RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-30 Thread Horn, John
> From: John D. Giorgis [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> 
> By the way - of the recent developments in the nuclear programs of
the
> DPRK, India, Pakistan, Iran, and Iraq over the past 15 years 
> - how many
> occurred with the knowledge of US intelligence sources?   
> 
> I'll give you a hint - the answer is a very round number 
> so I wouldn"t
> count on being able to know when a successful test is 
> "imminent" if that is your plan.

Wait a minute.  In another thread, you said to me that the United
States would be able to stop every country that wanted to develop
nuclear and biological weapons for the next 100 years.  Yet here you
admit that we have done a miserable job of determining that.  And,
in fact, we probably can't stop every rogue country from developing
these weapons.

So which one is it?

 - jmh
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RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-28 Thread Ritu

John D. Giorgis wrote:

> As for your argument that liberation of  Afghanistan would 
> not have been
> justified on September 10th, 2001 - well   I find it most 
> peculiar to hear
> the logic of retribution coming from you.The liberation 
> of Afghanistan
> was justified because it made the Afghan people better off, end story.

But wasn't the liberation of the Afghans planned after Mullah Omar
refused to hand over Bin Laden to the US? 

Ritu


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RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 11:26 PM 7/27/2003 -0400 Jon Gabriel wrote:
>> Didn't the Iraqi Information Minister say that the total number of
>> casualties was 100,000?
>
>Hilarious!  
>
>Should we expect your next 'unimpeachable' source to be the Jon Lovitz'
>"Tommy the Liar" character from SNL?

If nothing else, I figured that Michael could not have argued that his
estimate was too low!

Anyhow, I stand corrected - the number of casualties for civilians of all
ages was below 10,000 - or less than the number of children the UN thinks
that Saddam killed every two months by refusing to trade oil for food and
medicine under UN auspices.

JDG
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Re: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
Michael,

The NY Times reports that the US was considering Iraq as early as 9/13/01.
 You seem to somehow imagine that Bush including Iraq in the "axis of evil"
in January somehow was not a clear signal that the US intended to effect
regime change in Iraq.   Yet, by Presidents Day 2002, again while Bush's
aproval ratings were still high, the Washington Post reporter, albeit
incorrectly, that the Administration had made the decision to attack Iraq
in May of 2002.   Although this report was inaccurate, the fact that the
decision was well enough under discussion for the Post to speculate on the
timing of the attack shows that this decision was not made under
short-orders due to a termporary down-turn in the polls as you suggest.

As for your contention that the only usable intelligence is intelligence
that we know is 100% true - well, that contention simply does not comport
with reality.   Life is full of judgement calls due to imperfect data,
Michael, sometimes you're right, sometimes your wrong - but almost nothing
in life is 100% certain.   Ralph Nader doesn't wait until he has 100% data
to speak out against consumer defects, and the President simply cannot wait
until he has 100% data before deciding to act either.

As for your argument that liberation of  Afghanistan would not have been
justified on September 10th, 2001 - well   I find it most peculiar to hear
the logic of retribution coming from you.The liberation of Afghanistan
was justified because it made the Afghan people better off, end story.
The liberation of Afghanistan was justified because it prevented
Afghanistan from being used as a based of operations for attacks upon us,
end story.   To argue that the liberation of Afghanistan was justified
because the killing of more than 2000  Americans justified killing a large
number of Al Qaeda members is a logic that frankly I find disturbing - and
let this be clear that this is what you are arguing when you say that
retribution is a _necessary_ argument for liberating Afghanistan, without
which the others fail.

In Iraq, the US had standing authorization by the UNSC from 1990 to use,
'all necessary means to enforce all previous and subsequent resolutions
regarding the situation in Iraq.'   Iraq signed an agreement wit the US at
the end of the 1990-1 Gulf War, which it never ever upheld.  Additionally.
it is worth noting that UNSC resolution 1441  was passed unanimously by the
UNSC in the fall of 2002, and was brought up under the same agenda item as
the 'all necessary means' resolution, and indeed, resolution 1441
specifically 'recalled' the 'all necessary means' resolution in its
preamble.   The harm done in waiting for 4 months-to-a-year is that
inspections only resumed after US troops were sent back to the Gulf, and it
would have been exceptionally cost prohibitive for the US to leave one out
of every 1,000 Americans in the Persian Gulf for that period of time,
especially since they would be vulnerable there to terrorist attacks.  The
US had the legal justification - especially since Iraq never complied with
the inspections, so it made the call go in and end the long national
nightmare of 38 million Iraqis.

I think that it is clear to anyone that nuclear weapons are far more
effective killers than biological or chemical weapons.   We have
protections against biological and chemical weapons - which I might add
were distributed to every Israeli citizen.   We have no such defense
against a nuclear blast.   If Iraq developed a nuke, its game over.

