Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-12 Thread Ron Wells
greatjust greatpolitics and $$$(as they see it) as well as no 
sense >wins again ..





From:   ibmmain 
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU
Date:   11/12/2012 12:08 AM
Subject:Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible
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> And if you listen to Martin, everyone out there on zSeries (of any sort) 
is apparently wallowing in memory anyway.
They are. The memory just isn't for z/OS, it is for zLinux. After all, 
everybody knows that z/OS makes do without adequate resources, when Linux 
applications fail. 

You wouldn't believe the fight I went through to get our z/OS lpars enough 
real to get paging below the 25% threshold when we migrated from 1.10 to 
1.12. Not to mention to stop the RSM abends we experienced that IBM was 
unable to debug and that were most probably due to not enough real and a 
serialization problem somewhere. That was about 30GB of real for 10 lpars. 
30GB were thrown easily at one Linux runnig under VM, on the other hand.

> Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had 
to dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.
As someone else said, I don't think customers rebelled. I think that IBMs 
own resources are spread so thin that the previous cycle couldn't be 
maintained anymore. Did you notice lately that BCP questions are answered 
from China on this forum? It looks to me like some of the development labs 
went there.

>While I can appreciate that IBM is innovating the platform, economics 
like this is really putting the squeeze on many IBM customers.  This is a 
very disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should reverse but 
likely won't.

If you're not one of the big customers, you have lost. In a few years 
there will be 50 large mainframe installations around the world and all 
small ones will have been absorbed into those 50. Recent development in 
z/OS only helps large customers who can afford 'large' hardware.

Also, I attended Bob Rogers' 'crystal ball' session at the last 
zConference in Berlin in May. I think he was talking about the 
architecture of what is now called z12EC. What I got out of that is that 
the instruction set for z/OS (our zArchitecture) is basically tacked on to 
a completely different type (forgot which). And given how much z/OS is 
made to look and feel like what the clickers are used to (which is the 
only area IBM spends development dollars on), I firmly believe that z/OS 
is doomed.

I just hope that I'll be able to work on z/OS until I retire. Which is 
entirely too far into the future.
How's that for gloom on a Monday morning?

Barbara

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread ibmmain
> And if you listen to Martin, everyone out there on zSeries (of any sort) is 
> apparently wallowing in memory anyway.
They are. The memory just isn't for z/OS, it is for zLinux. After all, 
everybody knows that z/OS makes do without adequate resources, when Linux 
applications fail. 

You wouldn't believe the fight I went through to get our z/OS lpars enough real 
to get paging below the 25% threshold when we migrated from 1.10 to 1.12. Not 
to mention to stop the RSM abends we experienced that IBM was unable to debug 
and that were most probably due to not enough real and a serialization problem 
somewhere. That was about 30GB of real for 10 lpars. 30GB were thrown easily at 
one Linux runnig under VM, on the other hand.

> Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had to 
> dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.
As someone else said, I don't think customers rebelled. I think that IBMs own 
resources are spread so thin that the previous cycle couldn't be maintained 
anymore. Did you notice lately that BCP questions are answered from China on 
this forum? It looks to me like some of the development labs went there.

>While I can appreciate that IBM is innovating the platform, economics like 
>this is really putting the squeeze on many IBM customers.  This is a very 
>disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should reverse but likely 
>won't.

If you're not one of the big customers, you have lost. In a few years there 
will be 50 large mainframe installations around the world and all small ones 
will have been absorbed into those 50. Recent development in z/OS only helps 
large customers who can afford 'large' hardware.

Also, I attended Bob Rogers' 'crystal ball' session at the last zConference in 
Berlin in May. I think he was talking about the architecture of what is now 
called z12EC. What I got out of that is that the instruction set for z/OS (our 
zArchitecture) is basically tacked on to a completely different type (forgot 
which). And given how much z/OS is made to look and feel like what the clickers 
are used to (which is the only area IBM spends development dollars on), I 
firmly believe that z/OS is doomed.

I just hope that I'll be able to work on z/OS until I retire. Which is entirely 
too far into the future.
How's that for gloom on a Monday morning?

Barbara

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread Leslie Turriff
On Friday 09 November 2012 19:59:33 Edward Jaffe wrote:
> Those of you with z10BC machines waiting for the z12BC to come out had
> better learn to make do with what you have.
>
> Keep in mind that z10BC is just _one_ generation removed from the current
> z114 "business class" machine. Nevertheless, hardware MES were withdrawn
> earlier this year and microcode MES are announced withdrawn as of June
> 2013.
>
> A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode
> (enabling the memory). The only way to get additional memory for a z10
> these days is to buy it on the used market. And, IBM is charging a premium
> price for the "magic screwdriver" to enable this memory: $8K/GB! Thus, a
> 16GB memory upgrade would cost $128K in services PLUS the cost of the
> memory itself! (FYI. You can buy a brand new z114 machine for that...)

