Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-27 Thread Darren O'Connor
It's back with this: Ben quite succinctly sums it up on a nanog mailing list, 
“Your (the service provider) user is paying you to push packets. If that’s 
causing you a problem, you either need to review your commercial structure 
(i.e. charge people more) or your technical network design. Face the facts, 
what with everyone jumping on the “cloud” bandwagon, the future is only going 
to see you pushing more packets, not less !  So if you can’t stand the heat, 
get out of the kitchen (or the xSP industry).”

Thanks
Darren
http://www.mellowd.co.uk/ccie

 On 24 Sep 2013, at 23:51, Ben ben+na...@list-subs.com wrote:
 
 On 24/09/2013 18:54, Michael Brown wrote:
 That is most assuredly a rewrite, it's not just your perception.
 
 M.
 
 Surprise surprise, that page now appears to Error 404... guess he must watch 
 the list quite closely as it didn't take long for him to react ! ;-)
 
 Guess I should be flattered someone finds my internet rantings quoteworthy !  
 Would have appreciated at least a feable attempt at a citation (or at least a 
 generic reference to the Nanog list in general).
 
 
 
 


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-26 Thread Mark Lancaster
I have heard a lot of questions and debate about whether the iOS updates
download automatically:

“Available updates download automatically if your device is connected to
Wi-Fi and a power source.”

http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623 http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623

/mark

http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623


http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-26 Thread Cutler James R
On Sep 26, 2013, at 5:22 PM, Mark Lancaster markl...@gmail.com wrote:

 I have heard a lot of questions and debate about whether the iOS updates
 download automatically:
 
 “Available updates download automatically if your device is connected to
 Wi-Fi and a power source.”
 
 http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623 http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623
 
 /mark
 

The wording in step 2 is poorly done. The availability of updates is what is 
downloaded.

Step 3 indicates an active user input to begin download is required.


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-26 Thread Geoffrey Keating
Cutler James R james.cut...@consultant.com writes:

 On Sep 26, 2013, at 5:22 PM, Mark Lancaster markl...@gmail.com wrote:
 
  I have heard a lot of questions and debate about whether the iOS updates
  download automatically:
  
  “Available updates download automatically if your device is connected to
  Wi-Fi and a power source.”
  
  http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623 http://support.apple.com/kb/HT4623
  
  /mark
  
 
 The wording in step 2 is poorly done. The availability of updates is what is 
 downloaded.
 
 Step 3 indicates an active user input to begin download is required.

The updates do download automatically, but only if the device is on
wifi and power at the same time.

For iOS 6, a check for available updates will be attempted at a
randomly chosen time on a randomly chosen day of the week.  If one is
found, an automatic download may follow if/when on power and wifi.

Opening the Software Update pane will cause an immediate check for
available updates.  If one is found it will be displayed to the user,
who may touch the button, which will complete the download (even if
not on power or not on wifi, although there are minimum battery charge
requirements and some updates can't be downloaded over cell) as
necessary, and then perform the install.

So, an ISP will see initial traffic when an update is released,
as people manually install it, and some continuing traffic spread over
at least the next week as the automatic downloads occur.

Then, of course, once people have updated their device, they'll want
to use it: update their apps, download a new Siri voice, buy music...



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-25 Thread Matt Palmer
On Mon, Sep 23, 2013 at 08:36:30PM -0500, Joe Greco wrote:
  That's just the typical Bittorrent /client/, but the idea of using
  Bittorrent means the /protocol/. A special Bittorrent client could be
  written for ISPs with uploads disabled and Apple could also disable them
  on the update-downloading Bittorrent client for the phones.
  
  The clients (be it Bittorrent or not) would still download the MD5 hash
  after the download finishes to verify the integrity of the download, and
  Apple would still be able to measure the amount of downloaded images.
 
 So then all the networks that have done $things to BitTorrent to demote it
 to second-rate traffic will suddenly have a bunch of very angry Apple fans
 whose downloads are mysteriously having issues.

Sounds like a win to me.

- Matt

-- 
Python is a rich scripting language offering a lot of the power of C++
while retaining the ease of use of VBscript.
-- The PyWin32 documentation




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-24 Thread Mikael Abrahamsson

On Tue, 24 Sep 2013, Jay Ashworth wrote:

Fixing 4 (which is an easy engineering issue) and 5 (which is an 
operations policy issue that, by and large, most people in that 
situation understand), *would have had a direct positive effect on 
Apple's paying customers*.


Fixing 4 is something apple should do. 5 is a marketing decision for them. 
People are used to queuing *for things*. If the apple updates break your 
network instead of just the apple updates, then that is your fault as an 
ISP.


For me, nothing more than the apple updates were broken during those 
hours, that I could tell anyway. The Internet wasn't broken.


--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-24 Thread Jared Mauch

On Sep 24, 2013, at 12:45 AM, Jay Ashworth j...@baylink.com wrote:

 Strawman, Randy.
 
 Clearly, the Internet is *not* up to the task of 
 
 1) updating several dozen million devices 
 2) on links of various quality, 
 3) with 650MB to 1.2GB downloads and 
 4) a client that doesn't understand how to restart
 5) all at once,
 
 cause, over all, it went very poorly.

It went well for most users, it seems the 1-5% of people with odd configs are 
the problem.

Keep in mind that on any average day about 3% of the networks out there are 
broken based on pre-ipv6 day measurements.  That is, their IPv4 is completely 
busted.

Having the error/problem rate being down in that area is reasonable to me.

How many code-red/slammer scans do you still see a decade on?

Overall this was surely a network traffic event, and those that observed the 
IOS6 impact a year ago realized it would occur again with IOS7 and monitored 
for it.  Not everything will work for everyone, but for the majority of users 
it was fine.  (This from surveying my non-geek friends).

Traffic levels will lower about 7 days post-release.

Also, NYC and other police departments are advocating people update immediately 
for the anti-theft upgrades provided in the new software.  Let me know how your 
conversation with them goes.

- Jared


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-24 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Jared Mauch ja...@puck.nether.net

 It went well for most users, it seems the 1-5% of people with odd
 configs are the problem.
[ ... ] 
 IOS7 and monitored for it. Not everything will work for everyone, but
 for the majority of users it was fine. (This from surveying my
 non-geek friends).

Hmmm.  The number of unsolicited reports I saw and received -- both from 
upgraders and those who didn't even know it was happening, seemed much
higher than would support that.  When you're upgrading several hundred 
million devices, the error rate doesn't have to be that high...

But the things you *should* do are still a larger list than the things
you *must* do; tragedy of the commons and like that.  Apple could *easily*
have handled it better.

That's my story, and I'm stickin' to it.

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA   #natog  +1 727 647 1274



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-24 Thread Glen Kent
Picked this off www.jaluri.com (network and Cisco blog aggregator):


 http://routingfreak.wordpress.com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-on-networks-worldwide/

 The consensus seems to be for providers to install CDN servers, if they
 arent able to cope up with an occasional OS update traffic.


While his argument for installing CDNs is not entirely incorrect, you
should take it with a pound of salt, as the author works for a CDN vendor!
:-)

http://blog.streamingmedia.com/2009/07/alcatellucent-acquires-cdn-technology-provider-velocix.html





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-24 Thread Ben

On 24/09/2013 17:55, Glen Kent wrote:

Picked this off www.jaluri.com (network and Cisco blog aggregator):



http://routingfreak.wordpress.com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-on-networks-worldwide/

The consensus seems to be for providers to install CDN servers, if they
arent able to cope up with an occasional OS update traffic.


Hang on a minute.

That last paragraph in his blog sounds awfully similar to something I 
posted here the other day !


He says on the 23rd of September :
Users are paying service providers to deliver their IP packets. If 
providers cant handle the volume of traffic that they’re being asked to 
deliver then its probably time for them to reevaluate their commercial 
structure (charge customers more) or to redesign/overhaul their networks 
(invest in CDNs, etc). Remember, with everyone connecting to the 
“cloud”, the traffic that providers will be asked to push is only going 
to increase with time ..



I said on the 20th of September :
Your user is paying you to push packets. If that's causing you a 
problem, you either need to review your commercial structure (i.e. 
charge people more) or your technical network design. Face the facts, 
what with everyone jumping on the cloud bandwagon, the future is only 
going to see you pushing more packets, not less !  So if you can't stand 
the heat, get out of the kitchen (or the xSP industry).


Hmm..  ;-(



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-24 Thread Jon Sands

You've been robbed!

On 9/24/2013 1:36 PM, Ben wrote:

Hang on a minute.

That last paragraph in his blog sounds awfully similar to something I 
posted here the other day !


He says on the 23rd of September :
Users are paying service providers to deliver their IP packets. If 
providers cant handle the volume of traffic that they’re being asked 
to deliver then its probably time for them to reevaluate their 
commercial structure (charge customers more) or to redesign/overhaul 
their networks (invest in CDNs, etc). Remember, with everyone 
connecting to the “cloud”, the traffic that providers will be asked to 
push is only going to increase with time ..



I said on the 20th of September :
Your user is paying you to push packets. If that's causing you a 
problem, you either need to review your commercial structure (i.e. 
charge people more) or your technical network design. Face the facts, 
what with everyone jumping on the cloud bandwagon, the future is 
only going to see you pushing more packets, not less ! So if you can't 
stand the heat, get out of the kitchen (or the xSP industry).


Hmm..  ;-(




--
Jon Sands




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-24 Thread Ben

On 24/09/2013 18:54, Michael Brown wrote:

That is most assuredly a rewrite, it's not just your perception.

M.



Surprise surprise, that page now appears to Error 404... guess he must 
watch the list quite closely as it didn't take long for him to react ! ;-)


Guess I should be flattered someone finds my internet rantings 
quoteworthy !  Would have appreciated at least a feable attempt at a 
citation (or at least a generic reference to the Nanog list in general).







Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread John Smith
Picked this off www.jaluri.com (network and Cisco blog aggregator):

http://routingfreak.wordpress.com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-on-networks-worldwide/

The consensus seems to be for providers to install CDN servers, if they arent 
able to cope up with an occasional OS update traffic.

http://news.idg.no/cw/art.cfm?id=391B4B64-F693-41B7-6BBAC6D7017C3B8A

John

From: Colin Alston colin.als...@gmail.com
To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com 
Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org 
Sent: Monday, 23 September 2013, 1:05
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


That system by the way is annoying when your mobile network operator are so
oversubscribed/old-fashioned that I had to wait over 6 months before I
could update to Android ICS... I really don't want my ability to update the
software on my phone to be controlled by a teleco, and these large teleco's
really should have Akamai caches in place by now - if they even know what
that is.


On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 8:22 PM, Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 I own a galaxy note 2..tmo ran an update that pushed to unique IMEI's
 sequentially. That way, you do not..

 1. Murder your last mike packet network, which is your bandwidth
 bottleneck.

 2. Murder your ggsn/whateverpacketnodeyouwant closer to the core.

 3. Anger your paying customers who would like to use packet data
 successfully on an ios download day.

 These people (Apple) represent themselves as smart guys, but their actions
 reflect otherwise. I bet this would be a larger deal to Nanog people if
 your Internet stopped working as the result of 100% Linux adoption. That is
 very close to what this is.. Tens of millions of people trying to update
 their 13 ios devices at the same time. Who owns a single ios device? A
 household could do 5-10gb worth of updates in a single day..

 I personally do not own an ios device, and I see close to 3 gigs worth of
 update traffic at my house. These things are everywhere, and this problem
 will not stop.


 Sent from my Mobile Device.


  Original message 
 From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
 Date: 09/19/2013 11:16 AM (GMT-08:00)
 To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
 Cc: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:

  Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
 a single day?

 They don't, these are users who actively goes into the software upgrade
 menu and pressing upgrade.

 I believe the nagging won't start for quite some time.

 --
 Mikael Abrahamsson    email: swm...@swm.pp.se




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Neil Harris

On 23/09/13 10:32, John Smith wrote:

Picked this off www.jaluri.com (network and Cisco blog aggregator):

http://routingfreak.wordpress.com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-on-networks-worldwide/

The consensus seems to be for providers to install CDN servers, if they arent 
able to cope up with an occasional OS update traffic.

http://news.idg.no/cw/art.cfm?id=391B4B64-F693-41B7-6BBAC6D7017C3B8A

John



Perhaps Apple, Microsoft etc. should consider using Bittorrent as a way 
of distributing their updates? If ISPs were to run their own Bittorrent 
servers (with appropriate restrictions, see below), this would then 
create an instant CDN, with no need to define any other protocols or pay 
any third parties.


