[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-27 Thread Joe Fitzgerald


On 3/26/2014 3:28 PM, Howie DeFelice wrote:

This was a very clever use of available data for an unintended purpose. 


I am a little surprised that they retained enough data to do the doppler 
analysis.  For example, once I successfully download a telemetry frame 
from AO-73,  the demodulated and decoded data is sent off to the Funcube 
warehouse.   I sure don't save all the audio to disk!


-Joe KM1P
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-27 Thread Howie DeFelice
I idid some checking on www.satellite-calculations.com and was surprised at 
what I found.

SAT   LOCATION INCLINATION

3-F1   64E 1.67 deg
3-F2   15W   0.21 deg
3-F3 178E 1.07 deg
3-F4   54W   3.6 deg
3-F5   24E 0.39 deg
4-F1 143E 2.67 deg
4-F2   24E 2.34 deg
4-F3   98W   3.01 deg
2-F2 142W   9.33 deg

I didn't expect some of the older 3rd generation satellites to have lower 
inclinations
than the newer 4th generations sats considering that the newer sats use 
scanning spot beam
technology. It might have something to do with customer lease requirements 
since INMARSAT
will lease excess capacity users, but that's only a guess.


As to the question about retaining the data, you can think of it as meta data 
similar to what the cellphone carriers collect about cellphone calls. They 
don't record and save you conversations but they do record information about 
origination, destination,time, duration and type of call. This information is 
collected and logged automatically in most cases.

- Howie   
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-27 Thread WA6FWF


 As to the question about retaining the data, you can think of it as 
meta data similar to what the cellphone carriers collect about cellphone 
calls. They don't record and save you conversations but they do record 
information about origination, destination,time, duration and type of 
call. This information is collected and logged automatically in most 
cases. - Howie



I would not be too sure about They don't record and save you 
conversations  maybe not the carrier itself  but someone else might be.


Kevin WA6FWF


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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-27 Thread Joe Fitzgerald



  As to the question about retaining the data, you can think of it as
 meta data similar to what the cellphone carriers collect about cellphone
 calls. They don't record and save you conversations but they do record
 information about origination, destination,time, duration and type of
 call.

They sure do that, as it has value for network utilization, billing etc. 
I bet (a small bet anyway) my cell phone carrier doesn't save receive
frequency data accurate enough to determine what direction I am driving
though.

Maybe they do though.  We are considering similar functionality for the
Fox telemetry software, but of course we have a vested interest in knowing
where our spacecraft is.

-Joe KM1P

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-26 Thread Howie DeFelice
All Inmarsat satellites though the F-3 series have been in inclined orbits 
since beginning of life. This gives them extended on orbit lifetime. The 
beamwidth of the Inmarsat L band ground terminals is large enough that tracking 
isn't required. The gateway stations operate at C band with large antennas that 
require continuous step tracking. I don't know for sure if the F-4 satellites 
are inclined or not. This was a very clever use of available data for an 
unintended purpose.
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-26 Thread Phil Karn
On 03/26/2014 12:28 PM, Howie DeFelice wrote:
 All Inmarsat satellites though the F-3 series have been in inclined
 orbits since beginning of life.

Ah so, I was wondering if that might be the case because the user
antennas are mobile and have broad patterns to begin with. What is their
nominal inclination?

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-25 Thread Phil Karn
Finally, (some) technical details, though still not as many as I'd like.

https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=740971779281171id=17856654999stream_ref=10

The original analysis was based either on a round trip time measurement
or a reported transmitter power, which depends on satellite elevation.
Either way, it could only yield a locus of positions that fell on a
circle of constant distance (or elevation angle) to the satellite.
Erasing the part of the circle that could not be reached with the
available fuel left the arcs. I don't understand why there would have
been a gap between the two around the equator.

The big problem was to solve the ambiguity -- northern hemisphere or
southern?

I believe the answer relies on the fact that Inmarsat 3 F1 is an old
satellite launched in 1996. Its inclination has risen to 1.67 degrees,
probably because its stationkeeping fuel has run out.