This reminds me of the System/3 that I worked on in my college days; 
the 
school purchased an upgrade to larger DASD (for I don't know how much), and 
the field engineer's implementation was to open the DASD drawer and clip off 
the wire loop that prevented the access arm from extending all the way into 
the drive's inner tracks...

Leslie

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread R.S.

W dniu 2012-11-11 17:22, Edward Jaffe pisze:

On 11/11/2012 7:26 AM, R.S. wrote:

Well, $8k/GB is "special price for you, which includes all possible
discounts". I mean in Poland.
And I'm not talking about discontinued machines - that were the prices
when z9 or z10 was the newest machine.


Understand, this is not the price for the memory. This is just the price
to _enable_ the memory.

I understand it. Actually it's the price for the MONOPOLY. Keep in mind 
that monopolies are (usually) forbidden.
The case above says about regular prices for current-generation 
machines. I'm not talking about z196 or EC12, because "I haven been 
there didn't do that".


Of course the case where you buy the memory DIMMs and pay extra fee just 
to enable the memory - this is pure monopoly extortion.



--
Radoslaw Skorupka
Lodz, Poland






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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread John Gilmore
Edward Jaffe wrote:


Understand, this is not the price for the memory. This is just the
price to _enable_ the memory.


It is indeed the price of some  trivial, off-the-shelf µcode changes;
and these changes are not very size-sensitive.  A [small] flat charge
would have been more appropriate.

I said here on another occasion that some microprocessor assembly
languages had clearly been designed to discourage their use; but here
we have something subtler: this scheme will produce some high-margin
revenue too.

John Gilmore, Ashland, MA 01721 - USA

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/11/2012 7:26 AM, R.S. wrote:
Well, $8k/GB is "special price for you, which includes all possible 
discounts". I mean in Poland.
And I'm not talking about discontinued machines - hat was the prices when z9 
or z10 was the newest machine.


Understand, this is not the price for the memory. This is just the price to 
_enable_ the memory.


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Phoenix Software International, Inc
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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-11 Thread R.S.

W dniu 2012-11-11 00:45, Edward Jaffe pisze:

On 11/10/2012 2:25 PM, John Gilmore wrote:

It is possible, even usual in many shops, to continue to use machines
well after they have been withdrawn from marketing.

The inability to obtain more storage or to activate a spare, already
acquired CP is another, much more serious matter.  That sort of thing
apparently came later.  How much later?


Hardware memory upgrade MES for z10BC was discontinued after June
2012--coincident with marketing withdrawal. If you have pre-planned
memory installed but not activated, you can still get the microcode
memory activation MES until June 2013. But, the price has been jacked up
so high ($8K/GB) that it might as well not be available at all!



Well, $8k/GB is "special price for you, which includes all possible 
discounts". I mean in Poland.
And I'm not talking about discontinued machines - hat was the prices 
when z9 or z10 was the newest machine.



--
Radoslaw Skorupka
Lodz, Poland






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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/10/2012 4:11 PM, John Gilmore wrote:

Thank you.

It's difficult to avoid the conclusion that the objective of these
moves was the very short-term replacement of the z10BC by another,
newer and less 'specialized' model.


Or perhaps a way to increase hardware revenues?

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Ed Gould

On Nov 10, 2012, at 5:45 PM, Edward Jaffe wrote:


Hardware memory upgrade MES for z10BC was discontinued after June  
2012--coincident with marketing withdrawal. If you have pre-planned  
memory installed but not activated, you can still get the microcode  
memory activation MES until June 2013. But, the price has been  
jacked up so high ($8K/GB) that it might as well not be available  
at all!


SIGH... remember when a megabyte of storage cost 50K ?

ED

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread John Gilmore
Thank you.

It's difficult to avoid the conclusion that the objective of these
moves was the very short-term replacement of the z10BC by another,
newer and less 'specialized' model.

John Gilmore, Ashland, MA 01721 - USA

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/10/2012 2:25 PM, John Gilmore wrote:

It is possible, even usual in many shops, to continue to use machines
well after they have been withdrawn from marketing.

The inability to obtain more storage or to activate a spare, already
acquired CP is another, much more serious matter.  That sort of thing
apparently came later.  How much later?