The hard bit would be to create a way for Apple etc. to be able to 
authoritatively say we are the content owners, and are happy for you to 
replicate this locally: but perhaps this could be as simple serving the 
initial seed from an HTTPS server with a valid certificate? It would 
then be trivial to create a whitelist of the domains of the top 10 or so 
distributors of patches, and then everything would work automatically 
from then on.


-- N.




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Glen Kent
One of the earlier posts seems to suggest that if iOS updates were cached
on the ISPs CDN server then the traffic would have been manageable since
everybody would only contact the local sever to get the image. Is this
assumption correct?

Do most big service providers maintain their own content servers? Is this
what we're heading to these days?

Glen


On Mon, Sep 23, 2013 at 4:29 PM, Neil Harris n...@tonal.clara.co.uk wrote:

 On 23/09/13 10:32, John Smith wrote:

 Picked this off www.jaluri.com (network and Cisco blog aggregator):

 http://routingfreak.wordpress.**com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-**
 on-networks-worldwide/http://routingfreak.wordpress.com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-on-networks-worldwide/

 The consensus seems to be for providers to install CDN servers, if they
 arent able to cope up with an occasional OS update traffic.

 http://news.idg.no/cw/art.cfm?**id=391B4B64-F693-41B7-**6BBAC6D7017C3B8Ahttp://news.idg.no/cw/art.cfm?id=391B4B64-F693-41B7-6BBAC6D7017C3B8A

 John


 Perhaps Apple, Microsoft etc. should consider using Bittorrent as a way of
 distributing their updates? If ISPs were to run their own Bittorrent
 servers (with appropriate restrictions, see below), this would then create
 an instant CDN, with no need to define any other protocols or pay any third
 parties.

 The hard bit would be to create a way for Apple etc. to be able to
 authoritatively say we are the content owners, and are happy for you to
 replicate this locally: but perhaps this could be as simple serving the
 initial seed from an HTTPS server with a valid certificate? It would then
 be trivial to create a whitelist of the domains of the top 10 or so
 distributors of patches, and then everything would work automatically from
 then on.

 -- N.





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Ralph J.Mayer
 Perhaps Apple, Microsoft etc. should consider using Bittorrent as a
 way of distributing their updates? If ISPs were to run their own
 Bittorrent servers (with appropriate restrictions, see below), this
 would then create an instant CDN, with no need to define any other
 protocols or pay any third parties.

They should do it like the game vendors. You are able to preload the
game but it will only run on the day it is released.

But, you still have to make sure not all your customers fetch the
content at the same time with full speed.

And what about thouse who just own a phone and no computer with iTunes?
These customers will prefer to download over wifi as fast as possible
to get the upgrade done. Preloading over anything other than wifi is
way to expensive.

Someone mentioned Win8/8.1 and Upgrades, there will also be OSX Mavericks
quite soon. Fewer devices but way more content ...

Access is sold by bandwith, so there will be oversubscrition.
Sell it by traffic and all thouse iPhone users will walk to the neares
Apple store to buy an USB stick with the upgrade since its cheaper
than downloading it. 


rm



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Simon Leinen
Glen Kent writes:
 One of the earlier posts seems to suggest that if iOS updates were
 cached on the ISPs CDN server then the traffic would have been
 manageable since everybody would only contact the local sever to get
 the image. Is this assumption correct?

Not necessarily.  I think most of the iOS 7 update traffic WAS in fact
delivered from CDN servers (in particular Akamai).  And many/most large
service providers already have Akamai servers in their networks.  But
they may not have enough spare capacity for such a sudden demand -
either in terms of CDN (Akamai) servers or in terms of capacity between
their CDN servers and their customers.

 Do most big service providers maintain their own content servers? Is
 this what we're heading to these days?

Depends on what you mean by their own.  As I said, these days Akamai
has servers in many of the big networks.  Google and possibly others
(Limelight, ...?) might have that as well.  But I wouldn't call them
their [the SPs'] own.

Some SPs are also built their own CDNs (Level 3) or are talking about
it.  But that model seems to be less popular with the content owners and
the other SPs.
-- 
Simon.



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Leo Bicknell

On Sep 23, 2013, at 8:10 AM, Simon Leinen simon.lei...@switch.ch wrote:

 Not necessarily.  I think most of the iOS 7 update traffic WAS in fact
 delivered from CDN servers (in particular Akamai).  And many/most large
 service providers already have Akamai servers in their networks.  But
 they may not have enough spare capacity for such a sudden demand -
 either in terms of CDN (Akamai) servers or in terms of capacity between
 their CDN servers and their customers.

Apple claims 200 million[1] IOS devices upgrade to version 7 in the past 
week.  A typical download was on the order of 800MB.

At the same time, Apple released some other updates, like OSX 10.8.5[2]
(275MB) and XCode 5.0[3] (2GB).  They also made the iWork and iLife
applications (Pages, Numbers, Keynote iMovie, and iPhoto) free to 
download[4] for all new IOS purchasers.

Oh, and they sold 9 million iPhone 5s/c devices[1], most of which needed
an update to IOS 7.0.1[5] which was a 1.2GB download.

With all of that going on the grumbling on NANOG has pretty much been
limited to yeah, we saw a spike, and a few providers of alternative
technologies (like Satellite) grousing a bit.

I'm not saying the industry can't do better, but I'm finding it hard to
describe what happened as anything besides a success for CDN's and most
consumer facing ISP's.  I only hope the various CDN's and ISP's study
what happened so they can be prepared for the next event, which will
no doubt be bigger.  We're all in an up and to the right industry.

1: 
http://9to5mac.com/2013/09/23/apple-announces-9-million-iphone-sales-over-first-three-days/
2: http://support.apple.com/kb/DL1675
3: 
http://9to5mac.com/2013/09/18/xcode-5-0-released-with-ios-7-sdk-64-bit-app-compiler/
4: 
http://9to5mac.com/2013/09/10/apple-makes-iwork-apps-iphoto-and-imovie-free-with-all-new-ios-devices/
5: http://support.apple.com/kb/DL1683

-- 
   Leo Bicknell - bickn...@ufp.org - CCIE 3440
PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/







signature.asc
Description: Message signed with OpenPGP using GPGMail


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Glen Kent
BTW Linux distributions are available to download via bittorrent, so we
dont really need Akamai/Limelight here. Is there a reason why Apple has not
adopted bit-torrent for distribution? Are there legal/commercial
implications using bit-torrent?

Glen

On Mon, Sep 23, 2013 at 4:29 PM, Neil Harris n...@tonal.clara.co.uk wrote:

 On 23/09/13 10:32, John Smith wrote:

 Picked this off www.jaluri.com (network and Cisco blog aggregator):

 http://routingfreak.wordpress.**com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-**
 on-networks-worldwide/http://routingfreak.wordpress.com/2013/09/23/ios7s-impact-on-networks-worldwide/

 The consensus seems to be for providers to install CDN servers, if they
 arent able to cope up with an occasional OS update traffic.

 http://news.idg.no/cw/art.cfm?**id=391B4B64-F693-41B7-**6BBAC6D7017C3B8Ahttp://news.idg.no/cw/art.cfm?id=391B4B64-F693-41B7-6BBAC6D7017C3B8A

 John


 Perhaps Apple, Microsoft etc. should consider using Bittorrent as a way of
 distributing their updates? If ISPs were to run their own Bittorrent
 servers (with appropriate restrictions, see below), this would then create
 an instant CDN, with no need to define any other protocols or pay any third
 parties.

 The hard bit would be to create a way for Apple etc. to be able to
 authoritatively say we are the content owners, and are happy for you to
 replicate this locally: but perhaps this could be as simple serving the
 initial seed from an HTTPS server with a valid certificate? It would then
 be trivial to create a whitelist of the domains of the top 10 or so
 distributors of patches, and then everything would work automatically from
 then on.

 -- N.





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Joe Abley

On 2013-09-23, at 09:10, Simon Leinen simon.lei...@switch.ch wrote:

 Glen Kent writes:
 One of the earlier posts seems to suggest that if iOS updates were
 cached on the ISPs CDN server then the traffic would have been
 manageable since everybody would only contact the local sever to get
 the image. Is this assumption correct?
 
 Not necessarily.  I think most of the iOS 7 update traffic WAS in fact
 delivered from CDN servers (in particular Akamai).  And many/most large
 service providers already have Akamai servers in their networks.  But
 they may not have enough spare capacity for such a sudden demand -
 either in terms of CDN (Akamai) servers or in terms of capacity between
 their CDN servers and their customers.

I think oversubscription in the access network (between the customer and the 
ISP network that might contain Akamai nodes) is the general concern, at least 
from the ISPs I have visibility into. Your access network doesn't have to be a 
narrowband satellite network for this kind of unexpected demand to hurt, and 
provisioning extra access bandwidth in anticipation of a one- or two-day 
possibility of increased demand is not practical.

I don't doubt Apple are aware of the issue and will make changes if they can. 
The characterisation that Apple doesn't care, or is callously causing pain in 
other networks ignores the commercial reality that user experience is important 
to them. The user experience when an anticipated update can't be downloaded 
easily is not great.

The suggestions on how to make things better next time that have appeared on 
this list seem helpful. I would imagine that any vendor with a huge and 
widely-distributed user base would do well to take note.


Joe




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Carsten Bormann
On Sep 23, 2013, at 15:10, Simon Leinen simon.lei...@switch.ch wrote:

 Glen Kent writes:
 One of the earlier posts seems to suggest that if iOS updates were
 cached on the ISPs CDN server then the traffic would have been
 manageable since everybody would only contact the local sever to get
 the image. Is this assumption correct?
 
 Not necessarily.  I think most of the iOS 7 update traffic WAS in fact
 delivered from CDN servers (in particular Akamai).  And many/most large
 service providers already have Akamai servers in their networks.  But
 they may not have enough spare capacity for such a sudden demand -
 either in terms of CDN (Akamai) servers or in terms of capacity between
 their CDN servers and their customers.

I have some anecdotal evidence that a large swatch of Telekom land in Germany 
was fed from two (2) Limelight servers in Frankfurt (?).  Of course, packet 
loss to them during Wednesday evening was around 50 %.
(I VPNed out of Telekom land to get my iOS 7 update, which was then no problem 
at all; that clearly shows that the access infrastructure wasn't overloaded.)

It doesn't help that Apple's update software has no way to make use of the 
results of a prematurely aborted transfer; this is a recipe for bistable 
behavior.

Grüße, Carsten




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Jared Mauch

On Sep 23, 2013, at 9:41 AM, Glen Kent glen.k...@gmail.com wrote:

 BTW Linux distributions are available to download via bittorrent, so we
 dont really need Akamai/Limelight here. Is there a reason why Apple has not
 adopted bit-torrent for distribution? Are there legal/commercial
 implications using bit-torrent?

It's more about predictable results and outcome.  I can pay a CDN and likely 
get some sort of reporting/SLA.  I can't as easily insure that my torrent 
traffic will work as well.

Some carriers dabbled in doing something about peer-to-peer/torrent type 
traffic in the past, such as the P4P stuff:

http://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2008/03/14/verizon-testing-p4p-for-peer-to-peer-delivery/

But I think it died off like many other things.  I think CNN.com video still 
wants the peer-to-peer octoshape thing, but I have always said NO.

https://www.google.com/search?q=octoshape+peer+to+peer

while an older article from 2009, here's why you should say no as well:

http://arstechnica.com/business/2009/02/cnn-p2p-video-streaming-tech-raises-questions/

- Jared


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Jeroen Massar
On 2013-09-23 15:41 , Glen Kent wrote:
 BTW Linux distributions are available to download via bittorrent,

I am very sure that you will be happy to see your customer's UPSTREAM
links filled with that traffic... next to you having a shiny CDN and
then having to do traffic to ISPs who do not have one...

IMHO the model with CDN is appropriate for this kind of traffic: the
pusher is footing the bill.

Greets,
 Jeroen




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Joe Abley

On 2013-09-23, at 09:41, Glen Kent glen.k...@gmail.com wrote:

 BTW Linux distributions are available to download via bittorrent, so we
 dont really need Akamai/Limelight here. Is there a reason why Apple has not
 adopted bit-torrent for distribution? Are there legal/commercial
 implications using bit-torrent?

There are upstream congestion issues frequently associated with bittorrent. If 
you compare

(a) five thousand students on a campus wifi network trying to download a 1GB 
image from a nearby Akamai cache, and

(b) five thousand students on a campus wifi network seeding a 1GB image to 
people all over the world

it's not obvious that more pain results from (a) than (b).