The total measured Doppler would be the sum of the Doppler caused by the
plane's motion with respect to the satellite and that due to the
satellite's non-zero motion with respect to the earth. Judging from the
diagrams on heavens-above.com, I'd say the satellite was moving
southward during the flight, which took place between roughly midnight
and dawn local time. Since the plane was in the southern hemisphere, the
satellite was moving toward it, resulting in a higher net frequency
shift than if the plane had been in the northern hemisphere.

Note the shapes of the curves in the plot titled MH370: Burst Frequency
Offset. The southerly track has the Doppler increasing with time, while
the northerly track would have it decreasing with time.

The analysis does have to assume a certain fixed speed for the aircraft
but it seems to produce consistent results.

It should be possible to replicate Inmarsat's graphs using the three
line elements for the satellite and their presumed ground tracks for the
aircraft.

Phil


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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Michael Chen
The distance calculated between the satellite and the plane won't be
credible if the time on both are not synchronized, even if the
transmission from the plane is time tagged. As a matter of fact, it's
quite difficult to keep such an synchronization.



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On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 4:27 AM, James Duffey jamesduf...@comcast.net wrote:
 I think that the transmissions from the airplane are time tagged, even 
 without the data packets being transmitted. By comparing the ping time to the 
 time on the satellite, one can tell how far away the ping is. You can draw a 
 circle with that radius, taking into account fuel available on the airplane 
 and last heading to sort of kind of bound where the airplane is. That is 
 where the red circles in the NY Times article come from.

 A second satellite is needed to pinpoint a more exact location, but even that 
 will have a relatively position error on the ground. I don't think it is 
 within range of another INMARSAT. Whether or not other assets exist that 
 could receive the signal is a matter of speculation. - KK6MC


 On Mar 16, 2014, at 2:01 PM, Rick Walter wb3...@gmail.com wrote:

 Tony, since the satellite cannot tell direction of the Ping, only distance, 
 the arcs have the same distance from the plane making up a half circle. You 
 would need to sats to hear the plane, see where the two arcs cross to 
 determine a location.

 This is the same way seismic stations locate earthquakes.

 Rick - WB3CSY

 Sent from Rick's iPhone 5
 Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre 
 minds - Albert Einstein



 On Mar 16, 2014, at 12:24 PM, Anthony Japha aja...@earthlink.net wrote:

 Those so-called arcs that are said to be possible routes for the plane look 
 much like the outer edge of one of the Inmarsat footprints.  Is there logic 
 behind the arcs or is it oversimplified nonsense?  They are said to be the 
 result of the signals Inmarsat received.  But then why wouldn't it be 
 possible for the plane to be anywhere in the footprint?

 I'm sure many in our group have good ideas.  I'm not trying to start a 
 discussion of the entire mystery, only this one narrow, but possibly 
 misleading, aspect related to our hobby.

 73,
 Tony, N2UN
 LM 183

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Tom Busch
The news has been reporting that they are using the angle of the last known
ping from the ACARS system to the satellite.  This is where the 40-degree
arc around the satellite comes from.

What I don't understand is how INMARSAT knows what that angle is.  CNN says
that the satellite steers its antenna to the location where it expects the
next ping, but that doesn't make sense.

I have been looking for the algorithm, but I can't find it.  Signal
strength? Some sort of electronic steering?  Trade secret?  I don't know.

Tom WB8WOR


On Sun, Mar 16, 2014 at 10:57 PM, R.T.Liddy k...@ameritech.net wrote:

 Tony,

 They would use the time differential between receipt
 to measure the distance versus the location of the
 satellites. The more satellites, then the more accurate
 the triangulation.

 73,   Bob K8BL


 
  From: Anthony Japha tjja...@earthlink.net
 To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org
 Sent: Sunday, March 16, 2014 4:49 PM
 Subject: [amsat-bb] Malaysian airliner puzzle


 Thanks Rick,
 How do those sats determine distance to the source?
 Tony, N2UN

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Tom Busch
Looks like I'm wrong.  The Steering info wasn't from CNN.  It's from this
Huffington Post article:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/16/malaysia-airlines-takeover_n_4972889.html.
I still would like to know how the satellite knows.

