Re: Buy Book on "Probability and statistical inference"
"Chia C Chong" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message a1urs0$a8n$[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:a1urs0$a8n$[EMAIL PROTECTED]... > > "Vadim and Oxana Marmer" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message > [EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]... > > > On Sat, 12 Jan 2002 14:37:10 -, "Chia C Chong" > > > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > > > Hi! > > > > > > > > I wish to get a book in Probability and statistical inference . I wish > to > > > > get some advices first..Any good suggestion?? > > > > > > > it depends on your background and your interests. If you can give more > > details about this then you can get more helpful suggestions. > > > > I am currently doing a PhD in Wireless Communications. My research are is to > develop a statistical wireless channel model for the 4th generation systems. > I would prefer a books that deal with a lot of pratical examples especially > how to fit measurement data to theoretical distributions and perform > goodness of fit test of their fits. Chia, There's been lots of stuff written about wireless communication channel models - see recent issues of IEEE Transactions on Communications and other similar journals. One place to start might be to look for books in the references of articles that describe wireless communication channels. -- Mike -- = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
CFP: AAAI/KDD/UAI2002 Joint Workshop on Real Time Decision Support and Diagnosis Systems
[ Sorry if you receive any duplicate copies.] Call for Participation AAAI/KDD/UAI2002 Joint Workshop on Real Time Decision Support and Diagnosis Systems Monday, 29 July, 2002, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada http://www.kddresearch.org/KDD/Workshops/RTDSDS-2002/ While AI methodologies are being applied towards increasingly realistic domains that require timely responses, real-time systems are coming to incorporate decision-making tools that require more intelligent capabilities. Many real-world intelligent systems call for autonomous intelligent agents acting in the face of uncertain knowledge and limited computational resources. Real-time decision support and diagnosis systems are two such important application domains. ---Topics Active research topics that are relevant to real-time decision support and diagnosis include: - real-time expert systems - embedded intelligent diagnosis agents - anytime uncertain reasoning algorithms and flexible computation - cost estimation for resource-bounded computation - decision-theoretic planning and deliberative real-time artificial intelligence - real-time Bayesian network inference and learning techniques - real-time algorithms for scheduling and situated planning - real-time sensor fusion and situation assessment - real-time knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) ---Format The one day workshop will include one or more invited talks on state-of-the-art research problems and methodologies, presentations by selected participants, and a panel and open discussion sessions on key topics. ---Invited talks and discussion sessions * Bruce D'Ambrosio (Oregon State University will give a talk on the state-of-the-art of Real-Time Probabilistic Decision Support and Diagnosis technologies (45~60 minutes) * Fabio Gagliardi Cozman (University of Sao Paulo, Brazil) will lead a discussion session on embedded AI (60 minutes) * Eugene Santos Jr. (University of Connecticut) will lead a discussion session on Distributed and Cooperative Problem Solving. * Marek J. Druzdzel () will lead a session on topics related to Diagnosis, Real-time Inference, and Sensor fusion. ---Attendance The workshop will be of interest to researchers and practitioners in the area of uncertain reasoning (UAI), real-time artificial intelligence (RTAI), and real-time knowledge discovery in databases (KDD). Participation will be based on submitted research summaries. We anticipate participation by 25-50 people at the workshop. ---Paper Submissions We encourage submissions containing original theoretical and applied concepts in real-time decision support and diagnosis systems. Experimental results are also encouraged, especially on fielded applications, even if they are only preliminary. We therefore invite two categories of paper submissions: - research papers * should not exceed 12 pages, including title page * due Fri 15 March 2002 - short summaries (including position papers) * should not exceed 2 pages * due Fri 29 March 2002 We request that authors prepare papers in the standard AAAI format. Papers should be submitted in PostScript, PDF, or Microsoft Word 97/2000 file format. Electronic submissions are preferred, but both types of papers may be submitted by one of the following three options: * E-mail a URL pointer to the paper to [EMAIL PROTECTED] * Attach a PostScript, PDF, or Word file (or .zip, .gz, or .bz2 archive) to [EMAIL PROTECTED] * Mail 5 hard copies printed on 8.5" x 11" or A4 paper with at least 1 inch margins on all sides. All submissions should be sent to [EMAIL PROTECTED] ---Organizing Chairs Haipeng Guo (primary contact) Department of Computing and Information Sciences p: Kansas State University, 234 Nichols Hall, Manhattan, KS 66506- 2302 * t: (785)539-0278, f: (785) 539-7180 * e: [EMAIL PROTECTED] * w: www.cis.ksu.edu/~hpguo Eric Horvitz Adaptive Systems & Interaction Group, Microsoft Research p: Microsoft Research, Redmond WA 98052-6399 * t:(425)936-2127 * f: (425)936-7329, * e: [EMAIL PROTECTED] * w:research.microsoft.com/users/horvitz/ William H. Hsu (primary contact) Department of Computing and Information Sciences p: Kansas State University, 234 Nichols Hall, Manhattan, KS 66506-2302 * t: (785) 539-7180 * f: (785) 539-7180 * e: [EMAIL PROTECTED] * w: www.cis.ksu.edu/~bhsu Eugene Santos Jr. Department of Computer Science and Engineering p: UTEB, 191 Auditorium Rid., U-155, Storrs, CT 06269-3155, * t: (860) 486-1458 * f: (860) 486-4817 * e: [EMAIL PROTECTED] , * w: www.cse.uconn.edu/cse/santos.htm ---Program Committee (to date) Daniel Andresen (Kansas State University) Bruce D'Ambrosio, Oregon State University Fabio Gagliardi Cozman, University of Sao Paulo Marek J. Druzdzel, University of Pittsburgh Haipeng Guo, Kansas State University (Organizing Committee) Eric Horvitz, Microsoft Research (Organizing Committee) William H. Hsu, Kansas State University (Organizing Committee) Henry Kautz, Washington University Sven Koenig, Ge
