Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-18 Thread Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes
Yes but it has to be darned good (sensitive and specific) for the positive
predictive value to be good in a low prevalence population. We are really
not sure how to interpret the results of these tests yet. I have heard some
tests are 99% sensitive and specific which is what would be required.

On Mon, May 18, 2020, 10:15 AM Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:

> Highly reliable antibody testing is readily available now.
>
> Greg
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Mercedes [mailto:mercedes-boun...@okiebenz.com] On Behalf Of Dan
> Penoff via Mercedes
> Sent: Monday, May 18, 2020 6:55 AM
> To: Okie Benz
> Cc: Dan Penoff
> Subject: Re: [MBZ] OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out
>
> I’ve mentioned this previously. Both the wife and I had mild flu-like
> stuff back in mid to late February, too. We both wondered if we already had
> a mild case of beer virus.
>
> -D
>
> > On May 18, 2020, at 9:42 AM, Floyd Thursby via Mercedes <
> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> >
> > I wonder how they will be skewed from a reduction in MVAs, bangers
> shooting each other, other deaths associated with activities that have been
> diminished.  I guess those can be statistically excluded but it will be
> interesting to see what the overall death rates are for the months of say
> March and April in the various categories.
> >
> > Some friends (late 60s, he is a retired doc) believe they had the covids
> back in February -- some sort of flu-like thing but not the flu, not a
> cold, they felt not real bad for 3-4 days then recovered fairly rapidly.
> Their gated luxury resort lifestyle community (lot of nooyawkas have 2nd or
> 3rd or 4th homes there and relocated) is having free testing this week for
> the 1%ers so they will see if they got da bug.
> >
> > On 5/18/20 1:49 AM, Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes wrote:
> >> Looking at excess deaths for this time of year compared to other years
> is
> >> likely to be the best way to tell how many people covid 19 ended up
> >> killing. It takes time for those numbers to roll in, though.
> >
> > --
> > --FT
> >
> >
> > ___
> > http://www.okiebenz.com
> >
> > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
> >
> > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
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> >
>
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-18 Thread Dimitri Seretakis via Mercedes
Exactly that.

Sent from my iPhone

> On May 18, 2020, at 4:37 PM, Andrew Strasfogel  wrote:
> 
> 
> But what practical use is that knowledge unless it means that you have COV 19 
> immunity and therefore cannot be reinfected?
> 
>> On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 4:23 PM Dimitri Seretakis  
>> wrote:
>> Tells you if you’ve been infected. 
>> 
>> Sent from my iPhone
>> 
>> > On May 18, 2020, at 1:24 PM, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes 
>> >  wrote:
>> > 
>> > What info does the test yield?
>> > 
>> >> On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 1:15 PM Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
>> >> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>> >> 
>> >> Highly reliable antibody testing is readily available now.
>> >> 
>> >> Greg
>> >> 
>> >> -Original Message-
>> >> From: Mercedes [mailto:mercedes-boun...@okiebenz.com] On Behalf Of Dan
>> >> Penoff via Mercedes
>> >> Sent: Monday, May 18, 2020 6:55 AM
>> >> To: Okie Benz
>> >> Cc: Dan Penoff
>> >> Subject: Re: [MBZ] OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out
>> >> 
>> >> I’ve mentioned this previously. Both the wife and I had mild flu-like
>> >> stuff back in mid to late February, too. We both wondered if we already 
>> >> had
>> >> a mild case of beer virus.
>> >> 
>> >> -D
>> >> 
>> >>> On May 18, 2020, at 9:42 AM, Floyd Thursby via Mercedes <
>> >> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>> >>> 
>> >>> I wonder how they will be skewed from a reduction in MVAs, bangers
>> >> shooting each other, other deaths associated with activities that have 
>> >> been
>> >> diminished.  I guess those can be statistically excluded but it will be
>> >> interesting to see what the overall death rates are for the months of say
>> >> March and April in the various categories.
>> >>> 
>> >>> Some friends (late 60s, he is a retired doc) believe they had the covids
>> >> back in February -- some sort of flu-like thing but not the flu, not a
>> >> cold, they felt not real bad for 3-4 days then recovered fairly rapidly.
>> >> Their gated luxury resort lifestyle community (lot of nooyawkas have 2nd 
>> >> or
>> >> 3rd or 4th homes there and relocated) is having free testing this week for
>> >> the 1%ers so they will see if they got da bug.
>> >>> 
>> >>> On 5/18/20 1:49 AM, Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes wrote:
>>  Looking at excess deaths for this time of year compared to other years
>> >> is
>>  likely to be the best way to tell how many people covid 19 ended up
>>  killing. It takes time for those numbers to roll in, though.
>> >>> 
>> >>> --
>> >>> --FT
>> >>> 
>> >>> 
>> >>> ___
>> >>> http://www.okiebenz.com
>> >>> 
>> >>> To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
>> >>> 
>> >>> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
>> >>> http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
>> >>> 
>> >> 
>> >> 
>> >> ___
>> >> http://www.okiebenz.com
>> >> 
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>> >> 
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>> >> 
>> >> 
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-18 Thread Clay via Mercedes
It is a circus and based on current performance, I do not feel there is a 
handle on things yet.  This is the sort of thing happening every day the world 
over.