It also says that these pings occur every hour, so I suppose it could
have kept flying for an hour after the last contact.
Tom  WB8WOR

On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 11:28 AM, Tom Busch t...@bloomington.com wrote:

 The news has been reporting that they are using the angle of the last
 known ping from the ACARS system to the satellite.  This is where the
 40-degree arc around the satellite comes from.

 What I don't understand is how INMARSAT knows what that angle is.  CNN
 says that the satellite steers its antenna to the location where it expects
 the next ping, but that doesn't make sense.

 I have been looking for the algorithm, but I can't find it.  Signal
 strength? Some sort of electronic steering?  Trade secret?  I don't know.

 Tom WB8WOR


 On Sun, Mar 16, 2014 at 10:57 PM, R.T.Liddy k...@ameritech.net wrote:

 Tony,

 They would use the time differential between receipt
 to measure the distance versus the location of the
 satellites. The more satellites, then the more accurate
 the triangulation.

 73,   Bob K8BL


 
  From: Anthony Japha tjja...@earthlink.net
 To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org
 Sent: Sunday, March 16, 2014 4:49 PM
 Subject: [amsat-bb] Malaysian airliner puzzle


 Thanks Rick,
 How do those sats determine distance to the source?
 Tony, N2UN

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Nitin Muttin
This is really a mystery, wonder what is the ELT frequencies used on modern 
aircraft , is it 121.5 Mhz or the new 406 Mhz.
 
73
Nitin [VU3TYG]



 From: Michael Chen michael.bd...@gmail.com
To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org 
Sent: Monday, 17 March 2014 8:35 PM
Subject: [amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle
 

The distance calculated between the satellite and the plane won't be
credible if the time on both are not synchronized, even if the
transmission from the plane is time tagged. As a matter of fact, it's
quite difficult to keep such an synchronization.



Michael Chen, BD5RV/4
AMSAT-China: http://www.camsat.cn
---
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Email:  michael.bd...@gmail.com
MSN:    bd...@jsdxc.org
Skype:  michael-bd5rv


On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 4:27 AM, James Duffey jamesduf...@comcast.net wrote:
 I think that the transmissions from the airplane are time tagged, even 
 without the data packets being transmitted. By comparing the ping time to 
 the time on the satellite, one can tell how far away the ping is. You can 
 draw a circle with that radius, taking into account fuel available on the 
 airplane and last heading to sort of kind of bound where the airplane is. 
 That is where the red circles in the NY Times article come from.

 A second satellite is needed to pinpoint a more exact location, but even 
 that will have a relatively position error on the ground. I don't think it 
 is within range of another INMARSAT. Whether or not other assets exist that 
 could receive the signal is a matter of speculation. - KK6MC


 On Mar 16, 2014, at 2:01 PM, Rick Walter wb3...@gmail.com wrote:

 Tony, since the satellite cannot tell direction of the Ping, only distance, 
 the arcs have the same distance from the plane making up a half circle. You 
 would need to sats to hear the plane, see where the two arcs cross to 
 determine a location.

 This is the same way seismic stations locate earthquakes.

 Rick - WB3CSY

 Sent from Rick's iPhone 5
 Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre 
 minds - Albert Einstein



 On Mar 16, 2014, at 12:24 PM, Anthony Japha aja...@earthlink.net wrote:

 Those so-called arcs that are said to be possible routes for the plane 
 look much like the outer edge of one of the Inmarsat footprints.  Is there 
 logic behind the arcs or is it oversimplified nonsense?  They are said to 
 be the result of the signals Inmarsat received.  But then why wouldn't it 
 be possible for the plane to be anywhere in the footprint?

 I'm sure many in our group have good ideas.  I'm not trying to start a 
 discussion of the entire mystery, only this one narrow, but possibly 
 misleading, aspect related to our hobby.