Even given the ability of Apple to control the behaviour of the bittorrent 
agent (which presumably would be built into iOS) the impact of such a strategy 
on an event of this size seems very hard to predict, given a narrow time base 
and an unknowable number of local network constraints.

It doesn't seem impossible to try and optimise the fan-out by giving network 
operators hooks to influence peer selection based on local topology. But it 
also doesn't sound like an easy general problem to solve (or a problem that 
anybody necessarily wants to spend money on if the relief is only going to be 
felt once per year on major iOS updates).

(Remember as well that the scale here is very different. With iOS, Apple is the 
major Unix vendor on the planet by some margin. No other single Linux or other 
Unix/Unix-like distribution comes close, and I am guessing no single operating 
system triggers the update enthusiasm observed with iOS.)


Joe




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Blake Dunlap
Bit torrent is a way to lighten the load on the originator, and to increase
the speed of the acquisition from the receivers. It is not a tool to
decrease network load, if anything it does the opposite most of the time.

Every now and then, a client will find a local network peer, but its
usually an accident more than anything from the algorithm it uses to try to
find the fastest senders with pieces it needs. This is most often a product
of far end congestion and what pieces are completed, and rarely upstream
related barring major issues. The algorithim is self greedy, not
altruistic, and definitely not written with ISP load issues in mind.

I'd much prefer CDN content over bittorrent from the ISP side.

-Blake


On Mon, Sep 23, 2013 at 9:02 AM, Joe Abley jab...@hopcount.ca wrote:


 On 2013-09-23, at 09:41, Glen Kent glen.k...@gmail.com wrote:

  BTW Linux distributions are available to download via bittorrent, so we
  dont really need Akamai/Limelight here. Is there a reason why Apple has
 not
  adopted bit-torrent for distribution? Are there legal/commercial
  implications using bit-torrent?

 There are upstream congestion issues frequently associated with
 bittorrent. If you compare

 (a) five thousand students on a campus wifi network trying to download a
 1GB image from a nearby Akamai cache, and

 (b) five thousand students on a campus wifi network seeding a 1GB image to
 people all over the world

 it's not obvious that more pain results from (a) than (b).

 Even given the ability of Apple to control the behaviour of the bittorrent
 agent (which presumably would be built into iOS) the impact of such a
 strategy on an event of this size seems very hard to predict, given a
 narrow time base and an unknowable number of local network constraints.

 It doesn't seem impossible to try and optimise the fan-out by giving
 network operators hooks to influence peer selection based on local
 topology. But it also doesn't sound like an easy general problem to solve
 (or a problem that anybody necessarily wants to spend money on if the
 relief is only going to be felt once per year on major iOS updates).

 (Remember as well that the scale here is very different. With iOS, Apple
 is the major Unix vendor on the planet by some margin. No other single
 Linux or other Unix/Unix-like distribution comes close, and I am guessing
 no single operating system triggers the update enthusiasm observed with
 iOS.)


 Joe





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
 To: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com

 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:
  Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
  that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
  thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
  caused this...
 
 The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
 megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times
 these amounts to download...


It  wasn't sinister, Ferg, it was *stupid*.  *They announced the release 
date and time*.  Everyone's phone has a check for release now button,
and yet they believed that only *push notifying* phones in waves would be 
enough to prevent what happened.

See also: screwed the pooch.

This went out, what, last Weds and Thu?  I had half a dozen people from
all different environments ask me why's the Internet broke today? on
release day.  There was a consumer-visible impact from this absolutely
asinine release engineering project on Apple's part.

You don't announce the exact release time, and you don't even *make the
release visible to all devices at the same time* since Twitter.

This is apparently their first rodeo.  We should take pains to make it
their last.  As an anti-Apple guy, I resent having my stuff screwed up
because of it.

Cheers,
-- jra

-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA   #natog  +1 727 647 1274



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Octavio Alvarez
That's just the typical Bittorrent /client/, but the idea of using
Bittorrent means the /protocol/. A special Bittorrent client could be
written for ISPs with uploads disabled and Apple could also disable them
on the update-downloading Bittorrent client for the phones.

The clients (be it Bittorrent or not) would still download the MD5 hash
after the download finishes to verify the integrity of the download, and
Apple would still be able to measure the amount of downloaded images.

For the ISP, this would mean minimal amount of effective downloads.

On 09/23/2013 07:31 AM, Blake Dunlap wrote:
 Bit torrent is a way to lighten the load on the originator, and to increase
 the speed of the acquisition from the receivers. It is not a tool to
 decrease network load, if anything it does the opposite most of the time.
 
 Every now and then, a client will find a local network peer, but its
 usually an accident more than anything from the algorithm it uses to try to
 find the fastest senders with pieces it needs. This is most often a product
 of far end congestion and what pieces are completed, and rarely upstream
 related barring major issues. The algorithim is self greedy, not
 altruistic, and definitely not written with ISP load issues in mind.
 
 I'd much prefer CDN content over bittorrent from the ISP side.




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Joe Greco
 That's just the typical Bittorrent /client/, but the idea of using
 Bittorrent means the /protocol/. A special Bittorrent client could be
 written for ISPs with uploads disabled and Apple could also disable them
 on the update-downloading Bittorrent client for the phones.
 
 The clients (be it Bittorrent or not) would still download the MD5 hash
 after the download finishes to verify the integrity of the download, and
 Apple would still be able to measure the amount of downloaded images.

So then all the networks that have done $things to BitTorrent to demote it
to second-rate traffic will suddenly have a bunch of very angry Apple fans
whose downloads are mysteriously having issues.

And then - assuming you intend for more things than just Apple to go this
route - all the CDN's would need to be redesigned to support BT too.

It seems like it'd be simpler for Apple to figure out how to validate a
partial download and then resume.  It isn't like that would be cutting 
edge technology.  I think I might even have seen it happen before.

... JG
-- 
Joe Greco - sol.net Network Services - Milwaukee, WI - http://www.sol.net
We call it the 'one bite at the apple' rule. Give me one chance [and] then I
won't contact you again. - Direct Marketing Ass'n position on e-mail spam(CNN)
With 24 million small businesses in the US alone, that's way too many apples.



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Jeff Kell
On 9/23/2013 9:36 PM, Joe Greco wrote:
 So then all the networks that have done $things to BitTorrent to
 demote it to second-rate traffic will suddenly have a bunch of very
 angry Apple fans whose downloads are mysteriously having issues.

Just ask the Blizzard fans (World of Warcraft) about this phenomenon...

Jeff




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Randy Bush
 So then all the networks that have done $things to BitTorrent to
 demote it to second-rate traffic will suddenly have a bunch of very
 angry Apple fans whose downloads are mysteriously having issues.
 Just ask the Blizzard fans (World of Warcraft) about this
 phenomenon...

i love the business plan of preventing the users from getting what they
want.  i think all my competitors should follow it.

randy, who uses a bunch of bittorrent, try btsync for more private dropbox



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Randy Bush ra...@psg.com

 i love the business plan of preventing the users from getting what
 they want. i think all my competitors should follow it.

Strawman, Randy.

Clearly, the Internet is *not* up to the task of 

1) updating several dozen million devices 
2) on links of various quality, 
3) with 650MB to 1.2GB downloads and 
4) a client that doesn't understand how to restart
5) all at once,

cause, over all, it went very poorly.

The people negatively impacted by that poor engineering planning on Apple's
part *are Apple's customers*, quite apart from any negative impact it had
on Everyone Else.

Fixing 4 (which is an easy engineering issue) and 5 (which is an operations
policy issue that, by and large, most people in that situation understand),
*would have had a direct positive effect on Apple's paying customers*.

Preventing them from getting what they want is made up, and I'm pretty 
sure you know that.  Staging FW update rollouts over networks is old hat.
Even I know better than to make that mistake, and I don't know anything.

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA   #natog  +1 727 647 1274



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-23 Thread Octavio Alvarez
On 09/23/2013 08:36 PM, Joe Greco wrote:
 That's just the typical Bittorrent /client/, but the idea of using
 Bittorrent means the /protocol/. A special Bittorrent client could be
 written for ISPs with uploads disabled and Apple could also disable them
 on the update-downloading Bittorrent client for the phones.

 The clients (be it Bittorrent or not) would still download the MD5 hash
 after the download finishes to verify the integrity of the download, and
 Apple would still be able to measure the amount of downloaded images.
 
 So then all the networks that have done $things to BitTorrent to demote it
 to second-rate traffic will suddenly have a bunch of very angry Apple fans
 whose downloads are mysteriously having issues.

No, usually that traffic is demoted right before upstream (or in some
way not very near to the provider-edge-to-customer device). Once the
download is ready on the ISP, that would be a solved problem.

And also, the phone could support two protocols as a transition. It's
the easiest solution I've read so far. There are others but not as easy.

 And then - assuming you intend for more things than just Apple to go this
 route - all the CDN's would need to be redesigned to support BT too.

Why can't it be implemented as an independent mean of delivering updates?

 It seems like it'd be simpler for Apple to figure out how to validate a
 partial download and then resume.  It isn't like that would be cutting 
 edge technology.  I think I might even have seen it happen before.

Validate partial download? How would that help to reduce the overall
load on the ISP? That is only limited to reducing the redundant
traffic, where redundant means twice per device, not twice per
content, which is the real problem.

Cheers.




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-22 Thread Colin Alston
That system by the way is annoying when your mobile network operator are so
oversubscribed/old-fashioned that I had to wait over 6 months before I
could update to Android ICS... I really don't want my ability to update the
software on my phone to be controlled by a teleco, and these large teleco's
really should have Akamai caches in place by now - if they even know what
that is.


On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 8:22 PM, Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 I own a galaxy note 2..tmo ran an update that pushed to unique IMEI's
 sequentially. That way, you do not..

 1. Murder your last mike packet network, which is your bandwidth
 bottleneck.

 2. Murder your ggsn/whateverpacketnodeyouwant closer to the core.

 3. Anger your paying customers who would like to use packet data
 successfully on an ios download day.

 These people (Apple) represent themselves as smart guys, but their actions
 reflect otherwise. I bet this would be a larger deal to Nanog people if
 your Internet stopped working as the result of 100% Linux adoption. That is
 very close to what this is.. Tens of millions of people trying to update
 their 13 ios devices at the same time. Who owns a single ios device? A
 household could do 5-10gb worth of updates in a single day..

 I personally do not own an ios device, and I see close to 3 gigs worth of
 update traffic at my house. These things are everywhere, and this problem
 will not stop.


 Sent from my Mobile Device.


  Original message 
 From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
 Date: 09/19/2013 11:16 AM (GMT-08:00)
 To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
 Cc: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:

  Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
 a single day?

 They don't, these are users who actively goes into the software upgrade
 menu and pressing upgrade.

 I believe the nagging won't start for quite some time.

 --
 Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-21 Thread Jean-Francois Mezei


http://www.electronista.com/articles/13/09/20/upgrading.spike.doubled.some.isp.traffic.12.percent.worldwide.internet.usage.jump/

##
Upgrading spike doubled some ISP traffic; 12 percent worldwide Internet
usage jump

...

Analytics company Mixpanel estimates that more than 130 million users
had updated their devices within the first 10 hours of availability, out
of a potential iOS 7-eligible base of 415 million.

...

The spikes, reported by The Guardian in the UK, focus on British ISP
reports and show that demand hit its peak about 3.5 hours after the
official release. This would have been around the time Apple servers
began to recover from the initial wave of downloaders as users struggled
in the first few hours to download the free iOS upgrade, which ranged in
size from 750MB to 1.4GB depending on what device was being updated.

...

At one point in the initial surge, a British Telecom (BT) spokesperson
reported that the provider was seeing traffic of over 200 Gigabits per
second, the highest the company has ever recorded. Lonap said that
overall high-use traffic, which averages up to 30 Gigabits per second,
spiked to just under 60Gb per second late Wednesday evening as the
upgrade became available, and raised the daily peak time traffic to
nearly 40Gb per second on Thursday.

The paper also reported that Germany's Berlin Internet Exchange saw
traffic rise precipitously -- more than 10Gb per second over normal
traffic levels -- as iOS 7 came online. Data from Akamai, a company that
distributes and manages Internet backbone traffic, suggested that
overall worldwide usage jumped 12 percent above normal levels as the
download became available.

##





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread TR Shaw
Just as a note.

On Sep 19, 2013, at 6:57 PM, Brandon Galbraith wrote:

 1) Rate limit the software update download (Us)
 
 2) Have device OS download the update in the background, and be resilient
 to failures with retries (Manufacturer)
 
Apple already does this in the iTunes update the ios device mode.