Re: Modelling Problem
Alexander Hener wrote: > I have a modelling problem where any help would be appreciated. > Assume that I want to model a fraction, where the nominator is a sum of, Do you mean numerator? > say, four continous random variables. I am thinking of using some > parameter-additive distribution there, e.g. the gamma, since the sum in > the nominator needs not be negative. The denominator should be continous > and positive. Now my questions are : > > 1. Is anyone aware of distributions which lend themselves to such a > model ? If the fractions are between zero and one, you may wish to consider the beta distribution for the fraction - if X and Y are independent gamma r.vs, then X/(X+Y) is beta. If X = X1 + X2 + X3 + X4 is your numerator, that would seem to suggest something like a beta at first glance. Glen = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Conference calls are safe
Title: Take Control Of Your Conference Calls Long Distance ConferencingOnly 18 Cents Per Minute Connects Up To 100 Participants! No setup fees No contracts or monthly fees Call anytime, from anywhere, to anywhere International Dial In 18 cents per minute Simplicity in set up and administration Operator Help available 24/7 Get the best quality, the easiest to use, and lowest rate in the industry. If you like saving money, fill out the form below and one of our consultants will contact you. Required Input Field* Name* Web Address* Company Name* State* Business Phone* Home Phone Email Address* Type of Business To be removed from our distribution list, Click here. Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/
Re: Proportionate vs. disproportionate
Rich Ulrich wrote: >I am not positive, but >I think I would have objected to "equal % change" >as =proportionate= by the time I finished algebra in high school. > >I know I have objected to similar confusion, on principled >grounds, since I learned about Odds Ratios. > >I suspect that the original sample was small enough that >the apparent difference in ORs was not impressive. >-- > I too think that the odds ratio is the appropriate way to present the data, but after looking at these results, I can appreciate why the Gallup organization didn't do so. The data on racial favorability ratings which Gallup called 'proportionate' not 'disproportionate': GWBush favorability pre- and post-9/11 Pre-disasterPost-disasterOddsRatio White (odds) 60% (1.5) 90% (9) 6 Black (odds) 33% (0.49) 68% (2.1) 4.3 GHBush favorability pre- and post-Gulf War Pre-disasterPost-disasterOddsRatio White (odds)64% (1.8) 90% (9)5.1 Black (odds)33% (0.49)70% (2.3) 4.7 Unless I'm missing something, a logistic regression analysis with disaster and race coded as dummy variables with an interaction term (disaster x race) would have a sign for the interaction coefficient indicating that the odds of white favorability for Bush after a disaster increased more than the increase in black favorability for Bush after a disaster. This is NOT what I'd expected after looking at the raw percentages, which to me indicated a disproproportionate increase in black favorability for the Bushes after disasters. Gene Gallagher UMASS/Boston = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Re: Modelling Problem
Alexander Hener wrote: > I have a modelling problem where any help would be appreciated. Assume > that I want to model a fraction, where the nominator is a sum of, say, > four continous random variables. I am thinking of using some > parameter-additive distribution there, e.g. the gamma, since the sum in > the nominator needs not be negative. The denominator should be continous > and positive. Now my questions are : > > 1. Is anyone aware of distributions which lend themselves to such a model > ? Gamma, beta, Weibull, exponential, . . . Most mathematical probability and stats books have a table of distributions and some of their properties in an appendix in the back. > 2. To make things just a little bit more complicated, the (in this case > four) nominator random variables should be dependent on each other only > by the nominator. I don't understand this. Do you mean the variables in the numerator should be independent of those in the denominator? > Does anyone know about results for the divisioning of dependent variables > which I could use in this case? I guess it depends what you are doing. For example, if you are doing an analysis of interest rates and you decide that 50% of the rate is based on the inflation rate and 50% is independent, then you can model the independent part as one random variable and then add it to the (multiple of) the inflation rate (that I'm assuming you are modelling as another random variable) to get the interest rate. Is this what you are asking? Jon Miller = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Re: SAT Question Selection