You claim that there was no intelligence that Iraq had restarted its
nuclear program - yet somehow the DPRK managed to build nuclear weapons
right underneath our noses, Iran made vast strides in their nuclear program
without us ever knowing it, the US was completely surprised by India's and
Paksitan's nuclear tests (see any opinion piece calling on George Tenet to
resign for evidence), and Iraq came within a year of building a nuclear
weapon in 1991 without us knowing it.   Sorry Michael, but the absence of
evidence is not the absence of evidence.. MOREOVER, the United Nations
Security Council agreed unanimously in resolution 1441 that the burden of
proof was upon Iraq to demonstrate the dismantling of its nuclear,
biological, and chemical weapons programs - and that the burden was not
upon the US to demonstrate that those programs still existed.   Now, you
are free to disagree with the UNSC's unanimously (including Syria I  might
add) assigning the burden in this case uon Iraq - but you'd be taking a
rather extreme position in that case.

Sorry Michael, but nuclear weapons are NOT easy to detect.   In fact, it is
believed that some of them can be made as small as a brief case and of
course, once they reach a US harbor it is already too late to prevent the
incineration of hundreds of thousands.   We had EVERY reason to believe
that Hussein would try to acquire a nuclear weapon the first chance that he
got.   To deny that is to deny reality.

RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Jon Gabriel
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On
> Behalf Of John D. Giorgis
> Sent: Sunday, July 27, 2003 10:50 PM
> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> Subject: Re: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words
> 
> At 06:24 PM 7/27/2003 -0700 Gautam Mukunda wrote:
> >--- "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >> I'm glad you brought this up, Michael, because the
> >> answer is between
> >> 100,000 and 200,000.Meanwhile, according to
> >> UNICEF, Saddam Hussein was
> >> kiilling around 5,000 people a day. Of course,
> >> the Left only cares
> >> about people killed by Americans thus if you get
> >> killed in Zimbabwe,
> >> don't expect ANSWER to start rallying international
> >> support to stop the
> >> killing.
> >>
> >> JDG
> >
> >Where did those numbers come from?  200,000?  Not a
> >chance.  There hasn't even been _time_ for that.
> >Direct civilian casualties seem to have been on the
> >order of 1000.
> 
> Didn't the Iraqi Information Minister say that the total number of
> casualties was 100,000?

Hilarious!  

Should we expect your next 'unimpeachable' source to be the Jon Lovitz'
"Tommy the Liar" character from SNL?

:-D

Jon
I'm kidding Maru!



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RE: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Jon Gabriel
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
On
> Behalf Of John D. Giorgis
> Sent: Sunday, July 27, 2003 7:31 PM
> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> Subject: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words
> 



> >Your suggestion that the left's inability to form an effective war
plan
> >against terror is a demonstration of bad leadership is not just wrong
(as
> a
> >war plan is entirely uncalled for IMNSHO), it disgusts me that you
> beleive
> >that the republican style of the war on terror is neccessary.  How
many
> >civilians has our war in Iraq killed?
> 
> I'm glad you brought this up, Michael, because the answer is between
> 100,000 and 200,000.Meanwhile, according to UNICEF, Saddam Hussein
was
> kiilling around 5,000 people a day. Of course, the Left only cares
> about people killed by Americans thus if you get killed in
Zimbabwe,
> don't expect ANSWER to start rallying international support to stop
the
> killing.
> 

John, do you have a cite for that statistic?  According to Iraqometer,
the number of civilians killed is 6105.  I haven't seen anything that
suggested more than 100,000 civilians have been killed. 

Jon


Le Blog:  http://zarq.livejournal.com


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Re: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 06:24 PM 7/27/2003 -0700 Gautam Mukunda wrote:
>--- "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>> I'm glad you brought this up, Michael, because the
>> answer is between
>> 100,000 and 200,000.Meanwhile, according to
>> UNICEF, Saddam Hussein was
>> kiilling around 5,000 people a day. Of course,
>> the Left only cares
>> about people killed by Americans thus if you get
>> killed in Zimbabwe,
>> don't expect ANSWER to start rallying international
>> support to stop the
>> killing.
>> 
>> JDG
>
>Where did those numbers come from?  200,000?  Not a
>chance.  There hasn't even been _time_ for that. 
>Direct civilian casualties seem to have been on the
>order of 1000.

Didn't the Iraqi Information Minister say that the total number of
casualties was 100,000?Given Michael's procliviites, I was using that
as something of an upper bound.