 73,
 Tony, N2UN
 LM 183

 ---
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Chandler Heath
I read that the handshakes were still occurring when they lost contact with 
the aircraft. In an article posted here from the Inmarsat web site Inmarsat 
mentioned that they and their partner Sita are working with officials to use 
handshakes to triangulate the position.

On the topic of Steering, the satellites have the capability to steer spot 
beams to address capacity needs, but to steer for one subscriber would make 
things worse for the others.

Here is a link on the Sita service OnAir. I don't know how accurate it is, but 
here it is for anyone that may want to learn more.

http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/OnAir_(telecommunications)

Sent from my iPhone

 On Mar 17, 2014, at 11:11 AM, Tom Busch t...@bloomington.com wrote:
 
 Looks like I'm wrong.  The Steering info wasn't from CNN.  It's from this
 Huffington Post article:
 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/16/malaysia-airlines-takeover_n_4972889.html.
 I still would like to know how the satellite knows.
 
 It also says that these pings occur every hour, so I suppose it could
 have kept flying for an hour after the last contact.
 Tom  WB8WOR
 
 On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 11:28 AM, Tom Busch t...@bloomington.com wrote:
 
 The news has been reporting that they are using the angle of the last
 known ping from the ACARS system to the satellite.  This is where the
 40-degree arc around the satellite comes from.
 
 What I don't understand is how INMARSAT knows what that angle is.  CNN
 says that the satellite steers its antenna to the location where it expects
 the next ping, but that doesn't make sense.
 
 I have been looking for the algorithm, but I can't find it.  Signal
 strength? Some sort of electronic steering?  Trade secret?  I don't know.
 
 Tom WB8WOR
 
 
 On Sun, Mar 16, 2014 at 10:57 PM, R.T.Liddy k...@ameritech.net wrote:
 
 Tony,
 
 They would use the time differential between receipt
 to measure the distance versus the location of the
 satellites. The more satellites, then the more accurate
 the triangulation.
 
 73,   Bob K8BL
 
 
 
 From: Anthony Japha tjja...@earthlink.net
 To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org
 Sent: Sunday, March 16, 2014 4:49 PM
 Subject: [amsat-bb] Malaysian airliner puzzle
 
 
 Thanks Rick,
 How do those sats determine distance to the source?
 Tony, N2UN
 
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Joe
What I do not understand is why the Transponder is capable of being shut 
off at all?


That thing as soon as the plane is powered up should start transmitting, 
and continue to do so till the plane is shut down. And have no way 
anyone can shut it off in any way.


Why does something like this seem sooo simple?

Then The the Black Box There is also no reason what so ever that it 
has to be the only recording of the planes parameters. Sure record it, 
no problem,  BUT... there is no reason why this can not be transmitted 
live or compressed and transmitted in packets to ground stations to 
save. This way if a plane goes down you do not need to Recover the 
Black Box every bit of data is already on the ground saved.


Again Like DUH?

Joe WB9SBD
Sig
The Original Rolling Ball Clock
Idle Tyme
Idle-Tyme.com
http://www.idle-tyme.com
On 3/17/2014 12:22 PM, Nitin Muttin wrote:

This is really a mystery, wonder what is the ELT frequencies used on modern 
aircraft , is it 121.5 Mhz or the new 406 Mhz.
  
73

Nitin [VU3TYG]




From: Michael Chen michael.bd...@gmail.com
To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org
Sent: Monday, 17 March 2014 8:35 PM
Subject: [amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle


The distance calculated between the satellite and the plane won't be
credible if the time on both are not synchronized, even if the
transmission from the plane is time tagged. As a matter of fact, it's
quite difficult to keep such an synchronization.



Michael Chen, BD5RV/4
AMSAT-China: http://www.camsat.cn
---
Twitter:  http://twitter.com/bd5rv
Email:  michael.bd...@gmail.com
MSN:bd...@jsdxc.org
Skype:  michael-bd5rv


On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 4:27 AM, James Duffey jamesduf...@comcast.net wrote:

I think that the transmissions from the airplane are time tagged, even without 
the data packets being transmitted. By comparing the ping time to the time on 
the satellite, one can tell how far away the ping is. You can draw a circle 
with that radius, taking into account fuel available on the airplane and last 
heading to sort of kind of bound where the airplane is. That is where the red 
circles in the NY Times article come from.