for the SAT ... which is still paper and pencil ... you will find multiple sections ... math and verbal ... as far as i know ... there usually are 3 of one and 2 of the other ... the one with 3 has A section that is called "operational" ... which does NOT count ... but is used for trialing new items ... revised items ... etc. don't expect them to tell you which one that is however ... in a sense ... they are making YOU pay for THEIR pilot work ... and, of course, if you happen to really get fouled up on the section that is operational and does not count ... it could carry over "emotionally" to another section ... and have some (maybe not much) impact on your motivation to do well on that next section unless it has changed ... At 05:19 PM 1/14/02 -0500, you wrote: >[cc'd to previous poster; please follow up in newsgroup] > >L.C. <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in sci.stat.edu: > >Back in my day (did we have days back then?) I recall > >talk of test questions on the SAT. That is, these questions > >were not counted; they were being tested for (I presume) > >some sort of statistical validity. > > > >Does anyone have any statistical insight into the SAT question > >selection process. Does anyone have a specific lead? I can > >find virtually nothing. > >I remember reading a good book about the inner operation of ETS >(administers the SATs), with some bits about the "test" questions >you refer to, but I can't quite remember the title. I've searched >the catalog of my old library, and this _may_ be it: > >Lemann, Nicholas. > The big test : the secret history of the American meritocracy > New York : Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1999. > >-- >Stan Brown, Oak Road Systems, Cortland County, New York, USA > http://oakroadsystems.com/ >"What in heaven's name brought you to Casablanca?" >"My health. I came to Casablanca for the waters." >"The waters? What waters? We're in the desert." >"I was misinformed." > > >= >Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the >problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at > http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ >= _ dennis roberts, educational psychology, penn state university 208 cedar, AC 8148632401, mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/drober~1.htm = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Re: SAT Question Selection
[cc'd to previous poster; please follow up in newsgroup] L.C. <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in sci.stat.edu: >Back in my day (did we have days back then?) I recall >talk of test questions on the SAT. That is, these questions >were not counted; they were being tested for (I presume) >some sort of statistical validity. > >Does anyone have any statistical insight into the SAT question >selection process. Does anyone have a specific lead? I can >find virtually nothing. I remember reading a good book about the inner operation of ETS (administers the SATs), with some bits about the "test" questions you refer to, but I can't quite remember the title. I've searched the catalog of my old library, and this _may_ be it: Lemann, Nicholas. The big test : the secret history of the American meritocracy New York : Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1999. -- Stan Brown, Oak Road Systems, Cortland County, New York, USA http://oakroadsystems.com/ "What in heaven's name brought you to Casablanca?" "My health. I came to Casablanca for the waters." "The waters? What waters? We're in the desert." "I was misinformed." = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
ML, GLS, OLS
Hi All, I would like to read some papers on Monte Carlo simulations dealing with effects of estimation method, sample size, and misspecification on structural equation modeling parameter estimates, fit indices. Any references would be greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance. Jesus Tanguma University of Houston Clear Lake = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
new VB teaching list
For those who also teach programming, there is a new teaching list for vb and other programming languages. To subscribe go to http://trugeek.com/lists/ When you click on subscribe, it will create an email to subscribe you. Mark Eakin Associate Professor Information Systems and Management Sciences Department University of Texas at Arlington [EMAIL PROTECTED] or [EMAIL PROTECTED] = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Ant Systems & Explor. Data Analysis
Dear Colleagues, A new research work (pre-print) on ANT SYSTEMS and EXPLORATORY DATA ANALYSIS is now available for download. Applications include the use of the novel paradigm in TEXTUAL DOCUMENT CLUSTERING and DIGITAL IMAGE RETRIEVAL. Here are some complementary informations: REF.: Vitorino Ramos, Juan J. Merelo, Self-Organized Stigmergic Document Maps: Environment as a Mechanism for Context Learning, to be published in: AEB´2002 1st Spanish Conference on Evolutionary and Bio-Inspired Algorithms, Mérida, Spain, 6-8 Feb. 2002. ABSTRACT: Social insect societies and more specifically ant colonies, are distributed systems that, in spite of the simplicity of their individuals, present a highly structured social organization. As a result of this organization, ant colonies can accomplish complex tasks that in some cases exceed the individual capabilities of a single ant. The study of ant colonies behavior and of their self-organizing capabilities is of interest to knowledge retrieval/management and decision support systems sciences, because it provides models of distributed adaptive organization which are useful to solve difficult optimization, classification, and distributed control problems, among others. In the present work we overview some models derived from the observation of real ants, emphasizing the role played by stigmergy as distributed communication paradigm, and we present a novel strategy to tackle unsupervised clustering as well as data retrieval problems. The present ant clustering system (ACLUSTER) avoids not only short-term memory based strategies, as well as the use of several artificial ant types (using different speeds), present in some recent approaches. Moreover and according to our knowledge, this is also the first application of ant systems into textual document clustering. LINK: http://alfa.ist.utl.pt/~cvrm/staff/vramos/ref_42.html OTHER WORKS: http://alfa.ist.utl.pt/~cvrm/staff/vramos/refs_2001_2002.html I hope this could be of your interest. Please feel free to email me any critics - they are welcome. Sincerely yours, Vitorino Ramos (CVRM-IST, Technical Univ. of Lisbon, PORTUGAL) = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Re: Buy Book on "Probability and statistical inference"