 3) Don't present the update notification to the user until the update blob
 is already cached on the device (Manufacturer)
 
Apple also already does this.  However, manual checks/updates can be done. When 
there is so much buzz on the news and given Apple customers zeal a large 
percentage manually invoke the update.

 Only in a perfect world though.
 
 
 On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 5:49 PM, joel jaeggli joe...@bogus.com wrote:
 
 On 9/19/13 3:29 PM, Warren Bailey wrote:
 Your software updates (you meaning a user of the Internet) should not
 affect my experience. I'm not advocating we go back to 5.25 floppies and
 never look back. I'm asking..
 
 Is there a way for a COMPUTER and PHONE manufacturer to distribute their
 software without destroying most last mile connectivity?
 
 Who else has had traffic surges like this?
 
 Flash traffic occurs, sometimes people fly planes into things, sometimes
 nuclear reactors melt down, earthquakes or hurricanes occur  or cables
 are segmented due to underwater landslides. and what infrastructure that
 is left shifts abruptly from terrestrial to sattelite or gets droppped
 on the floor. the best you can ask for on an instantanious basis is
 graceful degredation under load.
 
 this happens to not be weather.so maybe you can do something about it.
 but ultimately a certain number of bytes have to be transfered and given
 the architecture, the flash was driven by the consumer and not by
 software automation, if we want the later to control it consumer choice
 has to be taken out of the loop, which may or may not be palatable.
 
 And who else has a Nanog strike team coming in screaming buy more
 bandwidth? ;)
 
 
 Sent from my Mobile Device.
 
 
  Original message 
 From: Ryan Harden harde...@uchicago.edu
 Date: 09/19/2013 3:04 PM (GMT-08:00)
 To: Jeroen van Aart jer...@mompl.net
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 
 
 On Sep 19, 2013, at 3:11 PM, Jeroen van Aart jer...@mompl.net wrote:
 
 On 09/19/2013 12:06 PM, Ryan Harden wrote:
 As a side note, how are some of you not aware of this? This has
 happened with every single Apple OS update since the iPhone was released in
 2007.
 
 The difference is there are now a couple more million devices out
 there than there were in 2007. And in 2007 there was just the one phone,
 now you have tablets and what have you.
 
 The effect has been relatively the same regardless of how many iDevices
 there are. Network Operators have seen spikes during Apple OS releases
 since they started. The only leeway I'll give you is that the original
 iPhone only supported 802.11b. With .11n and someday .11ac, the ability for
 these devices to consume data at a faster rate is also increasing.
 
 
 This isn't a new phenomenon. I realize some of you are too cool for
 Apple
 
 Lame low ball remark, however I thought it was the opposite,
 Apple==coolness?
 
 This was in no way meant to be a lowball remark. But it doesn't take
 much searching to find people exclaiming how they have zero Apple devices
 or how they don't pay attention to Apple's iJunk. I assumed (probably
 mistakenly) that the lack of knowing this is going to happen roughly 2-3
 times a year was due to being 'too cool' to keep up with the stuff Apple
 puts out.
 
 
 Regards,
 Jeroen
 
 --
 Earthquake Magnitude: 5.3
 Date: 2013-09-19  17:25:09.350 UTC
 Location: 19km ESE of Ishikawa, Japan
 Latitude: 37.0716; Longitude: 140.6495
 Depth: 22.22 km | e-quake.org
 
 
 
 
 
 




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Tom Taylor



On 19/09/2013 9:29 PM, Jeff Kell wrote:

On 9/19/2013 5:29 PM, Warren Bailey wrote:

So you understand things aren't always metro e.. That's what I was trying to 
say. I still have a coupler.. ;)

 Original message 
From: Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org

Actually, I started out with a 300 baud acoustic modem.  You know, the kind 
where you take the handset and jam it into two cups?  But I digress…


Bah!  That was a take-home convenience.  How about the old ASR TeleType
with the 110-baud link to get a hardcopy listing?

Jeff



Ah, distinctly I remember. The ASR shook the whole house when it started 
typing things out. I was using a government tie line from Ottawa to 
Toronto, and occasionally the operator would break in to investigate the 
long call with funny noises.


Tom



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Stephen Frost
* Ben (ben+na...@list-subs.com) wrote:
 No need for you to bash Apple in this instance.

What this conversation badly needs is a sub-thread about whatever
happened to the technical solutions which would address this issue (eg:
mbone).

Of course, I know what happened and what the issues are there, but it'd
be fun to watch people complain about how Apple should try and do the
right thing and make multicast work for their updates, 'cause it's the
right technical solution.

Thanks,

Stephen


signature.asc
Description: Digital signature


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Ben



Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
single day?



(a) That's why god invented the concept of CDNsto take the stress of 
the more contended parts of an operators network.  ;-)
(b) Its not just Apple but any vendor (e.g. Microsloth) their 
updates are released to the world at the same time.
(c) Your user is paying you to push packets. If that's causing you a 
problem, you either need to review your commercial structure (i.e. 
charge people more) or your technical network design. Face the facts, 
what with everyone jumping on the cloud bandwagon, the future is only 
going to see you pushing more packets, not less !  So if you can't stand 
the heat, get out of the kitchen (or the xSP industry). ;-)


No need for you to bash Apple in this instance.




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Jared Mauch

On Sep 19, 2013, at 7:13 PM, Mark Andrews ma...@isc.org wrote:

 Oh you mean that option that never made it past a internet-draft
 that expired 13 years ago[1] and is in the private range[2] to boot.
 
 If you want proxy discovery to work on all devices complete the
 process of getting a code point allocated then get the OS vendors
 to query for it.  252 is fine for experimenting / proof of concept
 but it really is the wrong value for long term use.
 
 Mark
 
 [1] http://tools.ietf.org/html/draft-ietf-wrec-wpad-01
 [2] 
 http://www.iana.org/assignments/bootp-dhcp-parameters/bootp-dhcp-parameters.xhtml
 

Sure!

I've found that Microsoft devices honor this option, but others do not.

I would be in support of something similar to provide this support, but the 
part of my original reply you missed is that the content is deliberately 
not-cachable on the part of either the CDN or the originator.  Microsoft 
patches are also not easily cacheable as well because they only request about 
100Kb per request, so you get an awful lot of HTTP/206.

They also make it easier to run local caches for an enterprise.

The apple process requires the full patch to come down in one-shot and doesn't 
like being interrupted.

It might be easier for Warren to ship each customer a 16GB USB with the whole 
set of images for each device type.  Then again, they would have to know how to 
use them I know what to do, but my other family members, not so much...

- Jared



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Mark Andrews

In message f11ff3cf-d363-4af0-a030-b72cd68dd...@puck.nether.net, Jared Mauch 
writes:

 On Sep 19, 2013, at 7:13 PM, Mark Andrews ma...@isc.org wrote:

  Oh you mean that option that never made it past a internet-draft
  that expired 13 years ago[1] and is in the private range[2] to boot.
 
  If you want proxy discovery to work on all devices complete the
  process of getting a code point allocated then get the OS vendors
  to query for it.  252 is fine for experimenting / proof of concept
  but it really is the wrong value for long term use.
 
  Mark
 
  [1] http://tools.ietf.org/html/draft-ietf-wrec-wpad-01
  [2]
 http://www.iana.org/assignments/bootp-dhcp-parameters/bootp-dhcp-parameter
 s.xhtml
 

 Sure!

 I've found that Microsoft devices honor this option, but others do not.

 I would be in support of something similar to provide this support, but
 the part of my original reply you missed is that the content is
 deliberately not-cachable on the part of either the CDN or the
 originator.  Microsoft patches are also not easily cacheable as well
 because they only request about 100Kb per request, so you get an awful
 lot of HTTP/206.

 They also make it easier to run local caches for an enterprise.

 The apple process requires the full patch to come down in one-shot and
 doesn't like being interrupted.

 It might be easier for Warren to ship each customer a 16GB USB with the
 whole set of images for each device type.  Then again, they would have to
 know how to use them I know what to do, but my other family members,
 not so much...

 - Jared

So you fix one part at a time.  Each part is independently fixable.  Each
part helps by itself.

Mark
-- 
Mark Andrews, ISC
1 Seymour St., Dundas Valley, NSW 2117, Australia
PHONE: +61 2 9871 4742 INTERNET: ma...@isc.org



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Larry Sheldon

On 9/20/2013 5:55 PM, Mark Andrews wrote:

So you fix one part at a time.  Each part is independently fixable.  Each
part helps by itself.


I wonder it the thing that needs to be fixed first involves opening a 
dialog between Engineering and Marketing over which the message Don't 
sell stuff we can't deliver might be passed.


And just maybe some we are going public with a new whatever in 6 
months, here is [some meaningful amount of money], get us ready. 
messages in the opposite direction?



--
Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
of System Administrators:
Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
learn from their mistakes.
  (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Larry Sheldon

From a Facebook posting:


So need the masses input.. If you updated to iOS 7... Wed I installed
it, it was fine. Thursday fine as well. But today.. It just wants to
keep resetting itself every 15-20 mins. It's just on my 4s... Any one
else having this issue? Just wondering.






--
Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
of System Administrators:
Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
learn from their mistakes.
  (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-20 Thread Mikeal Clark
I've seen 4s with the panic.list problem after upgrade.  Apple claims
hardware issue.


On Fri, Sep 20, 2013 at 8:13 PM, Larry Sheldon larryshel...@cox.net wrote:

 From a Facebook posting:

  So need the masses input.. If you updated to iOS 7... Wed I installed
 it, it was fine. Thursday fine as well. But today.. It just wants to
 keep resetting itself every 15-20 mins. It's just on my 4s... Any one
 else having this issue? Just wondering.






 --
 Requiescas in pace o email   Two identifying characteristics
 of System Administrators:
 Ex turpi causa non oritur actio  Infallibility, and the ability to
 learn from their mistakes.
   (Adapted from Stephen Pinker)




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread TR Shaw
Haven't updated my iPad yet but the iPhone update size was 1.12GB

On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:05 PM, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote:

 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:
 
 
 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...
 
 The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950 
 megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these 
 amounts to download...
 
 -- 
 Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se
 




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Seth Mattinen

On 9/19/13 10:58 AM, Paul Ferguson wrote:


Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
caused this...



iOS 7 itself was implemented.

~Seth



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Nick Olsen
IOS7 was released (Yesterday?). Due to the large number of IOS devices out 
in the world. Some network operators experienced large spikes in traffic as 
each device was updated (Downloading the update). You see the same thing 
happen when new software is released from people like Microsoft. Or, If 
you're a gamer. When a new game is released on a digitally delivered 
platform like Steam or EA's Origin.

Nick Olsen
Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106


From: Paul Ferguson fer...@people.ops-trust.net
Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2013 1:58 PM
To: n...@flhsi.com, nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened 
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this 
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that 
caused this...

Thanks in adavnce,

- ferg

On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:

 We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
 We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above
 average today as well.
 Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users 
in
 the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
 Nick Olsen
 Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106

 
 From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
 Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
 To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

 On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:

 We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
 The same happened on previous iOS too.

 I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double
 what we would see on a normal weekday.

 jms

 Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our 
ISP
 here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?

 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
 TenGigabitEthernet0/7]

 Zachary McGibbon









-- 
Paul Ferguson
Vice President, Threat Intelligence
Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Justin M. Streiner

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:


Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
caused this...


I think this was just the traffic to download iOS 7 to everyones' relevant 
Apple devices.  I don't know how large the update was (maybe a few hundred 
MB per device?), but I guess everyone got the notification or their 
devices started automatically downloading around the same time.  The vast 
majority of the traffic here (large .edu) happened between about 1 and 5 
PM yesterday.


jms



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread TR Shaw
Major update  provides many of 5S functionality to the 5, 4S,  4

On Sep 19, 2013, at 1:58 PM, Paul Ferguson wrote:

 
 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...
 
 Thanks in adavnce,
 
 - ferg
 
 On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:
 
 We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
 We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above
 average today as well.
 Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users in
 the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
 Nick Olsen
 Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106
 
 
 From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
 Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
 To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:
 
 We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
 The same happened on previous iOS too.
 
 I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double
 what we would see on a normal weekday.
 
 jms
 
 Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our ISP
 here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?
 
 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
 TenGigabitEthernet0/7]
 
 Zachary McGibbon
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 -- 
 Paul Ferguson
 Vice President, Threat Intelligence
 Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
 IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com
 
 




RE: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Darren O'Connor
It was released

Thanks
Darren
http://www.mellowd.co.uk/ccie



 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 2013 10:58:24 -0700
 From: fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
 To: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 
 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...
 