A second satellite is needed to pinpoint a more exact location, but even that 
will have a relatively position error on the ground. I don't think it is within 
range of another INMARSAT. Whether or not other assets exist that could receive 
the signal is a matter of speculation. - KK6MC


On Mar 16, 2014, at 2:01 PM, Rick Walter wb3...@gmail.com wrote:


Tony, since the satellite cannot tell direction of the Ping, only distance, the 
arcs have the same distance from the plane making up a half circle. You would 
need to sats to hear the plane, see where the two arcs cross to determine a 
location.

This is the same way seismic stations locate earthquakes.

Rick - WB3CSY

Sent from Rick's iPhone 5
Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre minds 
- Albert Einstein




On Mar 16, 2014, at 12:24 PM, Anthony Japha aja...@earthlink.net wrote:

Those so-called arcs that are said to be possible routes for the plane look 
much like the outer edge of one of the Inmarsat footprints.  Is there logic 
behind the arcs or is it oversimplified nonsense?  They are said to be the 
result of the signals Inmarsat received.  But then why wouldn't it be possible 
for the plane to be anywhere in the footprint?

I'm sure many in our group have good ideas.  I'm not trying to start a 
discussion of the entire mystery, only this one narrow, but possibly 
misleading, aspect related to our hobby.

73,
Tony, N2UN
LM 183

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Nitin Muttin
Sorry if off topic.

Looks like it is all three 121.5 / 243/ 406

 http://www.acrartex.com/products/catalog/elts-commercialmilitary/b406-4/ 

If the aircraft did crash in Bay of Bengal / Indian ocean and ELT operational 
the signals would have been picked up by satellites

.http://inmcc.istrac.org/brochurehtml/index.htm


73
Nitin [VU3TYG]



 From: Nitin Muttin vu3...@yahoo.co.in
To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org 
Sent: Monday, 17 March 2014 10:52 PM
Subject: Re: [amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle
 


This is really a mystery, wonder what is the ELT frequencies used on modern 
aircraft , is it 121.5 Mhz or the new 406 Mhz.
 
73
Nitin [VU3TYG]




 From: Michael Chen michael.bd...@gmail.com
To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org 
Sent: Monday, 17 March 2014 8:35 PM
Subject: [amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle
 

The distance calculated between the satellite and the plane won't be
credible if the time on both are not synchronized, even if the
transmission from the plane is time tagged. As a matter of fact, it's
quite difficult to keep such an synchronization.



Michael Chen, BD5RV/4
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On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 4:27 AM, James Duffey jamesduf...@comcast.net wrote:
 I think that the transmissions from the airplane are time tagged, even 
 without the data packets being transmitted. By comparing the ping time to 
 the time on the satellite, one can tell how far away the ping is. You can 
 draw a circle with that radius, taking into account fuel available on the 
 airplane and last heading to sort of kind of bound where the airplane is. 
 That is where the red circles in the NY Times article come from.

 A second satellite is needed to pinpoint a more exact location, but even 
 that will have a relatively position error on the ground. I don't think it 
 is within range of another INMARSAT. Whether or not other assets exist that 
 could receive the signal is a matter of speculation. - KK6MC


 On Mar 16, 2014, at 2:01 PM, Rick Walter wb3...@gmail.com wrote:

 Tony, since the satellite cannot tell direction of the Ping, only 
 distance, the arcs have the same distance from the plane making up a half 
 circle. You would need to sats to hear the plane, see where the two arcs 
 cross to determine a location.

 This is the same way seismic stations locate earthquakes.

 Rick - WB3CSY

 Sent from Rick's iPhone 5
 Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre 
 minds - Albert Einstein



 On Mar 16, 2014, at 12:24 PM, Anthony Japha aja...@earthlink.net 
 wrote:

 Those so-called arcs that are said to be possible routes for the plane 
 look much like the outer edge of one of the Inmarsat footprints.  Is 
 there logic behind the arcs or is it oversimplified nonsense?  They are 
 said to be the result of the signals Inmarsat received.  But then why 
 wouldn't it be possible for the plane to be anywhere in the footprint?

