the data to be
used for?

Donald E. Myers
Department of Mathematics
University of Arizona
Tucson, AZ 85721
http://www.u.arizona.edu/~donaldm


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