 Thanks in adavnce,
 
 - ferg
 
 On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:
 
  We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
  We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above
  average today as well.
  Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users in
  the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
  Nick Olsen
  Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106
 
  
  From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
  Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
  To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
  Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
  On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:
 
  We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
  The same happened on previous iOS too.
 
  I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double
  what we would see on a normal weekday.
 
  jms
 
  Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
  So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our ISP
  here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?
 
  [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
  TenGigabitEthernet0/7]
 
  Zachary McGibbon
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 -- 
 Paul Ferguson
 Vice President, Threat Intelligence
 Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
 IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com
 
 
  

Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Paul Ferguson


Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
caused this...

Thanks in adavnce,

- ferg

On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:


We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above
average today as well.
Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users in
the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
Nick Olsen
Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106


From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:


We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
The same happened on previous iOS too.


I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double
what we would see on a normal weekday.

jms


Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:

So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our ISP
here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?

[image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
TenGigabitEthernet0/7]

Zachary McGibbon













--
Paul Ferguson
Vice President, Threat Intelligence
Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Nick Olsen
We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above 
average today as well.
Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users in 
the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
Nick Olsen
Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106


From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:

 We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
 The same happened on previous iOS too.

I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double 
what we would see on a normal weekday.

jms

 Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our ISP
 here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?

 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
 TenGigabitEthernet0/7]

 Zachary McGibbon








Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Mikael Abrahamsson

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:



Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
caused this...


The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950 
megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these 
amounts to download...


--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Joe Abley

On 2013-09-19, at 13:58, Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com wrote:

 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...

I think the inference is that iOS 7 caused the extra traffic by being available 
for download.

There are just a lot of Apple devices, and they tend to get upgraded more 
promptly than other platforms (e.g. on release day). We saw a similar 
phenomenon tracking downloads of the root zone DNSSEC trust anchor from 
data.iana.org -- we now see three million downloads per month, and pretty much 
all of those are iOS devices (or other devices impersonating them, which seems 
unlikely).


Joe




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Paul Ferguson
Okay, that makes sense. Just wanted to ensure it wasn't something more 
sinister.


Thanks,

- ferg

On 9/19/2013 11:05 AM, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote:


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:



Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
caused this...


The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these
amounts to download...




--
Paul Ferguson
Vice President, Threat Intelligence
Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Phil Bedard
Tens of millions of devices multiplied times a fairly large download =
lots of bandwidth.  It has an appreciable affect on the worldwide
Internet. I would love to see some aggregate statistics.

With most phones the carrier takes care of doing phone software updates
and rollouts over a period of time since they all have customized versions
of Android/Windows Phone/etc.  Apple controls their phone software so they
just hit the switch at a certain data/time and let as many people update
as their servers can handle.  Not to mention all the IPads which they
chose to update at the same time.

Last time around we saw a sustained increase in traffic for about a week
after the release date.

-Phil






On 9/19/13 1:58 PM, Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com wrote:


Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
caused this...

Thanks in adavnce,

- ferg

On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:

 We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
 We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above
 average today as well.
 Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users
in
 the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
 Nick Olsen
 Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106

 
 From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
 Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
 To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

 On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:

 We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
 The same happened on previous iOS too.

 I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double
 what we would see on a normal weekday.

 jms

 Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our
ISP
 here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?

 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
 TenGigabitEthernet0/7]

 Zachary McGibbon










-- 
Paul Ferguson
Vice President, Threat Intelligence
Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com







Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
Composed on a virtual keyboard, please forgive typos. 

On Sep 19, 2013, at 13:58, Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com wrote:

 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...

BING for ios adoption rate (one estimate is 29% in 16 hours), multiply by # 
of iThings, multiply by size of iOS, divide by # of seconds in estimate. 

As for why so many users upgrade so fast, that's a harder question. It could be 
iThing users are more willing to believe the fruit company's advertising (hype) 
. Could be that the device tells them to upgrade so they do. It is also at 
least partially due to the fact all iThings are upgradable (within a certain 
age horizon).

Hope that gives you something to chew on, even if it doesn't answer the 
question. 

-- 
TTFN,
patrick 

 On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:
 
 We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
 We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above
 average today as well.
 Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users in
 the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
 Nick Olsen
 Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106
 
 
 From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
 Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
 To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:
 
 We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
 The same happened on previous iOS too.
 
 I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double
 what we would see on a normal weekday.
 
 jms
 
 Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our ISP
 here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?
 
 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
 TenGigabitEthernet0/7]
 
 Zachary McGibbon
 
 
 -- 
 Paul Ferguson
 Vice President, Threat Intelligence
 Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
 IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com
 
 


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
http://images.mirror.co.uk/upl/m4/jun2011/6/0/image-5-for-riots-break-out-a
fter-vancouver-canucks-lose-the-nhl-stanley-cup-playoffs-to-the-boston-brui
ns-gallery-116084753.jpg

Good example of the flash crowds post hockey championship It's not all
butterflies, Abley.. LOL

On 9/19/13 11:42 AM, Joe Abley jab...@hopcount.ca wrote:


On 2013-09-19, at 14:11, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think
of a single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform...
Which leads me to this question :
 
 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
a single day?

How is this different from the flash crowds caused by hockey
championships, or football games, or any of the other things that
generate a lot of simultaneous interest every once in a while?

 Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible
for getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why
are they not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?

Given that the code is signed, I'm surprised that iDevices that have
already upgraded the hard way don't advertise a update available
service on local networks. Individual devices don't care where the
updates come from, so long as the signatures are good.

You'd think that'd have the potential to improve the user experience as
well as avoid jamming the tubes, especially in highly multi-user
environments like university campuses; it could probably halve the
network load in a significant number of home networks, too.


Joe





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
A line, is a line, is a line, is a line.

There's no difference. Updates are available to all devices on a download
day, and providers networks are drastically reduced in capacity as a
result. Apple does not cut them checks to serve it up, why should that
traffic be more important than anything else? I'd DSCP updates to best
effort hell and tell Apple I'd like a small share of the revenue they've
gained from all the devices *I* am responsible for updating. They're not
getting these updates OTA often, they actually advocate (shocking, ATT
wanting to save bandwidth) using your home Wi-Fi to download it. Providers
can handle peaks, but SURGES begin to cause problems quickly. On
narrowband pipes, we actually KILL updates.. They screw us that hard.

On 9/19/13 11:43 AM, Cutler James R james.cut...@consultant.com wrote:

On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
a single day?

Apple does not send updates.  The user device must request an update.

--As a side note, IOS 7 fixes/improves iDevices in multiple areas, making
it a compelling upgrade.




James R. Cutler
james.cut...@consultant.com










Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Fred Reimer
Why should Apple care if providers have oversubscribed lines or not?  As
far as I know, Akamai delivers most of the data anyway, so it is not
coming all from Apple.  I don't know for sure, but I doubt they have
enough bandwidth themselves to saturate so many links concurrently.  Apple
also does not push the updates, it is pulled to the device when the users
tell the device to retrieve it.  So blame your users, not Apple.  It is
also my understanding that any updates they do push are staged so they all
don't go out the same time.

On 9/19/13 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of
a single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform...
Which leads me to this question :

Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a
single day?

Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for
getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are
they not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
Date: 09/19/2013 11:08 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:


 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...

The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these
amounts to download...

--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
Composed on a virtual keyboard, please forgive typos. 

On Sep 19, 2013, at 14:11, Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of a 
 single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform... Which 
 leads me to this question :
 
 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
 single day?

That question makes no sense to me. Turn that around: Why would Apple think 
that is not OK?


 Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for 
 getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are they 
 not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?

Most providers are offered a cache for free (there is a minimum traffic volume, 
but it is not even as large as Netflix's requirements). Every provider, 
regardless of traffic, is offered peering for free. 

What was the problem again?

-- 
TTFN,
patrick


  Original message 
 From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
 Date: 09/19/2013 11:08 AM (GMT-08:00)
 To: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
 Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 
 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:
 
 
 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...
 
 The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
 megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these
 amounts to download...
 
 --
 Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se
 



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 18:11:11 -, Warren Bailey said:

 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
 single day?

How is Patch Tuesday any different?


pgpOIAByDzs9N.pgp
Description: PGP signature


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
How about add a cache in your time capsule/thing that everyone connects to?

I mean, would it be THAT hard to enable a bonjour update server on an
apple router/computer/whatever and serve things up locally from there?
I've had many replies to this email already, and people are talking about
upgrading bandwidth and CDN's.

We own and operate a satellite data network. It is narrow band.. It is
very expensive. Oversub matters.. Time slots matter. When we (industry,
collectively) have to deal with hundreds of gigs worth of traffic it's a
tough day.

I just can't understand why these big boys have forgotten most of the
planet doesn't have a 100gbps pipe anywhere near them, a lot of the
earth actually doesn't have communications infrastructure at all. The
quick WE HAVE ENOUGH INTERNETS NOW doesn't apply to every system, nor
does it explain why an update needs to be sent relentlessly to individual
devices (requested or not) over the course of a product's evolution.
Things are not created equal amongst internet providers, a transponder
(90mbps ish) runs us close to 160k a month and that's not including gear
costs, teleport, etc.

We strive to provide a great customer experience, and when Hardware Maker
X decides to roll updates .. It can screw us. In this case, can means
absolutely will happen.

My .02. Not trying to start a flame thing or tell people what's what..
Just trying to get a point across. You don't need to send things
individually now.. We live in the future.. We should act like it.

On 9/19/13 12:10 PM, Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org wrote:

O.K., I understand.  Yes, for the average user I suppose they would blame
their ISP.  I was making the wrong assumption that people understood how
the Internet works.  At the same time, people would probably be more
upset, at least the Apple fanboys, if they metered the updates and some
people had to wait two or three weeks for their update to keep the traffic
manageable.  The only general news stories I see in a quick search are
complaints that the downloads are slow, not that the general Internet is
slow because of the downloadsŠ


From:  Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Reply-To:  Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Date:  Thursday, September 19, 2013 2:52 PM
To:  Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org, Mikael Abrahamsson
swm...@swm.pp.se, Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
Cc:  NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject:  Re: iOS 7 update traffic


My.. Our..  Users expect one thing..

Internet. 

It is our job to make that happen. When a electronics manufacturer
decides to enable updates for all of their phones world wide.. It breaks
things. 


When the Internet breaks, it is my fault. Your Apple update sucked
because of me.. There is no it must be apple, as you pointed out
earlier. I'm simply saying.. It's a dick move to globally enable updates
on a single day and tell ISP's to deal with it.


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org
Date: 09/19/2013 11:48 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com,Mikael
Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se,Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com

Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic



Why should Apple care if providers have oversubscribed lines or not?  As
far as I know, Akamai delivers most of the data anyway, so it is not
coming all from Apple.  I don't know for sure, but I doubt they have
enough bandwidth themselves to saturate so many links concurrently.
Apple
also does not push the updates, it is pulled to the device when the users
tell the device to retrieve it.  So blame your users, not Apple.  It is
also my understanding that any updates they do push are staged so they
all
don't go out the same time.

On 9/19/13 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think
of
a single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform...
Which leads me to this question :

Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
a
single day?

Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for
getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are
they not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
Date: 09/19/2013 11:08 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:


 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell
happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...

The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times

Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
(merging 2 replies)

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:11:21 -, Warren Bailey said:
 Patch Tuesday is not 1gb per patch.

It is those months a service pack comes out.

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 18:22:50 -, Warren Bailey said:
 These people (Apple) represent themselves as smart guys, but their actions 
 reflect otherwise.

No - their actions *are* those of smart guys.  They knew damned well that
they didn't need to add capacity, because the chances that they'll lose
an iOS customer to Android over slow update speeds is infinitesimal. In other
words, they successfully made the bandwidth consumption an externality.

(What, like you don't look at *your* network and wonder How can I stick
somebody else with the cost of XYZ?.  :)


pgpQMCvJse05L.pgp
Description: PGP signature


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Gabriel Blanchard

On 13-09-19 02:46 PM, Warren Bailey wrote:
 A line, is a line, is a line, is a line.

 There's no difference. Updates are available to all devices on a download
 day, and providers networks are drastically reduced in capacity as a
 result. Apple does not cut them checks to serve it up, why should that
 traffic be more important than anything else? I'd DSCP updates to best
 effort hell and tell Apple I'd like a small share of the revenue they've
 gained from all the devices *I* am responsible for updating. They're not
 getting these updates OTA often, they actually advocate (shocking, ATT
 wanting to save bandwidth) using your home Wi-Fi to download it. Providers
 can handle peaks, but SURGES begin to cause problems quickly. On
 narrowband pipes, we actually KILL updates.. They screw us that hard.
You fail at internet, please try again later.