 I'm sure many in our group have good ideas.  I'm not trying to start a 
 discussion of the entire mystery, only this one narrow, but possibly 
 misleading, aspect related to our hobby.

 73,
 Tony, N2UN
 LM 183

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Tom Busch
Now I get it...

The satellite pings the plane, which responds with I am here.  By
measuring the round trip time between the transmit and receive signals, the
satellite can determine the aircraft's distance, and thus the angle to it.

Article here:  http://theaviationist.com/2014/03/16/satcom-acars-explained/

Tom WB8WOR

On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 1:28 PM, Chandler Heath conve...@gmail.com wrote:

 I read that the handshakes were still occurring when they lost contact
 with the aircraft. In an article posted here from the Inmarsat web site
 Inmarsat mentioned that they and their partner Sita are working with
 officials to use handshakes to triangulate the position.

 On the topic of Steering, the satellites have the capability to steer
 spot beams to address capacity needs, but to steer for one subscriber
 would make things worse for the others.

 Here is a link on the Sita service OnAir. I don't know how accurate it is,
 but here it is for anyone that may want to learn more.

 http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/OnAir_(telecommunications)

 Sent from my iPhone

  On Mar 17, 2014, at 11:11 AM, Tom Busch t...@bloomington.com wrote:
 
  Looks like I'm wrong.  The Steering info wasn't from CNN.  It's from
 this
  Huffington Post article:
 
 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/03/16/malaysia-airlines-takeover_n_4972889.html
 .
  I still would like to know how the satellite knows.
 
  It also says that these pings occur every hour, so I suppose it could
  have kept flying for an hour after the last contact.
  Tom  WB8WOR
 
  On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 11:28 AM, Tom Busch t...@bloomington.com
 wrote:
 
  The news has been reporting that they are using the angle of the last
  known ping from the ACARS system to the satellite.  This is where the
  40-degree arc around the satellite comes from.
 
  What I don't understand is how INMARSAT knows what that angle is.  CNN
  says that the satellite steers its antenna to the location where it
 expects
  the next ping, but that doesn't make sense.
 
  I have been looking for the algorithm, but I can't find it.  Signal
  strength? Some sort of electronic steering?  Trade secret?  I don't
 know.
 
  Tom WB8WOR
 
 
  On Sun, Mar 16, 2014 at 10:57 PM, R.T.Liddy k...@ameritech.net
 wrote:
 
  Tony,
 
  They would use the time differential between receipt
  to measure the distance versus the location of the
  satellites. The more satellites, then the more accurate
  the triangulation.
 
  73,   Bob K8BL
 
 
  
  From: Anthony Japha tjja...@earthlink.net
  To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org
  Sent: Sunday, March 16, 2014 4:49 PM
  Subject: [amsat-bb] Malaysian airliner puzzle
 
 
  Thanks Rick,
  How do those sats determine distance to the source?
  Tony, N2UN
 
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Bruce
interesting thing is that i am sure that the u.s. as well as other 
countries have spy satellites that have been taking pictures 24/7 with 
resolution that can see a person on the ground. that being said, i would 
further venture to say that none of them will want to show pictures of 
the jet as it would give away their secret ability. possibly they are 
fixed on a particular country or city and not the ocean.


73...bruce

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Gordon JC Pearce
On Mon, Mar 17, 2014 at 12:40:05PM -0500, Joe wrote:
 What I do not understand is why the Transponder is capable of being
 shut off at all?
 
 That thing as soon as the plane is powered up should start
 transmitting, and continue to do so till the plane is shut down. And
 have no way anyone can shut it off in any way.

Because it takes a ludicrous amount of power to run.  It would be one of the 
first things you'd turn off if you were load-shedding for some reason.