"Vadim and Oxana Marmer" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message [EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]... > > On Sat, 12 Jan 2002 14:37:10 -, "Chia C Chong" > > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > Hi! > > > > > > I wish to get a book in Probability and statistical inference . I wish to > > > get some advices first..Any good suggestion?? > > > > it depends on your background and your interests. If you can give more > details about this then you can get more helpful suggestions. > I am currently doing a PhD in Wireless Communications. My research are is to develop a statistical wireless channel model for the 4th generation systems. I would prefer a books that deal with a lot of pratical examples especially how to fit measurement data to theoretical distributions and perform goodness of fit test of their fits. Thanks.. CCC = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Modelling Problem
hi group, I have a modelling problem where any help would be appreciated. Assume that I want to model a fraction, where the nominator is a sum of, say, four continous random variables. I am thinking of using some parameter-additive distribution there, e.g. the gamma, since the sum in the nominator needs not be negative. The denominator should be continous and positive. Now my questions are : 1. Is anyone aware of distributions which lend themselves to such a model ? 2. To make things just a little bit more complicated, the (in this case four) nominator random variables should be dependent on each other only by the nominator. Does anyone know about results for the divisioning of dependent variables which I could use in this case? Thanks in advance, Alexander Hener. = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Re: Empirical data Fitting
A quantile-Quantile plot for graphical comparison is best, if you need a numerical test you can use the pearson correlation coefficient between the observed and expected quantiles. A table for that test you can ake for yourself with simulation. Kjetil Halvorsen Chia C Chong wrote: > > Hi!! > > I have a set of data with some kind of distribution. When I plotted the > histogram density of this set of data, it looks sth like the > Weibull/Exp/Gamma distribution. I find the parameters that best fit the data > and then, plot the respective distribution using the estimated parameters on > the empirical distribution. My question is, what kind of statistical test > that I should use so that I will know which estimated distribution will fit > the data better?? I need some kind of test that will give me some numerical > values which distribution is fit better rather than just observed the > fitting graphically.. > > Thanks for th help in advance.. > > Regards, > CCC > > = > Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the > problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at > http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ > = = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
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Re: Buy Book on "Probability and statistical inference"
Chia C Chong <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message a1phfd$36e$[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:a1phfd$36e$[EMAIL PROTECTED]... > Hi! > > I wish to get a book in Probability and statistical inference . I wish to > get some advices first..Any good suggestion?? (i) What do you know already? (ii) What do you need to know about? (iii) What level of mathematics (e.g. how much calculus, linear algrebra, etc) do you have? Glen = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Re: Buy Book on "Probability and statistical inference"
You are clearly looking for an introductory text; otherwise your question would have been more specific. Since one of your groups is a math group, I conclude, rightly or wrongly, that you desire a mathematical treatment. You must be studying alone, or you would not need advice from the internet. You may be a mathematical genius, but the odds are that you are not. I therefore recommend, _Probability and Statistics_ By Morris DeGroot It's a fine introductory text with underlying math, that is reasonably easy to read without instruction. It's not the most elegant treatment, nor is it the most intense. It is, however, a very good leg up IMHO. Luck and Regards, -Larry Curcio Chia C Chong wrote: > Hi! > > I wish to get a book in Probability and statistical inference . I wish to > get some advices first..Any good suggestion?? > > Cheers, > CCC = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
Re: what is the appropriate method?
>On Thu, 10 Jan 2002 12:00:06 +0100, "Jos Jansen" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >Using logits is obvious, but log Odds Ratio is not, given the aim to use >only one pot in the future (not the difference of two). An estimate of the >sum of variance components within and between repeats will be required for >calculating the precision of a single result. Umm... how would you suggest we accomplish that? I can calculate the logits as suggested, but what should I do then? Sorry to ask such elementary questions, but I'm wary of making some stupid mistake. Or perhaps someone could suggest a good book / article I could read? Jukka = Instructions for joining and leaving this list, remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES, and archives are available at http://jse.stat.ncsu.edu/ =