JDG
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Re: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I'm glad you brought this up, Michael, because the
> answer is between
> 100,000 and 200,000.Meanwhile, according to
> UNICEF, Saddam Hussein was
> kiilling around 5,000 people a day. Of course,
> the Left only cares
> about people killed by Americans thus if you get
> killed in Zimbabwe,
> don't expect ANSWER to start rallying international
> support to stop the
> killing.
> 
> JDG

Where did those numbers come from?  200,000?  Not a
chance.  There hasn't even been _time_ for that. 
Direct civilian casualties seem to have been on the
order of 1000.

=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread Michael Harney

From: "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>


> At 03:14 PM 7/27/2003 -0600 Michael Harney wrote:
> >The war on Iraq wasn't about liberating Iraq, it wasn't about weapons of
> >mass destruction or terrorism.  It was entirely politically motivated.
The
> >republicans saw their approval failing after Osama Bin Laden evaded
capture,
> >and, wanting some sort of evil figurehead detained or killed as a trophy
> >that people in the US can applaud, they chose to attack our most recent
war
> >enemy Saddam Hussain (sp?).
>
> This is nonsense, Michael.   President Bush declared that Iraq was a
member
> of the "axis of evil" in January of 2002 when his approval ratings were
> sky-high.  Try another theory.

Unneccesary, many countries were named in the axis of evil.  It was the
choice to go to war with them that was politically motivated.

>  >(and by golly, the military took every shot they could when they even
> >just had questionable evidence that he was at a given location... at
least
> >three attempts to kill him using missle strikes, at least one of those on
a
> >civilian target, all missed killing the intended person).
>
> So, the US should not have tried to kill Saddam and using missile strikes
> to try and do so was wrong?   Are you serious

Firing on a civilian target when your intelligence is as sketchy as someone
thinking they heard someone over a phone who sounded like Saddam.  Yes, bad
thing.  He obviously wasn't there, and civilians were killed in the attack.
Didn't the intelligence also say his two sons were there too?  That was
(obviously) wrong as well.

> >They committed a very
> >criminal act that resulted in the deaths of thousands of people and
> >retribution was called for.
>
> Do you really believe that the liberation of Afghanistan was justified
> solely by retribution?I mean, I don't even consider retribution to be
> in the Top Ten of reasons for the US to liberate Afghanistan and
> indeed, I'm not sure that it is a reason at all.

I never said *solely* by retribution now did I?  Give me the Letterman top
ten.  Tell me that September 11th isn't one of the reasons people in this
country said "go kick Al Quida's butt."  Your living in a dream world if you
think it wasn't reason Number 1.  For sure, there were other reasons, but
those reasons weren't adequate before the September 11th attacks.

> >What did Iraq do though?  Nothing.  They had no
> >proven ties to the attacks of September 11th.  Should we wait for them to
> >attack us or one of our allies before we attack them?  Damn right we
should.
> >Otherwise it is we who are the terrorists, it is we who are the
criminals.
>
> Actually, on 2 August 1990 Iraq suddenly attacked Kuwait.In early
1991,
> Iraq signed a cease-fire with the United States, a cease-fire whose terms
> they have never abided by.   Case closed.


Hardly, the U.S. broke proper channels when it acted outside the U.N. Other
countries would have liked a stronger inspection regime before invading
Iraq, and really, Saddam was less of a threat to us then than he was in 1991
after the cease fire.  What damage would it have done to wait another 4
months, or, if as you might argue, the summer weather would be prohibitive,
a year?  You yourself said we never had a majority of the security council
support, France's veto be damned, we didn't even have the majority.


> >If this war really was about weapons of mass destruction, why aren't we
> >going to war against Isreal and North Korea for their illegal nuclear
> >weapons programs?  Case and point: it simply isn't about that, it is all
> >about politics.  Disgusting.
>
> What's disgusting Michael is your inability to comprehend that an attack
on
> a country that already has a nuclear weapon would very likely result in
the
> incineration of hundreds of thousands of people - to say nothing of the
> hundreds of thousands of civillians that would die in Seoul thanks to DPRK
> artillery shells.  Once Iraq gets a nuclear weapon, Michael its game
over -
> unless of course you advocate direct confrontations between nuclear
powers.
>
> Let's consider for a moment what might have happened had Iraq waited to
> attack Kuwait until 2 August 1992.   We now know that Saddam Hussein would
> likely have shocked the world by successfully testing a nuclear weapon at
> this time.   Thus a nuclear-armed Saddam rolls into Kuwait and begins
> pushing on into Saudi Arabia - and he declares that if the US sends troops
> to Saudi Arabia that he will lob a couple nuclear weapons into Tel Aviv
and
> Haifa.*Now* what, Michael?