-- 
Gordonjcp MM0YEQ

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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Franklin Antonio

At 12:40 PM 3/17/2014, Bruce wrote:
i am sure that the u.s. as well as other countries have spy 
satellites that have been taking pictures 24/7 with resolution that 
can see a person on the ground. that being said, i would further 
venture to say that none of them will want to show pictures of the 
jet as it would give away their secret ability.


Hey, good to see a post that's on topic.  Satellites!

Actually, the capability is not very secret.  Its pretty much out in 
the open.  Although every nation keeps the details secret, but you 
don't need details to understand what kind of a picture is 
possible.  Physics will tell you that.


You can calculate the resolution of a spy satellite.  Its just 
physics.  You know the diameter of the aperture (lens or 
mirror).  You know that because dimensions for many classified 
objects have been published.  Also you know the diameter of the space 
shuttle's payload bay.  You know the wavelength of light.  Simple 
formula gives you the resolving power as an angle.  To turn that into 
the size of an object you need to know a distance.  You can look up 
the orbits of many classified satellites, so know how far away they 
are.  But because you get more resolution by being closer, you know 
the best pictures will come from low orbit, and here the limit is the 
Earth's atmosphere.  No need to know classified orbit data.  Just 
presume there are some spy satellites in low but stable orbits, 
perhaps 300 to 500 km.


So, yes, they should be able to see something smaller than a person, 
but here's the kicker... They can't do that everywhere at 
once.  Because they are in orbit close to the earth, they can only 
see stuff that's under them.  This is a tiny fraction of the 
earth.  Also, within that area, you have to tell them where to 
point.  A simple number-of-pixels thing.  Looking at the whole 
footprint at max resolution would be an enormous # of pixels.  We 
would have to guess the limit, but its not hard to guess that the 
maximum image is way smaller than the footprint.  This is great for 
taking pictures of your opponent's military installations, and maybe 
even seeing what assets there come and go over time, but it is 
unlikely to be of help in tracking an airplane that unexpectedly 
flies some unknown path to some unknown location.


Also, the plane flew at night, in the dark.

I'm sure the big boys are thinking about new capabilities as we 
speak, and writing them into next year's budget!



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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-17 Thread Bruce
nice, thanks antonio. i still think that we have enough of our spy satellites 
watching that part of the world that they saw it and night should not matter. 
if we can think outside the box, i am sure we have created it. 
br/br/73...brucea 
href=https://overview.mail.yahoo.com?.src=iOS;br/br/Sent from Yahoo Mail 
for iPhone/a
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-16 Thread Rick Walter
Tony, since the satellite cannot tell direction of the Ping, only distance, the 
arcs have the same distance from the plane making up a half circle. You would 
need to sats to hear the plane, see where the two arcs cross to determine a 
location. 

This is the same way seismic stations locate earthquakes. 

Rick - WB3CSY

Sent from Rick's iPhone 5
Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre minds 
- Albert Einstein



 On Mar 16, 2014, at 12:24 PM, Anthony Japha aja...@earthlink.net wrote:
 
 Those so-called arcs that are said to be possible routes for the plane look 
 much like the outer edge of one of the Inmarsat footprints.  Is there logic 
 behind the arcs or is it oversimplified nonsense?  They are said to be the 
 result of the signals Inmarsat received.  But then why wouldn’t it be 
 possible for the plane to be anywhere in the footprint?
 
 I’m sure many in our group have good ideas.  I’m not trying to start a 
 discussion of the entire mystery, only this one narrow, but possibly 
 misleading, aspect related to our hobby.
 
 73,
 Tony, N2UN
 LM 183
 
 ---
 This email is free from viruses and malware because avast! Antivirus 
 protection is active.
 http://www.avast.com
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-16 Thread James Duffey
I think that the transmissions from the airplane are time tagged, even without 
the data packets being transmitted. By comparing the ping time to the time on 
the satellite, one can tell how far away the ping is. You can draw a circle 
with that radius, taking into account fuel available on the airplane and last 
heading to sort of kind of bound where the airplane is. That is where the red 
circles in the NY Times article come from. 