https://www.king5.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/washington-state-receives-bulk-shipment-of-q-tip-style-coronavirus-swabs/281-90e05670-2bd5-42b1-9ada-701c89d04110

Does not inspire confidence in testing, reporting, or treatment regimes if 
counterfeit and contaminated goods, or even ineffective products are part of 
the stream.  


clay 

I have no pronouns please do not refer to me.



> On May 18, 2020, at 9:14 AM, Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes 
>  wrote:
> 
> Highly reliable antibody testing is readily available now.
> 
> Greg

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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-18 Thread Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes
But what practical use is that knowledge unless it means that you have COV
19 immunity and therefore cannot be reinfected?

On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 4:23 PM Dimitri Seretakis 
wrote:

> Tells you if you’ve been infected.
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
> > On May 18, 2020, at 1:24 PM, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes <
> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> >
> > What info does the test yield?
> >
> >> On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 1:15 PM Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
> >> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> >>
> >> Highly reliable antibody testing is readily available now.
> >>
> >> Greg
> >>
> >> -Original Message-
> >> From: Mercedes [mailto:mercedes-boun...@okiebenz.com] On Behalf Of Dan
> >> Penoff via Mercedes
> >> Sent: Monday, May 18, 2020 6:55 AM
> >> To: Okie Benz
> >> Cc: Dan Penoff
> >> Subject: Re: [MBZ] OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out
> >>
> >> I’ve mentioned this previously. Both the wife and I had mild flu-like
> >> stuff back in mid to late February, too. We both wondered if we already
> had
> >> a mild case of beer virus.
> >>
> >> -D
> >>
> >>> On May 18, 2020, at 9:42 AM, Floyd Thursby via Mercedes <
> >> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> >>>
> >>> I wonder how they will be skewed from a reduction in MVAs, bangers
> >> shooting each other, other deaths associated with activities that have
> been
> >> diminished.  I guess those can be statistically excluded but it will be
> >> interesting to see what the overall death rates are for the months of
> say
> >> March and April in the various categories.
> >>>
> >>> Some friends (late 60s, he is a retired doc) believe they had the
> covids
> >> back in February -- some sort of flu-like thing but not the flu, not a
> >> cold, they felt not real bad for 3-4 days then recovered fairly rapidly.
> >> Their gated luxury resort lifestyle community (lot of nooyawkas have
> 2nd or
> >> 3rd or 4th homes there and relocated) is having free testing this week
> for
> >> the 1%ers so they will see if they got da bug.
> >>>
> >>> On 5/18/20 1:49 AM, Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes wrote:
>  Looking at excess deaths for this time of year compared to other years
> >> is
>  likely to be the best way to tell how many people covid 19 ended up
>  killing. It takes time for those numbers to roll in, though.
> >>>
> >>> --
> >>> --FT
> >>>
> >>>
> >>> ___
> >>> http://www.okiebenz.com
> >>>
> >>> To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
> >>>
> >>> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
> >>> http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
> >>>
> >>
> >>
> >> ___
> >> http://www.okiebenz.com
> >>
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> >>
> >> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
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> >>
> >>
> >>
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> >>
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> >>
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-18 Thread Dimitri Seretakis via Mercedes
Tells you if you’ve been infected. 