Hardware memory upgrade MES for z10BC was discontinued after June 
2012--coincident with marketing withdrawal. If you have pre-planned memory 
installed but not activated, you can still get the microcode memory activation 
MES until June 2013. But, the price has been jacked up so high ($8K/GB) that it 
might as well not be available at all!


--
Edward E Jaffe
Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread John Gilmore
It is possible, even usual in many shops, to continue to use machines
well after they have been withdrawn from marketing.

The inability to obtain more storage or to activate a spare, already
acquired CP is another, much more serious matter.  That sort of thing
apparently came later.  How much later?

I have only anecdotal evidence for this, but the prices of this
specific model in the after market appear to have dropped more
sharply/rapidly than usual, and it may be that we are looking at an
IBM initiative that was not very successful and thus deserved to be
short-lived.

John Gilmore, Ashland, MA 01721 - USA

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/10/2012 12:10 PM, Thomas Conley wrote:
From what I can see, IBM announced the z10EC in February 2008, and the z10BC 
in October 2008.  Consider that most clients did not get them for 6-12 months 
after the announcements, and the June 2012 end of life statement gives just a 
little over 3 years useful life.  You can't even depreciate a mainframe over 5 
years now, let alone 7.  While I can appreciate that IBM is innovating the 
platform, economics like this is really putting the squeeze on many IBM 
customers.  How about government, where procurement can delay new systems for 
years?  This is a very disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should 
reverse but likely won't.


I guess I was researching this at the exact same time you were...

z10BC became first available in 4Q08 and was withdrawn from marketing after 
2Q12; the life cycle of these machines was 3 1/2 years. By comparison, z9BC 
first became available in 2Q06 and was withdrawn from marketing after 2Q10. So, 
its life cycle was FOUR years!


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Phoenix Software International, Inc
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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Thomas Conley
From what I can see, IBM announced the z10EC in February 2008, and the 
z10BC in October 2008.  Consider that most clients did not get them for 
6-12 months after the announcements, and the June 2012 end of life 
statement gives just a little over 3 years useful life.  You can't even 
depreciate a mainframe over 5 years now, let alone 7.  While I can 
appreciate that IBM is innovating the platform, economics like this is 
really putting the squeeze on many IBM customers.  How about government, 
where procurement can delay new systems for years?  This is a very 
disturbing trend in zSystem economics, which IBM should reverse but 
likely won't.


Regards,
Tom Conley

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread Skip Robinson
I can't speak to changing 'doomsday' time frames, but the z10 
end-of-marketing demise occurred in two phases about six months apart. In 
the first phase, the customer could no longer buy any *new* hardware 
features. In the final phase, the customer could no longer *activate* any 
hardware feature--such as a CP--already purchased but left inactivated, a 
strategy not uncommon for dealing with soaring software costs.

On one older box we had bought an extra CP that we never got around to 
activating before end-of-marketing. A that time we were not allowed to 
activate it even though we owned it. Our management took this issue up the 
IBM ladder fairly high to no avail. When we finally upgraded to the next 
new thing, IBM did give us credit in the deal for the never-used CP. I 
hope that this accommodation is standard practice. 
.
.
JO.Skip Robinson
Southern California Edison Company
Electric Dragon Team Paddler 
SHARE MVS Program Co-Manager
626-302-7535 Office
323-715-0595 Mobile
jo.skip.robin...@sce.com



From:   "R.S." 
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU, 
Date:   11/10/2012 08:25 AM
Subject:    Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible
Sent by:IBM Mainframe Discussion List 



W dniu 2012-11-10 01:59, Edward Jaffe pisze:

> A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode
> (enabling the memory).


I vaguely remember that EU just have prohibited such approach.
The sentention was that if you BOUGHT (not leased or borrowed) the 
hardware, then it is ALL YOURS and no feature can be limited by vendors 
locks in microcode.
Note, in this case a customer wants to buy some parts and insert it into 
HIS OWN piece of hardware.

There is similar situation with DASD arrays. 10 years ago in order to 
change something you had to know "service passwords" (who remembers 
hrchodm-forcibly? ;-) ). Nowadays the password is dynamically generated 
for given s/n and period of time. HOWEVER, when warranty expire, 
customer may request to unlock the device and since then he can do a 
maintenance on once own (or using 3rd party services).

In general it's very important issue regarding IP (Intelectual Property) 
and customers rights: Do you want to  decide what channel you want to 
see on your TV set or you accept that vendor can lock some of them? Or 
maybe after 4 years you will have to dispose your TV set and buy new one 
just because of microcode "time bomb"? Or maybe your printer will not 
print everything you want, but partially what secret service want? Or 
you cannot watch a movie, bought in Tokyo, just because you live in 
Warsaw?