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
Patch Tuesday is not 1gb per patch.

On 9/19/13 11:51 AM, valdis.kletni...@vt.edu valdis.kletni...@vt.edu
wrote:

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 18:11:11 -, Warren Bailey said:

 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
a single day?

How is Patch Tuesday any different?




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Joe Abley

On 2013-09-19, at 14:11, Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com 
wrote:

 I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of a 
 single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform... Which 
 leads me to this question :
 
 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
 single day?

How is this different from the flash crowds caused by hockey championships, or 
football games, or any of the other things that generate a lot of simultaneous 
interest every once in a while?

 Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for 
 getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are they 
 not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?

Given that the code is signed, I'm surprised that iDevices that have already 
upgraded the hard way don't advertise a update available service on local 
networks. Individual devices don't care where the updates come from, so long as 
the signatures are good.

You'd think that'd have the potential to improve the user experience as well as 
avoid jamming the tubes, especially in highly multi-user environments like 
university campuses; it could probably halve the network load in a significant 
number of home networks, too.


Joe




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Cutler James R
On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
 single day?

Apple does not send updates.  The user device must request an update.

--As a side note, IOS 7 fixes/improves iDevices in multiple areas, making it a 
compelling upgrade.




James R. Cutler
james.cut...@consultant.com









Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Fred Reimer
Woah there.  I think you are crossing another line, or at least opening
another topic of discussion, when you start talking about transit or last
mile providers charging companies for bandwidth that their customers are
already paying for.  I'd suggest a subject change if we want to open a
discussion on that topic.


On 9/19/13 2:46 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

A line, is a line, is a line, is a line.

There's no difference. Updates are available to all devices on a download
day, and providers networks are drastically reduced in capacity as a
result. Apple does not cut them checks to serve it up, why should that
traffic be more important than anything else? I'd DSCP updates to best
effort hell and tell Apple I'd like a small share of the revenue they've
gained from all the devices *I* am responsible for updating. They're not
getting these updates OTA often, they actually advocate (shocking, ATT
wanting to save bandwidth) using your home Wi-Fi to download it. Providers
can handle peaks, but SURGES begin to cause problems quickly. On
narrowband pipes, we actually KILL updates.. They screw us that hard.

On 9/19/13 11:43 AM, Cutler James R james.cut...@consultant.com wrote:

On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
a single day?

Apple does not send updates.  The user device must request an update.

--As a side note, IOS 7 fixes/improves iDevices in multiple areas, making
it a compelling upgrade.




James R. Cutler
james.cut...@consultant.com












Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Ryan Brooks
Sounds like a great plan.  You could do it for Netflix, Hulu, amazon, 
Walmart, etc.   Get a piece of the action.Am I talking to Verizon?


On 9/19/13 1:46 PM, Warren Bailey wrote:

A line, is a line, is a line, is a line.

There's no difference. Updates are available to all devices on a download
day, and providers networks are drastically reduced in capacity as a
result. Apple does not cut them checks to serve it up, why should that
traffic be more important than anything else? I'd DSCP updates to best
effort hell and tell Apple I'd like a small share of the revenue they've
gained from all the devices *I* am responsible for updating. They're not
getting these updates OTA often, they actually advocate (shocking, ATT
wanting to save bandwidth) using your home Wi-Fi to download it. Providers
can handle peaks, but SURGES begin to cause problems quickly. On
narrowband pipes, we actually KILL updates.. They screw us that hard.






Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Jethro R Binks
On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Cutler James R wrote:

 --As a side note, IOS 7 fixes/improves iDevices in multiple areas, 
 making it a compelling upgrade.

That's supposed to be the nature of upgrades.  If that's where the matter 
ended then you'd have no argument.

The problem is when it comes to the new bugs that get introduced, and 
whether they affect features you care about.

I'm holding back until next week :) (And after previous bitter experience 
with over-the-air upgrade, I've downloaded it through iTunes to a desktop 
and will upgrade it by wire at my leisure).

Jethro.

.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .
Jethro R Binks, Network Manager,
Information Services Directorate, University Of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK

The University of Strathclyde is a charitable body, registered in
Scotland, number SC015263.



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Cutler James R
On Sep 19, 2013, at 3:10 PM, Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org wrote:

  I was making the wrong assumption that people understood how
 the Internet works.

Absolutely!

Most people understand that the internet works by use of a browser and are 
content with that knowledge. Much like most motor vehicle operators understand 
accelerator, brake, steering, and gas pump, with no knowledge of 
thermodynamics, much less physics or traffic laws.



James R. Cutler
james.cut...@consultant.com







Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Jared Mauch
The attitude in this email I have encountered elsewhere.  Apple pays for 
bandwidth, customers pay for access. Not sure why their release strategy is so 
highly critiqued. Microsoft and others have their own strategies for 
incremental downloads, caching, etc.. Apple has theirs. 

Seems like most consumers want the update and are actively fetching it vs 
having older software live forever and not be updated. Overall I see this as a 
win. 

Jared Mauch

 On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey 
 wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:
 
 I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of a 
 single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform... Which 
 leads me to this question :
 
 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
 single day?



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
Absolutely correct. Large file updates etc are not an issue for wide band
communications networks. If you have 10mbps to your house with a 30ms
delay to your first hop.. You're sitting pretty.

If you have a 1mbps/512kbps pipe with a built in 750ms latency, things get
a little more complicated. Add in the fact that our bandwidth is insanely
expensive (link budgets put 1mbps are at about 1MHz *1bits/hz* which costs
roughly $3800 a month in sky access ONLY). We have some challenges, and we
try (sometimes actually succeed) to get data from point A to point B in an
acceptable time frame. The issue is.. When a user begins to EXCEED their
general usage things in contention land get pretty hairy. If my 500 remote
locations are running on 10MHz worth of capacity (about 10mbps down, 2mbps
up) at a 10:1 or 20:1 oversub things get tight sometimes. Imagine an
entire user base trying to update their electronic devices on something
that feels like 56k.

All things on the internet are not created equal, and I can accept that. I
can accept that I/we have challenges, but I would figure that those of you
who had easier lives would want to share that ease with us who are doing
things a little differently. I'm not saying poor us, we need love.. I'm
just saying.. I would really appreciate if those of you in the industry
who are responsible for these types of scenarios could think about the
people who are paying a lot of money, for a very little amount of
bandwidth. We don't tier our service by usage cap, but if
Apple/Microsoft/whoever increases their update rate we may have to end up
looking at something like that.

Big files, over a little pipe, with little margin for improvement, is
hard. It wouldn't be *THAT* hard to help out those who are trying to make
communications available to a much larger customer base than a traditional
ISP. 

Group Hug.

//warren

On 9/19/13 1:08 PM, Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org wrote:

I certainly don't want to put words in his mouth, but I thin Warren's
problem is that he can't upgrade his pipes.  Physics limits the bandwidth
available, as I think he is a satellite provider.  My argument is that if
I'm a satellite user I should be well aware, particularly because this is
not a new phenomenon, that there are times when my bandwidth will suck.
It is what it is.


On 9/19/13 3:06 PM, Ryan Harden harde...@uchicago.edu wrote:

To be honest, I don't see this as a problem at all. Use it as an excuse
to upgrade your pipes, talk Akamai or CDN of choice into putting a cache
on your network, or implement your own caching solution. As operators of
the Internet we should be looking for ways to enable things like this,
not be up in arms at Apple for releasing an update to their phone OS or
making it available in a way that's inconvenient to our oversubscription
policies.

As a side note, how are some of you not aware of this? This has happened
with every single Apple OS update since the iPhone was released in 2007.
This isn't a new phenomenon. I realize some of you are too cool for
Apple, but paying attention to traffic trends and keeping abreast of how
new software releases might affect your utilization is part of properly
running a network.

/Ryan

Ryan Harden
Senior Network Engineer
University of Chicago - AS160
P: 773-834-5441




On Sep 19, 2013, at 1:22 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 I own a galaxy note 2..tmo ran an update that pushed to unique IMEI's
sequentially. That way, you do not..
 
 1. Murder your last mike packet network, which is your bandwidth
bottleneck.
 
 2. Murder your ggsn/whateverpacketnodeyouwant closer to the core.
 
 3. Anger your paying customers who would like to use packet data
successfully on an ios download day.
 
 These people (Apple) represent themselves as smart guys, but their
actions reflect otherwise. I bet this would be a larger deal to Nanog
people if your Internet stopped working as the result of 100% Linux
adoption. That is very close to what this is.. Tens of millions of
people trying to update their 13 ios devices at the same time. Who owns
a single ios device? A household could do 5-10gb worth of updates in a
single day..
 
 I personally do not own an ios device, and I see close to 3 gigs worth
of update traffic at my house. These things are everywhere, and this
problem will not stop.
 
 
 Sent from my Mobile Device.
 
 
  Original message 
 From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
 Date: 09/19/2013 11:16 AM (GMT-08:00)
 To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
 Cc: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 
 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:
 
 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update
on a single day?
 
 They don't, these are users who actively goes into the software upgrade
 menu and pressing upgrade.
 
 I believe the nagging won't start for quite some time.
 
 --
 Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm

Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Bryan Irvine
My iPhone4 was about 600MB IIRC.  My iPad mini was about that.  I have
about 7 iDevices between everyone in my immediate family.  FWIW not a
single one has actually received the notification yet.  I've only manually
done my 2 devices.  I'm waiting to see how long it takes before I get the
'official' notification of an update on the others.


On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 11:12 AM, TR Shaw ts...@oitc.com wrote:

 Haven't updated my iPad yet but the iPhone update size was 1.12GB

 On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:05 PM, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote:

  On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:
 
 
  Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
  that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
  thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
  caused this...
 
  The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
 megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these
 amounts to download...
 
  --
  Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se
 





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Stephen Fulton

+1

If you do not/cannot have an Akamai cache, connect to an IX that does, 
and make sure you've got the capacity.  My own rule of thumb is have 2x 
the capacity of your average *peak* traffic on an IX.  When big events 
happen, whether it is news, sporting or a major software update, that 
extra capacity will be sorely needed.


At TorIX, most peers traffic jumped by the same percentage that others 
have bandied about on this thread.  One peer jumped almost 100%, but 
they had the right port speed and thus no issues (at least on the Exchange).


Compared to transit in Canada, IX peering is dirt cheap, and pays dividends.

-- Stephen

On 19/09/2013 3:07 PM, Jared Mauch wrote:

The attitude in this email I have encountered elsewhere.  Apple pays for 
bandwidth, customers pay for access. Not sure why their release strategy is so 
highly critiqued. Microsoft and others have their own strategies for 
incremental downloads, caching, etc.. Apple has theirs.

Seems like most consumers want the update and are actively fetching it vs 
having older software live forever and not be updated. Overall I see this as a 
win.

Jared Mauch


On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of a 
single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform... Which leads 
me to this question :

Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
single day?






Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread ML
On 9/18/2013 1:38 PM, Zachary McGibbon wrote:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our ISP
 here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?

 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
 TenGigabitEthernet0/7]

 Zachary McGibbon

Traffic was +1Gbps more than usual during that time on 9/18



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Justin M. Streiner

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:

I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think 
of a single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform... 
Which leads me to this question :


The vast majority of the traffic I saw was served from the Akamai farm at 
an upstream provider, so the pain that was felt 'on the backbone' was 
mitigated somewhat by that.


jms



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Bryan Irvine
Apple actually tries to rate-limit the notifications to prevent this, but
you can just manually go check and hit the upgrade button yourself. It's
pretty well-known that Apple likes to release ~10am, so tens (hundreds?) of
millions of users did just that. Since this update is available for all
iThingies made in the last 4-ish years that means a lot of extra traffic.


On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 7:13 AM, Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
 wrote:

 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:

  Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...


 I think this was just the traffic to download iOS 7 to everyones' relevant
 Apple devices.  I don't know how large the update was (maybe a few hundred
 MB per device?), but I guess everyone got the notification or their devices
 started automatically downloading around the same time.  The vast majority
 of the traffic here (large .edu) happened between about 1 and 5 PM
 yesterday.

 jms




RE: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Garrison Carr
Apple pushed out a new software upgrade for their user interface...a pretty
big upgrade, all the iphone users are downloading it congesting the network.


Garrison Carr 

This email message is intended for the use of the person to whom it has been
sent, and may contain information that is confidential or legally protected.
If you are not the intended recipient or have received this message in
error, you are not authorized to copy, distribute, or otherwise use this
message or its attachments. Please notify the sender immediately by return
e-mail and permanently delete this message and any attachments. NTT America
makes no warranty that this email is error or virus free. Thank you .