Sent from my iPhone

> On May 18, 2020, at 1:24 PM, Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes 
>  wrote:
> 
> What info does the test yield?
> 
>> On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 1:15 PM Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
>> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>> 
>> Highly reliable antibody testing is readily available now.
>> 
>> Greg
>> 
>> -Original Message-
>> From: Mercedes [mailto:mercedes-boun...@okiebenz.com] On Behalf Of Dan
>> Penoff via Mercedes
>> Sent: Monday, May 18, 2020 6:55 AM
>> To: Okie Benz
>> Cc: Dan Penoff
>> Subject: Re: [MBZ] OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out
>> 
>> I’ve mentioned this previously. Both the wife and I had mild flu-like
>> stuff back in mid to late February, too. We both wondered if we already had
>> a mild case of beer virus.
>> 
>> -D
>> 
>>> On May 18, 2020, at 9:42 AM, Floyd Thursby via Mercedes <
>> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>>> 
>>> I wonder how they will be skewed from a reduction in MVAs, bangers
>> shooting each other, other deaths associated with activities that have been
>> diminished.  I guess those can be statistically excluded but it will be
>> interesting to see what the overall death rates are for the months of say
>> March and April in the various categories.
>>> 
>>> Some friends (late 60s, he is a retired doc) believe they had the covids
>> back in February -- some sort of flu-like thing but not the flu, not a
>> cold, they felt not real bad for 3-4 days then recovered fairly rapidly.
>> Their gated luxury resort lifestyle community (lot of nooyawkas have 2nd or
>> 3rd or 4th homes there and relocated) is having free testing this week for
>> the 1%ers so they will see if they got da bug.
>>> 
>>> On 5/18/20 1:49 AM, Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes wrote:
 Looking at excess deaths for this time of year compared to other years
>> is
 likely to be the best way to tell how many people covid 19 ended up
 killing. It takes time for those numbers to roll in, though.
>>> 
>>> --
>>> --FT
>>> 
>>> 
>>> ___
>>> http://www.okiebenz.com
>>> 
>>> To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
>>> 
>>> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
>>> http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
>>> 
>> 
>> 
>> ___
>> http://www.okiebenz.com
>> 
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>> 
>> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
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>> 
>> 
>> 
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-18 Thread Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes
What info does the test yield?

On Mon, May 18, 2020 at 1:15 PM Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:

> Highly reliable antibody testing is readily available now.
>
> Greg
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Mercedes [mailto:mercedes-boun...@okiebenz.com] On Behalf Of Dan
> Penoff via Mercedes
> Sent: Monday, May 18, 2020 6:55 AM
> To: Okie Benz
> Cc: Dan Penoff
> Subject: Re: [MBZ] OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out
>
> I’ve mentioned this previously. Both the wife and I had mild flu-like
> stuff back in mid to late February, too. We both wondered if we already had
> a mild case of beer virus.
>
> -D
>
> > On May 18, 2020, at 9:42 AM, Floyd Thursby via Mercedes <
> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> >
> > I wonder how they will be skewed from a reduction in MVAs, bangers
> shooting each other, other deaths associated with activities that have been
> diminished.  I guess those can be statistically excluded but it will be
> interesting to see what the overall death rates are for the months of say
> March and April in the various categories.
> >
> > Some friends (late 60s, he is a retired doc) believe they had the covids
> back in February -- some sort of flu-like thing but not the flu, not a
> cold, they felt not real bad for 3-4 days then recovered fairly rapidly.
> Their gated luxury resort lifestyle community (lot of nooyawkas have 2nd or
> 3rd or 4th homes there and relocated) is having free testing this week for
> the 1%ers so they will see if they got da bug.
> >
> > On 5/18/20 1:49 AM, Karl Wittnebel via Mercedes wrote:
> >> Looking at excess deaths for this time of year compared to other years
> is
> >> likely to be the best way to tell how many people covid 19 ended up
> >> killing. It takes time for those numbers to roll in, though.
> >
> > --
> > --FT
> >
> >
> > ___
> > http://www.okiebenz.com
> >
> > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
> >
> > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
> > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
> >
>
>
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-16 Thread Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes
What is "fake news"?

On Sat, May 16, 2020 at 12:25 AM OK Don via Mercedes 
wrote:

> Nope - fake news.
>
> https://www.hiv.gov/hiv-basics/hiv-prevention/potential-future-options/hiv-vaccines
>
>
>
> On Fri, May 15, 2020 at 10:56 PM Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes <
> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>
> > Yet it's called the AIDS vaccine.  Why?
> >
> > On Fri, May 15, 2020 at 9:08 PM Dan Penoff via Mercedes <
> > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> >
> > > This brings up a good point that a lot of people aren’t considering -
> > what
> > > if we can’t make a vaccine? Look at a disease like AIDS/HIV. 40 years
> now
> > > and we really have no absolute cure. Fortunately we have ways of
> treating
> > > it, but there’s no vaccine.
> > >
> > > -D
> > >
> > > > On May 15, 2020, at 8:57 PM, Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
> > > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > There's a company in CA that claims it has a 100% effective antibody,
> > > and is ramping up a culture production. The procedure for culturing has
> > > been around for nearly 20 years. They make GMO yeast to produce human
> > > antibodies. So it is a preventive and a cure, but not a vaccine. I'm
> > hoping
> > > for effective treatment, a vaccine may never come.
> > > >
> > > > Greg
> > > >
> > >
> > >
> > > ___
> > > http://www.okiebenz.com
> > >
> > > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
> > >
> > > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
> > > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
> > >
> > >
> > ___
> > http://www.okiebenz.com
> >
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> >
> > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
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> >
> >
>
> --
> OK Don
>
> "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to
> pause and reflect." Mark Twain
>
> “Basic research is what I’m doing when I don’t know what I am doing.”
> Wernher
> Von Braun
> 2013 F150, 18 mpg
> 2017 Subaru Legacy, 30 mpg
> 1957 C182A, 12 mpg - but at 150 mph!
> ___
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-15 Thread OK Don via Mercedes
Nope - fake news.
https://www.hiv.gov/hiv-basics/hiv-prevention/potential-future-options/hiv-vaccines



On Fri, May 15, 2020 at 10:56 PM Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes <
mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:

> Yet it's called the AIDS vaccine.  Why?
>
> On Fri, May 15, 2020 at 9:08 PM Dan Penoff via Mercedes <
> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
>
> > This brings up a good point that a lot of people aren’t considering -
> what
> > if we can’t make a vaccine? Look at a disease like AIDS/HIV. 40 years now
> > and we really have no absolute cure. Fortunately we have ways of treating
> > it, but there’s no vaccine.
> >
> > -D
> >
> > > On May 15, 2020, at 8:57 PM, Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
> > mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> > >
> > > There's a company in CA that claims it has a 100% effective antibody,
> > and is ramping up a culture production. The procedure for culturing has
> > been around for nearly 20 years. They make GMO yeast to produce human
> > antibodies. So it is a preventive and a cure, but not a vaccine. I'm
> hoping
> > for effective treatment, a vaccine may never come.
> > >
> > > Greg
> > >
> >
> >
> > ___
> > http://www.okiebenz.com
> >
> > To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
> >
> > To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
> > http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
> >
> >
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>
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>
>

-- 
OK Don

"Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to
pause and reflect." Mark Twain

“Basic research is what I’m doing when I don’t know what I am doing.”  Wernher
Von Braun
2013 F150, 18 mpg
2017 Subaru Legacy, 30 mpg
1957 C182A, 12 mpg - but at 150 mph!
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-15 Thread Andrew Strasfogel via Mercedes
Yet it's called the AIDS vaccine.  Why?

On Fri, May 15, 2020 at 9:08 PM Dan Penoff via Mercedes <
mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:

> This brings up a good point that a lot of people aren’t considering - what
> if we can’t make a vaccine? Look at a disease like AIDS/HIV. 40 years now
> and we really have no absolute cure. Fortunately we have ways of treating
> it, but there’s no vaccine.
>
> -D
>
> > On May 15, 2020, at 8:57 PM, Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes <
> mercedes@okiebenz.com> wrote:
> >
> > There's a company in CA that claims it has a 100% effective antibody,
> and is ramping up a culture production. The procedure for culturing has
> been around for nearly 20 years. They make GMO yeast to produce human
> antibodies. So it is a preventive and a cure, but not a vaccine. I'm hoping
> for effective treatment, a vaccine may never come.
> >
> > Greg
> >
>
>
> ___
> http://www.okiebenz.com
>
> To search list archives http://www.okiebenz.com/archive/
>
> To Unsubscribe or change delivery options go to:
> http://mail.okiebenz.com/mailman/listinfo/mercedes_okiebenz.com
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>
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Re: [MBZ] ***SPAM*** RE: OT: The Bug was Re: Sticking my neck out

2020-05-15 Thread Dan Penoff via Mercedes
This brings up a good point that a lot of people aren’t considering - what if 
we can’t make a vaccine? Look at a disease like AIDS/HIV. 40 years now and we 
really have no absolute cure. Fortunately we have ways of treating it, but 
there’s no vaccine.

-D

> On May 15, 2020, at 8:57 PM, Greg Fiorentino via Mercedes 
>  wrote:
> 
> There's a company in CA that claims it has a 100% effective antibody, and is 
> ramping up a culture production. The procedure for culturing has been around 
> for nearly 20 years. They make GMO yeast to produce human antibodies. So it 
> is a preventive and a cure, but not a vaccine. I'm hoping for effective 
> treatment, a vaccine may never come.
> 
> Greg
> 


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