A second satellite is needed to pinpoint a more exact location, but even that 
will have a relatively position error on the ground. I don’t think it is within 
range of another INMARSAT. Whether or not other assets exist that could receive 
the signal is a matter of speculation. - KK6MC 


On Mar 16, 2014, at 2:01 PM, Rick Walter wb3...@gmail.com wrote:

 Tony, since the satellite cannot tell direction of the Ping, only distance, 
 the arcs have the same distance from the plane making up a half circle. You 
 would need to sats to hear the plane, see where the two arcs cross to 
 determine a location. 
 
 This is the same way seismic stations locate earthquakes. 
 
 Rick - WB3CSY
 
 Sent from Rick's iPhone 5
 Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre 
 minds - Albert Einstein
 
 
 
 On Mar 16, 2014, at 12:24 PM, Anthony Japha aja...@earthlink.net wrote:
 
 Those so-called arcs that are said to be possible routes for the plane look 
 much like the outer edge of one of the Inmarsat footprints.  Is there logic 
 behind the arcs or is it oversimplified nonsense?  They are said to be the 
 result of the signals Inmarsat received.  But then why wouldn’t it be 
 possible for the plane to be anywhere in the footprint?
 
 I’m sure many in our group have good ideas.  I’m not trying to start a 
 discussion of the entire mystery, only this one narrow, but possibly 
 misleading, aspect related to our hobby.
 
 73,
 Tony, N2UN
 LM 183
 
 ---
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-16 Thread Rick Walter
I think it is like GPS, the signal from the plane has encoded in it the time it 
was sent and the satellite knows when it arrived at the sat. Using a formula to 
compensate for our atmosphere and using the speed of light it knows the 
distance travelled. 

Rick 

Sent from Rick's iPhone 5
Great spirits have always encountered violent opposition from mediocre minds 
- Albert Einstein



 On Mar 16, 2014, at 4:49 PM, Anthony Japha tjja...@earthlink.net wrote:
 
 Thanks Rick,
 How do those sats determine distance to the source?   
 Tony, N2UN  
 
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-16 Thread Howie DeFelice
Hi Tony,
I'm not up to speed on the current Inmarsat Aero service, but they are most 
likely using thee 4th generation satellite constellation which has numerous 
small overlapping spotbeams. They also have larger area beams as well as a 
global beam. There are several different aero services provided by Inmarsat for 
different classes of planes. I haven't seen the report you mention so I can't 
make any guesses how this relates to the footprints.
- Howie AB2S  
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-16 Thread Harvey N. Vordenbaum
There a couple of news items on the Inmarsat web-site:
http://www.inmarsat.com/news/inmarsat-appointed-technical-adviser-flight-mh3
70/ 

http://www.inmarsat.com/news/inmarsat-statement-malaysia-airlines-flight-mh3
70/

hv


-Original Message-
From: amsat-bb-boun...@amsat.org [mailto:amsat-bb-boun...@amsat.org] On
Behalf Of Howie DeFelice
Sent: Sunday, March 16, 2014 8:59 PM
To: amsat-bb@amsat.org
Subject: [amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

Hi Tony,
I'm not up to speed on the current Inmarsat Aero service, but they are most
likely using thee 4th generation satellite constellation which has numerous
small overlapping spotbeams. They also have larger area beams as well as a
global beam. There are several different aero services provided by Inmarsat
for different classes of planes. I haven't seen the report you mention so I
can't make any guesses how this relates to the footprints.
- Howie AB2S  
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[amsat-bb] Re: Malaysian airliner puzzle

2014-03-16 Thread R.T.Liddy
Tony,

They would use the time differential between receipt
to measure the distance versus the location of the
satellites. The more satellites, then the more accurate
the triangulation.

73,   Bob K8BL



 From: Anthony Japha tjja...@earthlink.net
To: amsat-bb amsat-bb@amsat.org 
Sent: Sunday, March 16, 2014 4:49 PM
Subject: [amsat-bb] Malaysian airliner puzzle
 

Thanks Rick,
How do those sats determine distance to the source?  
Tony, N2UN  

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