-Original Message-
From: Paul Ferguson [mailto:fergdawgs...@mykolab.com] 
Sent: Thursday, September 19, 2013 10:58 AM
To: NANOG
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened that
started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this thread, but
I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that caused this...

Thanks in adavnce,

- ferg

On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:

 We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
 We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above 
 average today as well.
 Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS 
 users in the office started jumping up and down about IOS7 Nick Olsen 
 Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106

 
 From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
 Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
 To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

 On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:

 We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
 The same happened on previous iOS too.

 I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly 
 double what we would see on a normal weekday.

 jms

 Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our 
 ISP here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?

 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) 
 - TenGigabitEthernet0/7]

 Zachary McGibbon










--
Paul Ferguson
Vice President, Threat Intelligence
Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA IID -- Connect and Collaborate
-- www.internetidentity.com






Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Mike A
On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 06:11:11PM +, Warren Bailey wrote:

 I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of a
 single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform... Which
 leads me to this question :

 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a
 single day?

 Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for
 getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are they
 not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?

They didn't make it available to everyone on the same day. My iphone 5 didn't
see it until today; I looked yesterday, and it wasn't available for that
device. I'm busily contributing to the network stress now.

-- 
Mike Andrews, W5EGO
mi...@mikea.ath.cx
Tired old sysadmin 



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Harry Hoffman
They implemented fanboy-lust which :-)

Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com wrote:


Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
caused this...

Thanks in adavnce,

- ferg

On 9/19/2013 10:23 AM, Nick Olsen wrote:

 We also saw a huge spike in traffic. Still pretty high today as well.
 We saw a ~60% above average hit yesterday, And we're at ~20-30% above
 average today as well.
 Being an android user, It didn't dawn on me until some of the IOS users in
 the office started jumping up and down about IOS7
 Nick Olsen
 Network Operations (855) FLSPEED  x106

 
 From: Justin M. Streiner strei...@cluebyfour.org
 Sent: Wednesday, September 18, 2013 6:19 PM
 To: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

 On Wed, 18 Sep 2013, Tassos Chatzithomaoglou wrote:

 We also noticed an interesting spike (+ ~40%), mostly in akamai.
 The same happened on previous iOS too.

 I see it here, too.  At its peak, our traffic levels were roughly double
 what we would see on a normal weekday.

 jms

 Zachary McGibbon wrote on 18/9/2013 20:38:
 So iOS 7 just came out, here's the spike in our graphs going to our ISP
 here at McGill, anyone else noticing a big spike?

 [image: internet-sw1 - Traffic - Te0/7 - To Internet1-srp (IR Canet) -
 TenGigabitEthernet0/7]

 Zachary McGibbon










-- 
Paul Ferguson
Vice President, Threat Intelligence
Internet Identity, Tacoma, Washington  USA
IID -- Connect and Collaborate -- www.internetidentity.com




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Jared Mauch
I might agree if there were no warning, but this has happened a few times a 
year for many years. It's a predictable pattern and well known. 

It will last about a week and taper off. 

Jared Mauch

 On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:52 PM, Warren Bailey 
 wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:
 
 It's a dick move to globally enable updates on a single day and tell ISP's to 
 deal with it.



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Ryan Harden
To be honest, I don't see this as a problem at all. Use it as an excuse to 
upgrade your pipes, talk Akamai or CDN of choice into putting a cache on your 
network, or implement your own caching solution. As operators of the Internet 
we should be looking for ways to enable things like this, not be up in arms at 
Apple for releasing an update to their phone OS or making it available in a way 
that's inconvenient to our oversubscription policies.

As a side note, how are some of you not aware of this? This has happened with 
every single Apple OS update since the iPhone was released in 2007. This isn't 
a new phenomenon. I realize some of you are too cool for Apple, but paying 
attention to traffic trends and keeping abreast of how new software releases 
might affect your utilization is part of properly running a network.

/Ryan

Ryan Harden
Senior Network Engineer
University of Chicago - AS160
P: 773-834-5441




On Sep 19, 2013, at 1:22 PM, Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 I own a galaxy note 2..tmo ran an update that pushed to unique IMEI's 
 sequentially. That way, you do not..
 
 1. Murder your last mike packet network, which is your bandwidth bottleneck.
 
 2. Murder your ggsn/whateverpacketnodeyouwant closer to the core.
 
 3. Anger your paying customers who would like to use packet data successfully 
 on an ios download day.
 
 These people (Apple) represent themselves as smart guys, but their actions 
 reflect otherwise. I bet this would be a larger deal to Nanog people if your 
 Internet stopped working as the result of 100% Linux adoption. That is very 
 close to what this is.. Tens of millions of people trying to update their 13 
 ios devices at the same time. Who owns a single ios device? A household could 
 do 5-10gb worth of updates in a single day..
 
 I personally do not own an ios device, and I see close to 3 gigs worth of 
 update traffic at my house. These things are everywhere, and this problem 
 will not stop.
 
 
 Sent from my Mobile Device.
 
 
  Original message 
 From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
 Date: 09/19/2013 11:16 AM (GMT-08:00)
 To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
 Cc: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 
 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:
 
 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
 single day?
 
 They don't, these are users who actively goes into the software upgrade
 menu and pressing upgrade.
 
 I believe the nagging won't start for quite some time.
 
 --
 Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se



signature.asc
Description: Message signed with OpenPGP using GPGMail


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
I own a galaxy note 2..tmo ran an update that pushed to unique IMEI's 
sequentially. That way, you do not..

1. Murder your last mike packet network, which is your bandwidth bottleneck.

2. Murder your ggsn/whateverpacketnodeyouwant closer to the core.

3. Anger your paying customers who would like to use packet data successfully 
on an ios download day.

These people (Apple) represent themselves as smart guys, but their actions 
reflect otherwise. I bet this would be a larger deal to Nanog people if your 
Internet stopped working as the result of 100% Linux adoption. That is very 
close to what this is.. Tens of millions of people trying to update their 13 
ios devices at the same time. Who owns a single ios device? A household could 
do 5-10gb worth of updates in a single day..

I personally do not own an ios device, and I see close to 3 gigs worth of 
update traffic at my house. These things are everywhere, and this problem will 
not stop.


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
Date: 09/19/2013 11:16 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Cc: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:

 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
 single day?

They don't, these are users who actively goes into the software upgrade
menu and pressing upgrade.

I believe the nagging won't start for quite some time.

--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Doug McIntyre
On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 02:42:12PM -0400, Joe Abley wrote:
 Given that the code is signed, I'm surprised that iDevices that have already 
 upgraded the hard way don't advertise a update available service on local 
 networks. Individual devices don't care where the updates come from, so long 
 as the signatures are good.

Going the other way, Apple will have local update caching as part of
MDM for iOS 7 when it is fully upgraded and rolled out to support iOS
for enterprises. 

But the big push with BYOD is that employees manage their own iDevices.. 




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
My.. Our..  Users expect one thing..

Internet.

It is our job to make that happen. When a electronics manufacturer decides to 
enable updates for all of their phones world wide.. It breaks things.


When the Internet breaks, it is my fault. Your Apple update sucked because of 
me.. There is no it must be apple, as you pointed out earlier. I'm simply 
saying.. It's a dick move to globally enable updates on a single day and tell 
ISP's to deal with it.


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org
Date: 09/19/2013 11:48 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com,Mikael Abrahamsson 
swm...@swm.pp.se,Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


Why should Apple care if providers have oversubscribed lines or not?  As
far as I know, Akamai delivers most of the data anyway, so it is not
coming all from Apple.  I don't know for sure, but I doubt they have
enough bandwidth themselves to saturate so many links concurrently.  Apple
also does not push the updates, it is pulled to the device when the users
tell the device to retrieve it.  So blame your users, not Apple.  It is
also my understanding that any updates they do push are staged so they all
don't go out the same time.

On 9/19/13 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of
a single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform...
Which leads me to this question :

Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a
single day?

Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for
getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are
they not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
Date: 09/19/2013 11:08 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:


 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...

The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these
amounts to download...

--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Mikael Abrahamsson

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:


Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a 
single day?


They don't, these are users who actively goes into the software upgrade 
menu and pressing upgrade.


I believe the nagging won't start for quite some time.

--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Dorian Kim
On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 06:52:51PM +, Warren Bailey wrote:
 My.. Our..  Users expect one thing..
 
 Internet.

Isn't the ability to download something that they want part of the Internet 
thing that users expect from their service providers?

-dorian



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Randy Bush
 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...

all the borders and highlights from the discarded skeuomorphisms cloged
up the intertubes bigtime

randy



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Fred Reimer
I certainly don't want to put words in his mouth, but I thin Warren's
problem is that he can't upgrade his pipes.  Physics limits the bandwidth
available, as I think he is a satellite provider.  My argument is that if
I'm a satellite user I should be well aware, particularly because this is
not a new phenomenon, that there are times when my bandwidth will suck.
It is what it is.


On 9/19/13 3:06 PM, Ryan Harden harde...@uchicago.edu wrote:

To be honest, I don't see this as a problem at all. Use it as an excuse
to upgrade your pipes, talk Akamai or CDN of choice into putting a cache
on your network, or implement your own caching solution. As operators of
the Internet we should be looking for ways to enable things like this,
not be up in arms at Apple for releasing an update to their phone OS or
making it available in a way that's inconvenient to our oversubscription
policies.

As a side note, how are some of you not aware of this? This has happened
with every single Apple OS update since the iPhone was released in 2007.
This isn't a new phenomenon. I realize some of you are too cool for
Apple, but paying attention to traffic trends and keeping abreast of how
new software releases might affect your utilization is part of properly
running a network.

/Ryan

Ryan Harden
Senior Network Engineer
University of Chicago - AS160
P: 773-834-5441




On Sep 19, 2013, at 1:22 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

 I own a galaxy note 2..tmo ran an update that pushed to unique IMEI's
sequentially. That way, you do not..
 
 1. Murder your last mike packet network, which is your bandwidth
bottleneck.
 
 2. Murder your ggsn/whateverpacketnodeyouwant closer to the core.
 
 3. Anger your paying customers who would like to use packet data
successfully on an ios download day.
 
 These people (Apple) represent themselves as smart guys, but their
actions reflect otherwise. I bet this would be a larger deal to Nanog
people if your Internet stopped working as the result of 100% Linux
adoption. That is very close to what this is.. Tens of millions of
people trying to update their 13 ios devices at the same time. Who owns
a single ios device? A household could do 5-10gb worth of updates in a
single day..
 
 I personally do not own an ios device, and I see close to 3 gigs worth
of update traffic at my house. These things are everywhere, and this
problem will not stop.
 
 
 Sent from my Mobile Device.
 
 
  Original message 
 From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
 Date: 09/19/2013 11:16 AM (GMT-08:00)
 To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
 Cc: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic
 
 
 On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:
 
 Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update
on a single day?
 
 They don't, these are users who actively goes into the software upgrade
 menu and pressing upgrade.
 
 I believe the nagging won't start for quite some time.
 
 --
 Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Jeroen van Aart

On 09/19/2013 12:06 PM, Ryan Harden wrote:

As a side note, how are some of you not aware of this? This has happened with 
every single Apple OS update since the iPhone was released in 2007.


The difference is there are now a couple more million devices out 
there than there were in 2007. And in 2007 there was just the one phone, 
now you have tablets and what have you.



This isn't a new phenomenon. I realize some of you are too cool for Apple


Lame low ball remark, however I thought it was the opposite, 
Apple==coolness?


Regards,
Jeroen

--
Earthquake Magnitude: 5.3
Date: 2013-09-19  17:25:09.350 UTC
Location: 19km ESE of Ishikawa, Japan
Latitude: 37.0716; Longitude: 140.6495
Depth: 22.22 km | e-quake.org



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread nanog

On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Warren Bailey wrote:

I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think 
of a single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform... 
Which leads me to this question :


Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on 
a single day?


Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for 
getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are 
they not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?


As far as I was aware, it was at least staggered throughout the day, so 
there's some concession.


Also a reason to have some CDNs in any large deployment, I guess.  I saw a 
spike in our Akamai traffic, but only slight.



Sent from my Mobile Device.




Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Fred Reimer
O.K., I understand.  Yes, for the average user I suppose they would blame
their ISP.  I was making the wrong assumption that people understood how
the Internet works.  At the same time, people would probably be more
upset, at least the Apple fanboys, if they metered the updates and some
people had to wait two or three weeks for their update to keep the traffic
manageable.  The only general news stories I see in a quick search are
complaints that the downloads are slow, not that the general Internet is
slow because of the downloadsŠ


From:  Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Reply-To:  Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Date:  Thursday, September 19, 2013 2:52 PM
To:  Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org, Mikael Abrahamsson
swm...@swm.pp.se, Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
Cc:  NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject:  Re: iOS 7 update traffic


My.. Our..  Users expect one thing..