BTW: all of the examples above are not fictitious (some minor etails 
mismatched).


-- 
Radoslaw Skorupka
Lodz, Poland

P.S. Fortunately I still can buy memory to my PC without asking vendor 
for permission.


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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-10 Thread R.S.

W dniu 2012-11-10 01:59, Edward Jaffe pisze:


A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode
(enabling the memory).



I vaguely remember that EU just have prohibited such approach.
The sentention was that if you BOUGHT (not leased or borrowed) the 
hardware, then it is ALL YOURS and no feature can be limited by vendors 
locks in microcode.
Note, in this case a customer wants to buy some parts and insert it into 
HIS OWN piece of hardware.


There is similar situation with DASD arrays. 10 years ago in order to 
change something you had to know "service passwords" (who remembers 
hrchodm-forcibly? ;-) ). Nowadays the password is dynamically generated 
for given s/n and period of time. HOWEVER, when warranty expire, 
customer may request to unlock the device and since then he can do a 
maintenance on once own (or using 3rd party services).


In general it's very important issue regarding IP (Intelectual Property) 
and customers rights: Do you want to  decide what channel you want to 
see on your TV set or you accept that vendor can lock some of them? Or 
maybe after 4 years you will have to dispose your TV set and buy new one 
just because of microcode "time bomb"? Or maybe your printer will not 
print everything you want, but partially what secret service want? Or 
you cannot watch a movie, bought in Tokyo, just because you live in Warsaw?


BTW: all of the examples above are not fictitious (some minor etails 
mismatched).



--
Radoslaw Skorupka
Lodz, Poland

P.S. Fortunately I still can buy memory to my PC without asking vendor 
for permission.






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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-09 Thread Edward Jaffe

On 11/9/2012 5:46 PM, Shane Ginnane wrote:

Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had to 
dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.


To the best of my knowledge, there was no customer rebellion. Rather, customers 
were taken completely by surprise by IBM's sudden z/OS release schedule change. 
There never was a constant need to upgrade the OS; upgrading every year was 
optional. Now that choice has been stripped away in an effort to reduce costs.



Maybe the same will come to pass on the hardware side as well.


I don't follow processor hardware life cycle details quite as closely as z/OS, 
but it seems to me that memory upgrades were withdrawn much earlier for z10 than 
for previous models. That is perception only; I have not verified as fact.


--
Edward E Jaffe
Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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Re: z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-09 Thread Shane Ginnane
On Fri, 9 Nov 2012 16:59:33 -0800, Edward Jaffe wrote:

>A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode (enabling
>the memory). The only way to get additional memory for a z10 these days is to
>buy it on the used market. And, IBM is charging a premium price for the "magic
>screwdriver" to enable this memory: $8K/GB! Thus, a 16GB memory upgrade would
>cost $128K in services PLUS the cost of the memory itself! (FYI. You can buy a
>brand new z114 machine for that...)

... which is precisely the point I guess.
And if you listen to Martin, everyone out there on zSeries (of any sort) is 
apparently wallowing in memory anyway.

I suspect a lot of small(er) customers do as I see happening here - shunt the 
z10 out to DR, buy in a z114 for the main site. When the next BC arrives, wash, 
rinse, repeat ...
Customers rebelled against the constant need to update the OS we've had to 
dance to over the last few years, and IBM changed its tune.

Maybe the same will come to pass on the hardware side as well.

Shane ...

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z10BC Memory Upgrade All-But Impossible

2012-11-09 Thread Edward Jaffe
Those of you with z10BC machines waiting for the z12BC to come out had better 
learn to make do with what you have.


Keep in mind that z10BC is just _one_ generation removed from the current z114 
"business class" machine. Nevertheless, hardware MES were withdrawn earlier this 
year and microcode MES are announced withdrawn as of June 2013.


A memory upgrade is both hardware (the physical DIMMs) and microcode (enabling 
the memory). The only way to get additional memory for a z10 these days is to 
buy it on the used market. And, IBM is charging a premium price for the "magic 
screwdriver" to enable this memory: $8K/GB! Thus, a 16GB memory upgrade would 
cost $128K in services PLUS the cost of the memory itself! (FYI. You can buy a 
brand new z114 machine for that...)


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Edward E Jaffe
Phoenix Software International, Inc
831 Parkview Drive North
El Segundo, CA 90245
310-338-0400 x318
edja...@phoenixsoftware.com
http://www.phoenixsoftware.com/

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