Your scenario is flawwed.  U.S. intelligence suggested that Saddam had
enough anthrax, VX gas, and other agents to kill every person on the planet
at least a couple of times.  Of course that would require perfect dispersal,
but it wouldn't have been a stretch to say that if U.S. intelligence was
correct, Saddam could easily have killed millions in Iraq and neighboring
nations with such an arsenal.  Yet he didn't, and

Justifying the War Re: Seth Finkelstein on 16 words

2003-07-27 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 03:14 PM 7/27/2003 -0600 Michael Harney wrote:
>The war on Iraq wasn't about liberating Iraq, it wasn't about weapons of
>mass destruction or terrorism.  It was entirely politically motivated.  The
>republicans saw their approval failing after Osama Bin Laden evaded capture,
>and, wanting some sort of evil figurehead detained or killed as a trophy
>that people in the US can applaud, they chose to attack our most recent war
>enemy Saddam Hussain (sp?). 

This is nonsense, Michael.   President Bush declared that Iraq was a member
of the "axis of evil" in January of 2002 when his approval ratings were
sky-high.  Try another theory.

 >(and by golly, the military took every shot they could when they even
>just had questionable evidence that he was at a given location... at least
>three attempts to kill him using missle strikes, at least one of those on a
>civilian target, all missed killing the intended person).  

So, the US should not have tried to kill Saddam and using missile strikes
to try and do so was wrong?   Are you serious  

>They committed a very
>criminal act that resulted in the deaths of thousands of people and
>retribution was called for.  

Do you really believe that the liberation of Afghanistan was justified
solely by retribution?I mean, I don't even consider retribution to be
in the Top Ten of reasons for the US to liberate Afghanistan and
indeed, I'm not sure that it is a reason at all. 

>What did Iraq do though?  Nothing.  They had no
>proven ties to the attacks of September 11th.  Should we wait for them to
>attack us or one of our allies before we attack them?  Damn right we should.
>Otherwise it is we who are the terrorists, it is we who are the criminals.

Actually, on 2 August 1990 Iraq suddenly attacked Kuwait.In early 1991,
Iraq signed a cease-fire with the United States, a cease-fire whose terms
they have never abided by.   Case closed.  

>If this war really was about weapons of mass destruction, why aren't we
>going to war against Isreal and North Korea for their illegal nuclear
>weapons programs?  Case and point: it simply isn't about that, it is all
>about politics.  Disgusting.

What's disgusting Michael is your inability to comprehend that an attack on
a country that already has a nuclear weapon would very likely result in the
incineration of hundreds of thousands of people - to say nothing of the
hundreds of thousands of civillians that would die in Seoul thanks to DPRK
artillery shells.  Once Iraq gets a nuclear weapon, Michael its game over -
unless of course you advocate direct confrontations between nuclear powers.  

Let's consider for a moment what might have happened had Iraq waited to
attack Kuwait until 2 August 1992.   We now know that Saddam Hussein would
likely have shocked the world by successfully testing a nuclear weapon at
this time.   Thus a nuclear-armed Saddam rolls into Kuwait and begins
pushing on into Saudi Arabia - and he declares that if the US sends troops
to Saudi Arabia that he will lob a couple nuclear weapons into Tel Aviv and
Haifa.*Now* what, Michael?  

You have argued that it is terrorist and criminal to attack a country that
has not attacked you or one of your allies  so, you simply wait for
that country to build nuclear weapons and *then* attack your allies?   

By the way - of the recent developments in the nuclear programs of the
DPRK, India, Pakistan, Iran, and Iraq over the past 15 years - how many
occurred with the knowledge of US intelligence sources?   

I'll give you a hint - the answer is a very round number so I wouldn"t
count on being able to know when a successful test is "imminent" if that is
your plan.

>Let me illustrate the blatant lack of perspective that the majority of this
>country has.  All of the following are more likely to kill someone in the
>U.S. than a terrorist attack:

Only because Iraq has so far been successfully prevented from developing
nuclear weapons and selling them to the highest bidder.

Michael, a nuclear bomb going off in NYC would kill millions of people...
so that statistic of yours is absolutely meaningless.  

>Your suggestion that the left's inability to form an effective war plan
>against terror is a demonstration of bad leadership is not just wrong (as a
>war plan is entirely uncalled for IMNSHO), it disgusts me that you beleive
>that the republican style of the war on terror is neccessary.  How many
>civilians has our war in Iraq killed? 

I'm glad you brought this up, Michael, because the answer is between
100,000 and 200,000.Meanwhile, according to UNICEF, Saddam Hussein was
kiilling around 5,000 people a day. Of course, the Left only cares
about people killed by Americans thus if you get killed in Zimbabwe,
don't expect ANSWER to start rallying international support to stop the
killing.

JDG
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