Internet. 

It is our job to make that happen. When a electronics manufacturer
decides to enable updates for all of their phones world wide.. It breaks
things. 


When the Internet breaks, it is my fault. Your Apple update sucked
because of me.. There is no it must be apple, as you pointed out
earlier. I'm simply saying.. It's a dick move to globally enable updates
on a single day and tell ISP's to deal with it.


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org
Date: 09/19/2013 11:48 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com,Mikael
Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se,Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com

Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic



Why should Apple care if providers have oversubscribed lines or not?  As
far as I know, Akamai delivers most of the data anyway, so it is not
coming all from Apple.  I don't know for sure, but I doubt they have
enough bandwidth themselves to saturate so many links concurrently.  Apple
also does not push the updates, it is pulled to the device when the users
tell the device to retrieve it.  So blame your users, not Apple.  It is
also my understanding that any updates they do push are staged so they all
don't go out the same time.

On 9/19/13 2:11 PM, Warren Bailey
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com wrote:

I don't see how operators could tolerate this, honestly. I can't think of
a single provider who does not oversubscribe their access platform...
Which leads me to this question :

Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on a
single day?

Never mind the fact that we are we ones on the last mile responsible for
getting it to their customers, 1gb per sub is pretty serious.. Why are
they not caching at their head ends, dslams, etc?


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Mikael Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.se
Date: 09/19/2013 11:08 AM (GMT-08:00)
To: Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com
Cc: NANOG nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013, Paul Ferguson wrote:


 Can someone please explain to a non-Apple person what the hell happened
 that started generating so much traffic? Perhaps I missed it in this
 thread, but I would be curious to know what iOS 7 implemented that
 caused this...

The IOS7 upgrade is ~750 megabyte download for the phones/pods, and ~950
megabytes for ipad. There are quite a few devices out there times these
amounts to download...

--
Mikael Abrahamssonemail: swm...@swm.pp.se





Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Stephen Fulton

Microsoft Windows 8.1 is due out in October.. don't be so sure :)

-- Stephen

On 19/09/2013 3:11 PM, Warren Bailey wrote:

Patch Tuesday is not 1gb per patch.

On 9/19/13 11:51 AM, valdis.kletni...@vt.edu valdis.kletni...@vt.edu
wrote:


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 18:11:11 -, Warren Bailey said:


Why does apple feel it is okay to send every mobile device an update on
a single day?


How is Patch Tuesday any different?







Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:18:29 -, Warren Bailey said:

Reversing a few paragraphs to make a point.

 We strive to provide a great customer experience, and when Hardware Maker
 X decides to roll updates .. It can screw us. In this case, can means
 absolutely will happen.

 I mean, would it be THAT hard to enable a bonjour update server on an
 apple router/computer/whatever and serve things up locally from there?
 I've had many replies to this email already, and people are talking about
 upgrading bandwidth and CDN's

So why didn't you?

 Things are not created equal amongst internet providers, a transponder
 (90mbps ish) runs us close to 160k a month and that's not including gear
 costs, teleport, etc.

And you pay Apple *how* much to guarantee that they don't do things that
upset the business model you consciously chose to use?  Oh, you don't
pay them?  And your users pay *you* to ensure that when they hit 'Download',
that magical things happen?  And iOS downloads are user pulls, not Apple
pushes?

Sounds to me like you and your users need to have a chat about what they
pay for and what their expectations should be.







pgp__OjVdX58w.pgp
Description: PGP signature


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
I'm willing and open to hear anyone who has successfully had that conversation 
with their users.

When network congestion occurs, we typically see a mass exodus from whatever 
website was being used to Speedtest.. You know.. Just to make sure the 
internets are fast. I'm trying to highlight a point that not all of us have 
studly 1gbps connections to Akamai. Some of us have to move data into orbit and 
back.. Some of us are not like the rest of you. These types of situations 
should not happen in general.. We live in the future. This is like sending a 
bulk fax to every user on a switch, and when the other users get busy signals I 
somehow need to realign my view of reality.

A single Internet point or software update should not cause all of this 
discussion. You guys are collectively posting hundreds of gbps for basically a 
single software update, and comparing it to point releases from vendors.

Why do I feel like many of you are spoiled with all of this cheap and fast 
bandwidth? Do you guys not remember your 9600bps modem?

Many of you would have suffered heart failure if I sent you a 100mb file only 
10 years ago. Keep that in mind.. Not everyone has their Internet coming off 
the end of an sfp.




Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: valdis.kletni...@vt.edu
Date: 09/19/2013 1:42 PM (GMT-08:00)
To: Warren Bailey wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Cc: Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.org,Mikael Abrahamsson 
swm...@swm.pp.se,Paul Ferguson fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG 
nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:18:29 -, Warren Bailey said:

Reversing a few paragraphs to make a point.

 We strive to provide a great customer experience, and when Hardware Maker
 X decides to roll updates .. It can screw us. In this case, can means
 absolutely will happen.

 I mean, would it be THAT hard to enable a bonjour update server on an
 apple router/computer/whatever and serve things up locally from there?
 I've had many replies to this email already, and people are talking about
 upgrading bandwidth and CDN's

So why didn't you?

 Things are not created equal amongst internet providers, a transponder
 (90mbps ish) runs us close to 160k a month and that's not including gear
 costs, teleport, etc.

And you pay Apple *how* much to guarantee that they don't do things that
upset the business model you consciously chose to use?  Oh, you don't
pay them?  And your users pay *you* to ensure that when they hit 'Download',
that magical things happen?  And iOS downloads are user pulls, not Apple
pushes?

Sounds to me like you and your users need to have a chat about what they
pay for and what their expectations should be.







RE: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread John Souvestre
Hi Jared.

  The attitude in this email I have encountered elsewhere.  Apple pays 
  for bandwidth, customers pay for access. Not sure why their release 
  strategy is so highly critiqued.

Because it impacts other, non-Apple customers.  Or, it costs the ISP more
(passed through to all customers) to add capacity to handle an infrequent peak
load.

Question/suggestion:  Could Apple perhaps shift their release to a Saturday
morning?  I would think that this would go a long way to diluting the peak.

John

    John Souvestre - New Orleans LA - (504) 454-0899




smime.p7s
Description: S/MIME cryptographic signature


Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Jared Mauch
Dorian,

It seems warren may work for a satellite internet provider. (Just guessing).

The impact might be different with this type of a link. There isn't a good 
broadcast caching system for this compared with the way other content is. This 
may have that type of an impact, but there are likely ways to address this as 
well. I recall the sky cache and other systems of the day. 

Jared Mauch

 On Sep 19, 2013, at 2:41 PM, Dorian Kim dor...@blackrose.org wrote:
 
 On Thu, Sep 19, 2013 at 06:52:51PM +, Warren Bailey wrote:
 My.. Our..  Users expect one thing..
 
 Internet.
 
 Isn't the ability to download something that they want part of the Internet 
 thing that users expect from their service providers?
 
 -dorian



Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Fred Reimer
Actually, I started out with a 300 baud acoustic modem.  You know, the kind 
where you take the handset and jam it into two cups?  But I digress…


From: Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.commailto:wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Reply-To: Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.commailto:wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Date: Thursday, September 19, 2013 5:00 PM
To: Valdis Kletnieks valdis.kletni...@vt.edumailto:valdis.kletni...@vt.edu
Cc: Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.orgmailto:frei...@freimer.org, Mikael 
Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.semailto:swm...@swm.pp.se, Paul Ferguson 
fergdawgs...@mykolab.commailto:fergdawgs...@mykolab.com, NANOG 
nanog@nanog.orgmailto:nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic

I'm willing and open to hear anyone who has successfully had that conversation 
with their users.

When network congestion occurs, we typically see a mass exodus from whatever 
website was being used to Speedtest.. You know.. Just to make sure the 
internets are fast. I'm trying to highlight a point that not all of us have 
studly 1gbps connections to Akamai. Some of us have to move data into orbit and 
back.. Some of us are not like the rest of you. These types of situations 
should not happen in general.. We live in the future. This is like sending a 
bulk fax to every user on a switch, and when the other users get busy signals I 
somehow need to realign my view of reality.

A single Internet point or software update should not cause all of this 
discussion. You guys are collectively posting hundreds of gbps for basically a 
single software update, and comparing it to point releases from vendors.

Why do I feel like many of you are spoiled with all of this cheap and fast 
bandwidth? Do you guys not remember your 9600bps modem?

Many of you would have suffered heart failure if I sent you a 100mb file only 
10 years ago. Keep that in mind.. Not everyone has their Internet coming off 
the end of an sfp.




Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: valdis.kletni...@vt.edumailto:valdis.kletni...@vt.edu
Date: 09/19/2013 1:42 PM (GMT-08:00)
To: Warren Bailey 
wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.commailto:wbai...@satelliteintelligencegroup.com
Cc: Fred Reimer frei...@freimer.orgmailto:frei...@freimer.org,Mikael 
Abrahamsson swm...@swm.pp.semailto:swm...@swm.pp.se,Paul Ferguson 
fergdawgs...@mykolab.commailto:fergdawgs...@mykolab.com,NANOG 
nanog@nanog.orgmailto:nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic


On Thu, 19 Sep 2013 19:18:29 -, Warren Bailey said:

Reversing a few paragraphs to make a point.

 We strive to provide a great customer experience, and when Hardware Maker
 X decides to roll updates .. It can screw us. In this case, can means
 absolutely will happen.

 I mean, would it be THAT hard to enable a bonjour update server on an
 apple router/computer/whatever and serve things up locally from there?
 I've had many replies to this email already, and people are talking about
 upgrading bandwidth and CDN's

So why didn't you?

 Things are not created equal amongst internet providers, a transponder
 (90mbps ish) runs us close to 160k a month and that's not including gear
 costs, teleport, etc.

And you pay Apple *how* much to guarantee that they don't do things that
upset the business model you consciously chose to use?  Oh, you don't
pay them?  And your users pay *you* to ensure that when they hit 'Download',
that magical things happen?  And iOS downloads are user pulls, not Apple
pushes?

Sounds to me like you and your users need to have a chat about what they
pay for and what their expectations should be.







Re: iOS 7 update traffic

2013-09-19 Thread Warren Bailey
Your software updates (you meaning a user of the Internet) should not affect my 
experience. I'm not advocating we go back to 5.25 floppies and never look back. 
I'm asking..

Is there a way for a COMPUTER and PHONE manufacturer to distribute their 
software without destroying most last mile connectivity?

Who else has had traffic surges like this?
And who else has a Nanog strike team coming in screaming buy more bandwidth? ;)


Sent from my Mobile Device.


 Original message 
From: Ryan Harden harde...@uchicago.edu
Date: 09/19/2013 3:04 PM (GMT-08:00)
To: Jeroen van Aart jer...@mompl.net
Cc: nanog@nanog.org nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: iOS 7 update traffic



On Sep 19, 2013, at 3:11 PM, Jeroen van Aart jer...@mompl.net wrote:

 On 09/19/2013 12:06 PM, Ryan Harden wrote:
 As a side note, how are some of you not aware of this? This has happened 
 with every single Apple OS update since the iPhone was released in 2007.

 The difference is there are now a couple more million devices out there 
 than there were in 2007. And in 2007 there was just the one phone, now you 
 have tablets and what have you.

The effect has been relatively the same regardless of how many iDevices there 
are. Network Operators have seen spikes during Apple OS releases since they 
started. The only leeway I'll give you is that the original iPhone only 
supported 802.11b. With .11n and someday .11ac, the ability for these devices 
to consume data at a faster rate is also increasing.


 This isn't a new phenomenon. I realize some of you are too cool for Apple

 Lame low ball remark, however I thought it was the opposite, Apple==coolness?

This was in no way meant to be a lowball remark. But it doesn't take much 
searching to find people exclaiming how they have zero Apple devices or how 
they don't pay attention to Apple's iJunk. I assumed (probably mistakenly) 
that the lack of knowing this is going to happen roughly 2-3 times a year was 
due to being 'too cool' to keep up with the stuff Apple puts out.


 Regards,
 Jeroen

 --
 Earthquake Magnitude: 5.3
 Date: 2013-09-19  17:25:09.350 UTC
 Location: 19km ESE of Ishikawa, Japan
 Latitude: 37.0716; Longitude: 140.6495
 Depth: 22.22 km | e-quake.org




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